The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sputnik Almetyevsk 13.6%
Draw 16%
Tolpar 70.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
15.9%
17%
67.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
20.2%
21.5%
58.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sputnik Almetyevsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
Tolpar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sputnik Almetyevsk than the current prediction. (+6.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sputnik Almetyevsk, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tolpar than the current prediction. (-12%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tolpar, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Sputnik Almetyevsk - Tolpar Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:4
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Lineups
Line 1
94. Protonin S. (G)
94. Tkachyov K. (G)
80. Lesnikov S. (A)
86. Volkov D.
96. Devyatov Y.
76. Pykhtin D. (C)
48. Taziyev V.
11. Shaykhlislamov A.
14. Gataullin A.
37. Zagrebin M.
52. Troyanov I.
28. Akhsyanov B. (A)
Line 2
54. Levagin Y.
23. Khafzetdinov A.
64. Siraziyev D.
98. Zayets D.
22. Giniyatullin R.
9. Petrenko D.
67. Nurgaliyev M.
87. Buzdyganov V.
29. Gimadiev A. (C)
75. Shebyakin M.
Line 3
23. Idiyatov A.
24. Karasyov M.
81. Chistousov V.
16. Khusainov R.
78. Abdukadyrov S.
67. Khabibullin A. (A)
34. Ismagilov K.
42. Koltsov N.
15. Davletshin I.
82. Akhsyanov A.
Line 4
76. Safiullin I. (A)
58. Plotnikov D.
58. Milyayev A.
63. Makarkin A.
95. Dolgov R.
90. Ostanin A.
6. Galimov T.
74. Adamyan A.
Substitutes
57. Safonov V.
18. Kireyev R.
72. Tychkin D. (G)
99. Tkach-Tkachenko I. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 3)
03:42, 0 - 1, Zagrebin M. (G), Shaykhlislamov A. (A),
17:51, 0 - 2, Khabibullin A. (G), Shaykhlislamov A. (A), Pykhtin D. (A2)
18:21, 0 - 3, Petrenko D. (G), Shebyakin M. (A),
2nd Period (2 - 3)
01:24, 0 - 4, Petrenko D. (G), Shebyakin M. (A),
05:30, 1 - 4, Gimadiev A. (G),
11:30, 1 - 5, Zagrebin M. (G), Shaykhlislamov A. (A), Volkov D. (A2)
12:03, 1 - 6, Petrenko D. (G), Zayets D. (A), Khafzetdinov A. (A2)
17:24, 2 - 6, Abdukadyrov S. (G), Safiullin I. (A),
3rd Period (1 - 2)
02:47, 2 - 7, Petrenko D. (G), Khafzetdinov A. (A), Shebyakin M. (A2)
04:46, 2 - 8, Akhsyanov B. (G), Zagrebin M. (A),
13:59, 3 - 8, Nurgaliyev M. (G), Gimadiev A. (A), Giniyatullin R. (A2)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sputnik Almetyevsk won 0.
Sputnik Almetyevsk has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Tolpar is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Tolpar may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Tolpar is the clear favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sputnik Almetyevsk won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 47:84. (average 2.4:4.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Sputnik Almetyevsk won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 23:32. (average 2.6:3.6).
Last Results with these Odds
Sputnik Almetyevsk - the odds 5.81 are the expected chance of winning is 15.94%, but this team recently wins 8% of matches with these odds.
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