Match Info

SM-sarja U20 - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 15 March 2026, Sunday


	Tappara U20		HIFK U20

	1	X	2
	1.72	4.3	2.95
	2.03	4.03	2.74
	2.03	4.2	2.81	Watch
	1.95	4	2.75
	2.03	4.1	2.76
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↓ (2.03)	4.13 ↓ (4.2)	2.8 ↓ (2.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tappara U20
46.1%

Draw
21.8%

HIFK U20
32.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.3%

21.9%

32.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52%

25.1%

28.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tappara U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

HIFK U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tappara U20 than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tappara U20, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for HIFK U20 than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Tappara U20 - HIFK U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 0)
04:20, 1 - 0, Kuisma J. (G), Katolicky S. (A), Rantala J. (A2)
12:42, 2 - 0, Kuisma J. (G), Vanhatalo V. (A), Louvanto L. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 2)
02:47, 2 - 1, Jalasti B. (G), Karjalainen A. (A), Sinivuori L. (A2)
03:56, 3 - 1, Katolicky S. (G), Suvanto O. (A),
04:59, 3 - 2, Jalasti B. (G), Tallqvist R. (A), Somervuori J. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 1)
11:42, 3 - 3, Somervuori J. (G), Karjalainen A. (A), Tallqvist R. (A2)
Overtime (1 - 0)
03:20, 4 - 3, Louvanto L. (G), Vanhatalo V. (A),

Preview

Series tied 1-1. Third leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tappara U20 won 3.

Recent performances by Tappara U20 have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

HIFK U20 is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Tappara U20 might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tappara U20 won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 67:72. (average 3.4:3.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Tappara U20 won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 34:42. (average 2.8:3.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
1	IFK Helsinki U20	12	7	1	2	2	41:25	25
8	Tappara U20	11	6	0	2	3	34:32	20

Last Results with these Odds

Tappara U20 - the odds 2.03 are the expected chance of winning is 45.34%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tappara U20
Finnish SM-sarja U20
14.03.26	HIFK U20 - Tappara U20	2:4 ✺
11.03.26	Tappara U20 - HIFK U20	1:6 ✺
07.03.26	Tappara U20 - SaiPa U20	6:5 OT ✺
06.03.26	Mikkelin Jukurit U20 - Tappara U20	6:2 ✺
28.02.26	Ilves U20 - Tappara U20	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WLWLW
- HIFK U20
Finnish SM-sarja U20
14.03.26	HIFK U20 - Tappara U20	2:4 ✺
11.03.26	Tappara U20 - HIFK U20	1:6 ✺
07.03.26	HPK U20 - HIFK U20	3:4 OT ✺
06.03.26	HIFK U20 - Pelicans U20	6:3 ✺
28.02.26	HIFK U20 - Jokerit U20	5:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish SM-sarja U20
14.03.26	HIFK U20 - Tappara U20	2:4
11.03.26	Tappara U20 - HIFK U20	1:6
13.02.26	Tappara U20 - HIFK U20	4:1
04.01.26	HIFK U20 - Tappara U20	3:5
19.10.24	Tappara U20 - HIFK U20	1:5
13.10.24	HIFK U20 - Tappara U20	3:4 OT
13.01.24	HIFK U20 - Tappara U20	2:5

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