Match Info

NHL

Date: 23 October 2025, Thursday

Location: Benchmark International Arena (Tampa, FL)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Denmark	Viaplay, V Sport Live 2
Finland	Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Live 2
Germany	NHL.tv
Iceland	Viaplay
Mexico	Disney+, Sky Sport
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Live 2
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+, Hulu
Venezuela	Disney+
World	NHL.tv


	Tampa Bay Lightning		Chicago Blackhawks

	1	X	2
	1.5	5	5.25	Watch
	1.54	5.21	4.77
	1.56	5	4.8
	1.69	4.86	3.85	Watch
	1.56	5.03	4.83
	1.6	4.9	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.69)	5 ↑ (4.86)	4.62 ↑ (3.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tampa Bay Lightning
60.4%

Draw
19%

Chicago Blackhawks
20.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56%

19.5%

24.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.5%

17.6%

27.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tampa Bay Lightning has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Chicago Blackhawks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tampa Bay Lightning than the current prediction. (-9.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tampa Bay Lightning that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chicago Blackhawks than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chicago Blackhawks could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
35%	20%	45%

Tampa Bay Lightning - Chicago Blackhawks Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Tampa Bay will win (votes: 6 - 31.6%). Chicago will win (votes: 9 - 47.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 21.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Chicago: 24.9% – 69.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Tampa Bay (votes: 2 - 50%). Chicago (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 5.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2, 1st Period - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1

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Lineups

Line 1
88. Vasilevski A. (G)	30. Knight S. (G)
90. Moser J.J.	6. Rinzel S.
77. Hedman V. (C)	72. Vlasic A. (A)
93. Goncalves G.	59. Bertuzzi T. (A)
21. Point B.	98. Bedard C.
59. Guentzel J.	73. Reichel L.
Line 2
81. Cernak E.	55. Levshunov A.
27. McDonagh R. (A)	44. Kaiser W.
86. Kucherov N.	95. Mikheyev I.
71. Cirelli A.	91. Nazar F.
38. Hagel B.	86. Teravainen T.
Line 3
43. Raddysh D.	5. Murphy C. (A)
78. Lilleberg E.	48. Grzelcyk M.
29. Holmberg P.	8. Donato R.
37. Gourde Y.	20. Greene R.
22. Bjorkstrand O.	34. Dach C.
Line 4
41. Chaffee M.	46. Crevier L.
17. James D.	17. Foligno N.
42. Douglas C.	84. Slaggert L.
Substitutes
31. Johansson J. (G)	40. Soderblom A. (G)
Coaches
. Cooper J.	. Blashill J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
10:26, Lilleberg E. (2 min),
10:41, 0 - 1, Nazar F. (G), Bertuzzi T. (A), Teravainen T. (A2)
15:10, Foligno N. (2 min),
15:46, Guentzel J. (2 min),
16:43, (2 min),
2nd Period (2 - 1)
06:57, 1 - 1, Guentzel J. (G), McDonagh R. (A), Kucherov N. (A2)
10:16, 1 - 2, Donato R. (G), Reichel L. (A),
19:18, 2 - 2, McDonagh R. (G), Kucherov N. (A), Point B. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 1)
02:36, Raddysh D. (2 min),
04:00, Gourde Y. (2 min),
08:21, Slaggert L. (2 min),
12:48, Lilleberg E. (2 min),
13:38, Rinzel S. (2 min),
19:06, 2 - 3, Donato R. (G), Nazar F. (A), Teravainen T. (A2)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tampa Bay won 3.

Recent form of Tampa Bay has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Chicago has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Tampa Bay has had a series of away games.

Recently, Chicago has had a series of home games.

In this match, Tampa Bay is the team to beat.

There will not play in Tampa Bay: Crozier M. (Injury) Paul N. (Upper-Body Injury)

There will not play in Chicago: Brossoit L. (Hip Injury) Dickinson J. (Injury) Weber S. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Tampa Bay: Kucherov N. (Illness)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tampa Bay won 16 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 83:52. (average 4.2:2.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Tampa Bay won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 36:25. (average 3.6:2.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tampa Bay Lightning
NHL
18.10.25	Columbus Blue Jackets - Tampa Bay Lightning	3:2 ✺
17.10.25	Detroit Red Wings - Tampa Bay Lightning	2:1 OT ✺
14.10.25	Washington Capitals - Tampa Bay Lightning	3:2 OT ✺
13.10.25	Boston Bruins - Tampa Bay Lightning	3:4 ✺
11.10.25	Tampa Bay Lightning - New Jersey Devils	3:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLLWL
- Chicago Blackhawks
NHL
19.10.25	Chicago Blackhawks - Anaheim Ducks	2:1 OT ✺
17.10.25	Chicago Blackhawks - Vancouver Canucks	2:3 penalties ✺
15.10.25	St. Louis Blues - Chicago Blackhawks	3:8 ✺
13.10.25	Chicago Blackhawks - Utah Mammoth	3:1 ✺
11.10.25	Chicago Blackhawks - Montreal Canadiens	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

NHL
28.01.25	Tampa Bay Lightning - Chicago Blackhawks	1:4
24.01.25	Chicago Blackhawks - Tampa Bay Lightning	3:4 OT
16.11.23	Chicago Blackhawks - Tampa Bay Lightning	2:4
09.11.23	Tampa Bay Lightning - Chicago Blackhawks	3:5
11.03.23	Tampa Bay Lightning - Chicago Blackhawks	3:1
03.01.23	Chicago Blackhawks - Tampa Bay Lightning	1:4
01.04.22	Tampa Bay Lightning - Chicago Blackhawks	5:2

Tampa Bay Lightning - Chicago Blackhawks: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide