Match Info

NHL

Date: 18 November 2025, Tuesday

Location: Benchmark International Arena (Tampa, FL)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Denmark	TV3 Sport, Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay
Germany	NHL.tv
Iceland	Viaplay
Mexico	Sky Sport
Norway	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	NHL Network
Venezuela	Disney+
World	NHL.tv


	Tampa Bay Lightning		New Jersey Devils

	1	X	2
	1.91	4.2	3.4	Watch
	1.97	4.38	3.16
	1.99	4.3	3.2
	2.22	4.29	2.66	Watch
	1.98	4.32	3.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↓ (2.22)	4.3 ↑ (4.29)	3.13 ↑ (2.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tampa Bay Lightning
47.3%

Draw
22.2%

New Jersey Devils
30.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.5%

22%

35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7%

22.6%

34.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tampa Bay Lightning has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

New Jersey Devils has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tampa Bay Lightning than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for New Jersey Devils than the current prediction. (+4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
38.5%	15.4%	46.2%

Tampa Bay Lightning - New Jersey Devils Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Tampa Bay will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). New Jersey will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for New Jersey: 19.1% – 73.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tampa Bay (votes: 1 - 50%). New Jersey (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3

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Lineups

Line 1
88. Vasilevski A. (G)	25. Markstrom J. (G)
90. Moser J.J.	7. Hamilton D.
77. Hedman V.	71. Siegenthaler J.
86. Kucherov N. (A)	63. Bratt J.
21. Point B. (A)	13. Hischier N. (C)
93. Goncalves G.	28. Meier T.
Line 2
81. Cernak E.	43. Hughes L.
51. D'Astous C.	5. Dillon B.
59. Guentzel J.	81. Gritsyuk A.
71. Cirelli A.	91. Mercer D.
38. Hagel B.	33. Dadonov Y.
Line 3
43. Raddysh D.	17. Nemec S.
78. Lilleberg E.	44. Cholowski D.
22. Bjorkstrand O.	11. Noesen S.
37. Gourde Y.	83. Lammikko J.
28. Girgensons Z.	18. Palat O. (A)
Line 4
17. James D.	16. Brown C.
62. Finley J.	14. Glendening L.
42. Douglas C.	47. Cotter P.
Substitutes
31. Johansson J. (G)	34. Allen J. (G)
Coaches
. Cooper J.	. Keefe S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 0)
07:34, Point B. (2 min),
11:40, 1 - 0, Guentzel J. (G),
13:15, Raddysh D. (2 min),
19:38, 2 - 0, Kucherov N. (G), Cirelli A. (A),
2nd Period (1 - 1)
04:43, Noesen S. (2 min),
09:18, Hughes L. (2 min),
10:38, 3 - 0, Guentzel J. (G), Raddysh D. (A), Bjorkstrand O. (A2)
17:47, 3 - 1, Hischier N. (G), Gritsyuk A. (A), Bratt J. (A2)
3rd Period (2 - 0)
04:49, 4 - 1, Raddysh D. (G), Point B. (A), Moser J.J. (A2)
06:48, Gritsyuk A. (2 min),
07:48, 5 - 1, Guentzel J. (G), Kucherov N. (A), Raddysh D. (A2)
12:09, Kucherov N. (2 min),
15:04, (2 min),
19:16, Nemec S. (2 min),
19:16, Douglas C. (2 min),

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 13 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tampa Bay won 3.

Tampa Bay has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

New Jersey is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

New Jersey may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Tampa Bay could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Tampa Bay: Holmberg P. (Injury) James D. (Face Injury) McDonagh R. (Injury) Paul N. (Upper-Body Injury)

There will not play in New Jersey: Brown C. (Upper-Body Injury) Dadonov Y. (Hand Injury) Glass C. (Upper-Body Injury) Hughes J. (Finger Injury) Kovacevic J. (Knee Injury) MacEwen Z. (Lower-Body Injury) Pesce B. (Upper-Body Injury)

There are questionable in Tampa Bay: Cirelli A. (Upper-Body Injury) Hedman V. (Injury)

There are questionable in New Jersey: Hamilton D. (Lower-Body Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tampa Bay won 15 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 85:56. (average 4.3:2.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Tampa Bay won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 41:29. (average 4.1:2.9).

Last Results with these Odds

New Jersey Devils - the odds 2.66 are the expected chance of winning is 35.48%, but this team recently wins 47% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tampa Bay Lightning
NHL
16.11.25	Tampa Bay Lightning - Vancouver Canucks	2:6 ✺
15.11.25	Florida Panthers - Tampa Bay Lightning	1:3 ✺
12.11.25	Tampa Bay Lightning - New York Rangers	3:7 ✺
08.11.25	Tampa Bay Lightning - Washington Capitals	3:2 ✺
06.11.25	Vegas Golden Knights - Tampa Bay Lightning	3:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 LWLWW
- New Jersey Devils
NHL
15.11.25	Washington Capitals - New Jersey Devils	2:3 penalties ✺
12.11.25	Chicago Blackhawks - New Jersey Devils	3:4 OT ✺
10.11.25	New Jersey Devils - New York Islanders	2:3 OT ✺
08.11.25	New Jersey Devils - Pittsburgh Penguins	2:1 penalties ✺
06.11.25	New Jersey Devils - Montreal Canadiens	4:3 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

NHL
11.10.25	Tampa Bay Lightning - New Jersey Devils	3:5
11.01.25	New Jersey Devils - Tampa Bay Lightning	3:2 OT
16.11.24	Tampa Bay Lightning - New Jersey Devils	4:0
22.10.24	New Jersey Devils - Tampa Bay Lightning	5:8
25.02.24	New Jersey Devils - Tampa Bay Lightning	1:4
27.01.24	Tampa Bay Lightning - New Jersey Devils	6:3
11.01.24	Tampa Bay Lightning - New Jersey Devils	4:3 OT

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