Match Info

MHL

Date: 20 February 2026, Friday


	Tolpar		AKM Novomoskovsk

	1	X	2
	1.1	11	26
	1.05	10.9	28	Watch
	1.06	11	13
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.07 ↓ (1.09)	10.97 ↑ (9.2)	22.33 ↑ (14)

The most likely Over/Under: 7.25

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tolpar
87.3%

Draw
8.5%

AKM Novomoskovsk
4.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

83.6%

9.9%

6.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tolpar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

AKM Novomoskovsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Tolpar - AKM Novomoskovsk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 5:1

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Lineups

Line 1
99. Tkach-Tkachenko I. (G)	1. Khabibulin R. (G)
86. Volkov D.	24. Kulikov A.
76. Pykhtin D. (C)	3. Badikov A.
11. Shaykhlislamov A.	10. Kazharin I. (C)
37. Zagrebin M.	81. Bogatin M.
28. Akhsyanov B. (A)	47. Alalykin L.
Line 2
23. Khafzetdinov A.	69. Rostkov V.
98. Zayets D.	79. Ponomaryov D.
9. Petrenko D.	67. Kubankov D.
87. Buzdyganov V.	72. Boyarkin G. (A)
75. Shebyakin M.	80. Olikh A.
Line 3
24. Karasyov M.	58. Putyunin A.
16. Khusainov R.	39. Kuzmin D.
47. Fogelnest M.	55. Rulin M.
42. Koltsov N.	86. Novikov M.
74. Adamyan A.	71. Krasin D.
Line 4
14. Akhmetov Y.	74. Biktimirov A.
63. Makarkin A.	48. Romanov Y.
67. Khabibullin A. (A)	25. Karpachevsky M.
26. Degtyarev M.	43. Kalach M.
Substitutes
30. Povarov M. (G)	33. Likhachev V.
	30. Skryabin N. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
18:22, 1 - 0, Akhsyanov B. (G), Shaykhlislamov A. (A), Volkov D. (A2)
2nd Period (2 - 0)
00:29, 2 - 0, Shaykhlislamov A. (G), Zagrebin M. (A), Akhsyanov B. (A2)
13:31, 3 - 0, Volkov D. (G), Shebyakin M. (A), Petrenko D. (A2)
3rd Period (2 - 0)
14:23, 4 - 0, Khabibullin A. (G), Khafzetdinov A. (A), Shaykhlislamov A. (A2)
14:50, 5 - 0, Karasyov M. (G), Akhsyanov B. (A), Shaykhlislamov A. (A2)

Preview

In recent matches, Tolpar has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

AKM Novomoskovsk is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Tolpar may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Tolpar has had a series of away games.

Recently, AKM Novomoskovsk has had a series of home games.

In this match, Tolpar is the clear favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tolpar won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 29:12. (average 5.8:2.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Tolpar won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 16:5. (average 8:2.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tolpar Ufa
MHL
14.02.26	Kuznetskie Medvedi - Tolpar	3:4 penalties ✺
13.02.26	Kuznetskie Medvedi - Tolpar	3:4 OT ✺
10.02.26	Omskye Yastreby - Tolpar	1:3 ✺
09.02.26	Omskye Yastreby - Tolpar	3:2 OT ✺
02.02.26	Stalnye Lisy - Tolpar	5:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 WWWLL
- AKM Novomoskovsk
MHL
15.02.26	AKM Novomoskovsk - Spartak MAX	2:3 OT ✺
13.02.26	AKM Novomoskovsk - Sputnik Almetyevsk	2:3 ✺
12.02.26	AKM Novomoskovsk - Sputnik Almetyevsk	2:4 ✺
09.02.26	AKM Novomoskovsk - Reaktor	3:4 penalties ✺
08.02.26	AKM Novomoskovsk - Reaktor	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

MHL
19.10.25	AKM Novomoskovsk - Tolpar	2:5
20.02.25	Tolpar - AKM Novomoskovsk	8:4
19.02.25	Tolpar - AKM Novomoskovsk	8:1
02.11.24	AKM Novomoskovsk - Tolpar	3:4
01.11.24	AKM Novomoskovsk - Tolpar	2:4

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