Match Info

MHL

Date: 5 March 2026, Thursday


	Tolpar		Sibirskie Snaypery

	1	X	2
	1.76	4.4	3.84
	1.71	4.45	3.6	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (1.76)	4.43 ↑ (4.42)	3.72 ↑ (3.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.25

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tolpar
53.8%

Draw
21.1%

Sibirskie Snaypery
25.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.7%

21%

26.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49%

22.6%

28.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tolpar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Sibirskie Snaypery has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tolpar than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sibirskie Snaypery than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Tolpar - Sibirskie Snaypery Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3

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Lineups

Line 1
94. Tkachyov K. (G)	30. Veselov M. (G)
86. Volkov D.	18. Kupriyanov M.
76. Pykhtin D. (C)	57. Khlebkov G.
11. Shaykhlislamov A.	34. Polezhayev A.
37. Zagrebin M.	90. Golovnyov Y. (A)
28. Akhsyanov B. (A)	32. Nenakhov M. (C)
Line 2
23. Khafzetdinov A.	14. Grunin A.
98. Zayets D.	69. Kukhno A. (A)
9. Petrenko D.	9. Gorokhov P.
87. Buzdyganov V.	7. Kokorev I.
75. Shebyakin M.	66. Gusev Y.
Line 3
16. Khusainov R.	10. Dellert A.
24. Karasyov M.	15. Itkin A.
67. Khabibullin A. (A)	12. Pershakov A.
42. Koltsov N.	83. Yevtushenko A.
26. Degtyarev M.	53. Kheibatov Y.
Line 4
58. Plotnikov D.	87. Isayenko R.
47. Fogelnest M.	44. Popov T.
63. Makarkin A.	97. Isayenko K.
18. Kireyev R.	11. Filimoshkin K.
74. Adamyan A.	77. Terenin D.
Substitutes
99. Tkach-Tkachenko I. (G)	33. Vetrov Y. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 1)
07:06, 1 - 0, Kireyev R. (G),
15:42, 1 - 1, Gusev Y. (G), Gorokhov P. (A), Kheibatov Y. (A2)
17:15, 2 - 1, Pykhtin D. (G), Petrenko D. (A),
2nd Period (2 - 0)
04:08, 3 - 1, Shaykhlislamov A. (G), Zagrebin M. (A),
17:25, 4 - 1, Pykhtin D. (G), Degtyarev M. (A),
3rd Period (3 - 0)
13:25, 5 - 1, Shaykhlislamov A. (G), Zagrebin M. (A),
15:52, 6 - 1, Degtyarev M. (Penalty Shot),
19:37, 7 - 1, Petrenko D. (G), Khusainov R. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tolpar won 4.

Tolpar has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Sibirskie Snaypery is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Tolpar may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Tolpar is a strong favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tolpar won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 69:59. (average 3.5:3).

Including home matches between the teams, Tolpar won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 33:25. (average 3.7:2.8).

Last Results with these Odds

Tolpar - the odds 1.76 are the expected chance of winning is 52.74%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tolpar Ufa
MHL
02.03.26	Sputnik Almetyevsk - Tolpar	3:8 ✺
27.02.26	Reaktor - Tolpar	1:3 ✺
23.02.26	Tolpar - Loko-76	6:4 ✺
20.02.26	Tolpar - AKM Novomoskovsk	5:0 ✺
14.02.26	Kuznetskie Medvedi - Tolpar	3:4 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WWWWW
- Sibirskie Snaypery
MHL
01.03.26	Sibirskie Snaypery - Kuznetskie Medvedi	3:2 OT ✺
28.02.26	Sibirskie Snaypery - Atlant	5:4 penalties ✺
24.02.26	Sibirskie Snaypery - Mamonty Yugry	4:3 OT ✺
19.02.26	Avto - Sibirskie Snaypery	4:1 ✺
17.02.26	Belye Medvedi - Sibirskie Snaypery	2:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

MHL
28.11.25	Sibirskie Snaypery - Tolpar	3:4 OT
06.02.25	Tolpar - Sibirskie Snaypery	7:5
20.01.25	Sibirskie Snaypery - Tolpar	2:3 OT
31.01.24	Tolpar - Sibirskie Snaypery	2:3
30.01.24	Tolpar - Sibirskie Snaypery	4:2
26.11.23	Sibirskie Snaypery - Tolpar	4:3
24.11.23	Sibirskie Snaypery - Tolpar	4:1

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