Match Info

MHL

Date: 2 March 2026, Monday


	Sputnik Almetyevsk		Tolpar

	1	X	2
	6.6	6	1.34
	7.06	5.65	1.31	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.83 ↑ (5.81)	5.83 ↑ (5.46)	1.33 ↓ (1.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sputnik Almetyevsk
13.6%

Draw
16%

Tolpar
70.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.9%

17%

67.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.3%

19.6%

58.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sputnik Almetyevsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Tolpar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sputnik Almetyevsk than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tolpar than the current prediction. (-12%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tolpar, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Sputnik Almetyevsk - Tolpar Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:4

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Lineups

Line 1
94. Protonin S. (G)	94. Tkachyov K. (G)
80. Lesnikov S. (A)	86. Volkov D.
96. Devyatov Y.	76. Pykhtin D. (C)
48. Taziyev V.	11. Shaykhlislamov A.
14. Gataullin A.	37. Zagrebin M.
52. Troyanov I.	28. Akhsyanov B. (A)
Line 2
54. Levagin Y.	23. Khafzetdinov A.
64. Siraziyev D.	98. Zayets D.
22. Giniyatullin R.	9. Petrenko D.
67. Nurgaliyev M.	87. Buzdyganov V.
29. Gimadiev A. (C)	75. Shebyakin M.
Line 3
23. Idiyatov A.	24. Karasyov M.
81. Chistousov V.	16. Khusainov R.
78. Abdukadyrov S.	67. Khabibullin A. (A)
34. Ismagilov K.	42. Koltsov N.
15. Davletshin I.	82. Akhsyanov A.
Line 4
76. Safiullin I. (A)	58. Plotnikov D.
58. Milyayev A.	63. Makarkin A.
95. Dolgov R.	90. Ostanin A.
6. Galimov T.	74. Adamyan A.
Substitutes
57. Safonov V.	18. Kireyev R.
72. Tychkin D. (G)	99. Tkach-Tkachenko I. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 3)
03:42, 0 - 1, Zagrebin M. (G), Shaykhlislamov A. (A),
17:51, 0 - 2, Khabibullin A. (G), Shaykhlislamov A. (A), Pykhtin D. (A2)
18:21, 0 - 3, Petrenko D. (G), Shebyakin M. (A),
2nd Period (2 - 3)
01:24, 0 - 4, Petrenko D. (G), Shebyakin M. (A),
05:30, 1 - 4, Gimadiev A. (G),
11:30, 1 - 5, Zagrebin M. (G), Shaykhlislamov A. (A), Volkov D. (A2)
12:03, 1 - 6, Petrenko D. (G), Zayets D. (A), Khafzetdinov A. (A2)
17:24, 2 - 6, Abdukadyrov S. (G), Safiullin I. (A),
3rd Period (1 - 2)
02:47, 2 - 7, Petrenko D. (G), Khafzetdinov A. (A), Shebyakin M. (A2)
04:46, 2 - 8, Akhsyanov B. (G), Zagrebin M. (A),
13:59, 3 - 8, Nurgaliyev M. (G), Gimadiev A. (A), Giniyatullin R. (A2)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sputnik Almetyevsk won 0.

Sputnik Almetyevsk has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Tolpar is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Tolpar may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Tolpar is the clear favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sputnik Almetyevsk won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 47:84. (average 2.4:4.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Sputnik Almetyevsk won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 23:32. (average 2.6:3.6).

Last Results with these Odds

Sputnik Almetyevsk - the odds 5.81 are the expected chance of winning is 15.94%, but this team recently wins 8% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sputnik Almetyevsk
MHL
27.02.26	Sputnik Almetyevsk - Stalnye Lisy	3:8 ✺
24.02.26	Ladya Togliatti - Sputnik Almetyevsk	4:1 ✺
20.02.26	Sputnik Almetyevsk - Irbis Kazan	3:2 OT ✺
16.02.26	Sputnik Almetyevsk - Chaika	2:3 penalties ✺
13.02.26	AKM Novomoskovsk - Sputnik Almetyevsk	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.1 LLWLW
- Tolpar Ufa
MHL
27.02.26	Reaktor - Tolpar	1:3 ✺
23.02.26	Tolpar - Loko-76	6:4 ✺
20.02.26	Tolpar - AKM Novomoskovsk	5:0 ✺
14.02.26	Kuznetskie Medvedi - Tolpar	3:4 penalties ✺
13.02.26	Kuznetskie Medvedi - Tolpar	3:4 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

MHL
19.11.25	Tolpar - Sputnik Almetyevsk	4:2
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
15.08.25	Tolpar - Sputnik Almetyevsk	6:1
MHL
17.03.25	Tolpar - Sputnik Almetyevsk	7:3
16.03.25	Tolpar - Sputnik Almetyevsk	9:1
05.09.24	Sputnik Almetyevsk - Tolpar	5:6 penalties
04.09.24	Sputnik Almetyevsk - Tolpar	1:7
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
04.08.24	Sputnik Almetyevsk - Tolpar	1:3

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