The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Columbus Blue Jackets 37.2%
Draw 22.3%
Tampa Bay Lightning 40.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
30.5%
22.2%
47.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
27.8%
20.2%
51.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Columbus Blue Jackets has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Columbus Blue Jackets's performance.
Tampa Bay Lightning has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tampa Bay Lightning might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Columbus Blue Jackets than the current prediction. (-9.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Columbus Blue Jackets that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tampa Bay Lightning than the current prediction. (+11.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tampa Bay Lightning could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
16.7%
33.3%
50%
Columbus Blue Jackets - Tampa Bay Lightning Predictions
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Columbus will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Tampa Bay will win (votes: 6 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Tampa Bay: 21.7% – 78.3%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Columbus (votes: 2 - 50%). Tampa Bay (votes: 2 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:4
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Lineups
Line 1
73. Greaves J. (G)
31. Johansson J. (G)
78. Severson D.
43. Raddysh D.
8. Werenski Z. (A)
90. Moser J.J.
86. Marchenko K.
86. Kucherov N. (A)
19. Fantilli A.
71. Cirelli A. (A)
17. Marchment M.
38. Hagel B.
Line 2
44. Gudbranson E. (A)
81. Cernak E.
9. Provorov I.
51. D'Astous C.
91. Johnson K.
59. Guentzel J. (A)
23. Monahan S.
17. James D.
38. Jenner B. (C)
93. Goncalves G.
Line 3
6. Zamula Y.
7. Lundmark S.
2. Christiansen J.
67. Carlile D.
24. Olivier M.
29. Holmberg P.
3. Coyle C.
37. Gourde Y.
4. Sillinger C.
28. Girgensons Z.
Line 4
43. Heinen D.
11. Pelletier J.
21. Lundestrom I.
20. Paul N.
10. Voronkov D.
22. Bjorkstrand O.
Substitutes
90. Merzlikins E. (G)
88. Vasilevski A. (G)
Coaches
. Bowness R.
. Cooper J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (4 - 2)
05:47, 1 - 0, Sillinger C. (G), Coyle C. (A),
07:48, 1 - 1, Guentzel J. (G),
08:37, 2 - 1, Marchment M. (G), Gudbranson E. (A),
09:28, Provorov I. (2 min),
10:01, 2 - 2, Raddysh D. (G), Kucherov N. (A), Guentzel J. (A2)
13:13, Voronkov D. (2 min),
18:33, 3 - 2, Fantilli A. (G), Marchenko K. (A), Marchment M. (A2)
19:47, 4 - 2, Voronkov D. (G), Heinen D. (A), Zamula Y. (A2)
2nd Period (2 - 2)
03:29, 4 - 3, Kucherov N. (G), Hagel B. (A), Cirelli A. (A2)
04:58, 4 - 4, Cirelli A. (G), Kucherov N. (A), Hagel B. (A2)
06:59, Marchment M. (2 min),
06:59, Gourde Y. (2 min),
09:05, 5 - 4, Marchment M. (G), Werenski Z. (A), Coyle C. (A2)
16:00, Carlile D. (2 min),
18:37, D'Astous C. (2 min),
18:57, 6 - 4, Coyle C. (G), Fantilli A. (A), Werenski Z. (A2)
3rd Period (2 - 1)
14:55, 7 - 4, Monahan S. (G),
18:54, 7 - 5, Guentzel J. (G), Kucherov N. (A), Cirelli A. (A2)
19:35, 8 - 5, Marchment M. (G), Fantilli A. (A), Marchenko K. (A2)
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 15 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Columbus won 2.
Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
Columbus may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Columbus has had a series of home games.
Recently, Tampa Bay has had a series of away games.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
There will not play in Columbus: Fabbro D.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Mateychuk D.
(Upper-Body Injury)
Smith B.
(Knee Injury)
Wood M.
(Leg Injury)
There will not play in Tampa Bay: Hedman V.
(Elbow Injury)
Lilleberg E.
(Injury)
McDonagh R.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Point B.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Sabourin S.
(Head Injury)
There are questionable in Tampa Bay: Cirelli A.
(Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Columbus won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 59:79. (average 3:4).
Including home matches between the teams, Columbus won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 38:38. (average 3.8:3.8).
Outrights of NHL for now
Tampa Bay Lightning: 6.22% Columbus Blue Jackets: 1.34%