Match Info

AHL

Date: 13 December 2025, Saturday

Location: H-E-B Center at Cedar Park (Cedar Park, TX)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	Flohockey


	Texas Stars		San Jose Barracuda

	1	X	2
	2.5	4.2	2.1	Watch
	2.9	4.15	2.04
	2.8	3.97	2.09
	2.84	4.12	2.11	Watch
	2.75	4	2.05
	2.8	4.05	2.06	Watch
	2.6	4.25	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.74 ↑ (2.57)	4.11 ↓ (4.2)	2.07 ↓ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Texas Stars
33.4%

Draw
22.3%

San Jose Barracuda
44.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.1%

22.1%

41.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.7%

22.5%

41.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Texas Stars has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

San Jose Barracuda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Texas Stars than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Jose Barracuda than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Texas Stars - San Jose Barracuda Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Poirier R. (G)	36. Skarek J. (G)
27. Becker J.	11. Afanasyev Y.
5. Bergsland T.	15. Bowers S.
3. Bertucci T.	18. Bystedt F.
32. Hanas C.	42. Cagnoni L.
19. Hughes C. (A)	56. Cardwell E.
12. Hyry A.	32. Carlsson L. (A)
26. Karow M.	92. Chernyshov I.
17. Lind K. (A)	59. Clayton C.
37. Looft K.	61. Furlong J.
20. Martino A.	54. Giles P. (A)
16. McKenzie C. (C)	86. Hache B.
11. Scott H.	14. Halttunen K.
13. Seminoff M.	40. Huntington J. (A)
38. Shlaine A.	46. Lund C.
40. Stranges A.	13. Musty Q.
2. Taylor T.	84. Regenda P.
29. Wheatcroft C.	26. Thompson J.
8. White G.	76. Vincent A.
Substitutes
30. Tiefensee A. (G)	35. Carriere G. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 1)
02:58, 1 - 0, Karow M. (G), Bertucci T. (A), Martino A. (A2)
17:12, 1 - 1, Bystedt F. (G), Chernyshov I. (A),
2nd Period (1 - 1)
08:02, 2 - 1, Seminoff M. (G), Hughes C. (A),
10:58, 2 - 2, Afanasyev Y. (G), Bystedt F. (A), Chernyshov I. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 1)
04:53, 3 - 2, White G. (G), Hanas C. (A), Becker J. (A2)
17:11, 3 - 3, Lund C. (G), Giles P. (A), Regenda P. (A2)
Overtime (0 - 1)
01:52, 3 - 4, Bystedt F. (G), Chernyshov I. (A), Musty Q. (A2)

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 6 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Texas won 2.

Texas is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, San Jose has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Texas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Texas has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Texas won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 74:66. (average 3.7:3.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Texas won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 36:32. (average 3.6:3.2).

Last Results with these Odds

Texas Stars - the odds 2.57 are the expected chance of winning is 36.11%, but this team recently wins 21% of matches with these odds.

San Jose Barracuda - the odds 2.22 are the expected chance of winning is 41.8%, but this team recently wins 54% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Texas Stars
AHL
12.12.25	Texas Stars - San Jose Barracuda	2:3 ✺
09.12.25	Ontario Reign - Texas Stars	6:3 ✺
07.12.25	San Diego Gulls - Texas Stars	5:1 ✺
05.12.25	San Diego Gulls - Texas Stars	2:3 OT ✺
03.12.25	Coachella Valley Firebirds - Texas Stars	3:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLLWL
- San Jose Barracuda
AHL
12.12.25	Texas Stars - San Jose Barracuda	2:3 ✺
10.12.25	San Jose Barracuda - San Diego Gulls	1:3 ✺
06.12.25	San Jose Barracuda - Tucson Roadrunners	2:6 ✺
05.12.25	San Jose Barracuda - Tucson Roadrunners	4:3 OT ✺
29.11.25	Colorado Eagles - San Jose Barracuda	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

AHL
12.12.25	Texas Stars - San Jose Barracuda	2:3
13.04.24	San Jose Barracuda - Texas Stars	1:2 OT
12.04.24	San Jose Barracuda - Texas Stars	3:1
09.03.24	Texas Stars - San Jose Barracuda	6:3
08.03.24	Texas Stars - San Jose Barracuda	1:2
01.04.23	Texas Stars - San Jose Barracuda	7:2
31.03.23	Texas Stars - San Jose Barracuda	1:2 OT

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