Match Info

MHL

Date: 10 October 2025, Friday


	Tolpar		Omskye Yastreby

	1	X	2
	3.4	4.45	1.76
	3.41	4.45	1.78	Watch
	3.4	4.3	1.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.4 ↑ (3.19)	4.4 ↓ (4.9)	1.75 ↓ (1.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tolpar
26.9%

Draw
20.8%

Omskye Yastreby
52.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.2%

19%

51.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.4%

18.5%

53.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tolpar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Omskye Yastreby has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tolpar than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Omskye Yastreby than the current prediction. (+1%)

Tolpar - Omskye Yastreby Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:4

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Lineups

Line 1
99. Tkach-Tkachenko I. (G)	31. Ivchenko D. (G)
16. Khusainov R.	67. Mudrik Y.
23. Khafzetdinov A. (A)	29. Denisov P.
97. Faizov A. (A)	23. Levchenko L.
37. Zagrebin M. (C)	10. Kharionov N.
28. Akhsyanov B.	12. Korzin V.
Line 2
36. Gunkin Y.	21. Grigoryev I.
24. Karasyov M.	4. Chernochub P.
11. Shaykhlislamov A.	27. Kuryanov A.
42. Koltsov N.	73. Kazantsev R. (C)
9. Petrenko D.	72. Malov D. (A)
Line 3
98. Zayets D.	45. Krivko A.
76. Pykhtin D.	33. Zavadsky A.
63. Makarkin A.	87. Burlaka G.
67. Khabibullin A.	18. Laman R.
74. Adamyan A.	30. Sklokin M.
Line 4
58. Plotnikov D.	95. Fiskov D.
78. Zhuk A.	50. Mozzhukhin V.
47. Fogelnest M.	56. Trofimchuk Y.
87. Buzdyganov V.	93. Moruzhov D. (A)
75. Shebyakin M.	9. Tkachyov Y.
Substitutes
30. Povarov M. (G)	55. Yunin I. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
04:54, 0 - 1, Sklokin M. (G),
2nd Period (0 - 2)
03:56, 0 - 2, Malov D. (G), Mudrik Y. (A),
12:58, 0 - 3, Laman R. (G), Kharionov N. (A), Korzin V. (A2)
3rd Period (2 - 0)
01:55, 1 - 3, Pykhtin D. (G), Adamyan A. (A), Khabibullin A. (A2)
12:13, 2 - 3, Faizov A. (G), Akhsyanov B. (A), Gunkin Y. (A2)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tolpar won 2.

Tolpar is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Omskye Yastreby is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Tolpar may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Omskye Yastreby could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tolpar won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 58:56. (average 2.9:2.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Tolpar won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 33:27. (average 3:2.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tolpar Ufa
MHL
09.10.25	Tolpar - Omskye Yastreby	4:3 OT ✺
04.10.25	Tyumensky Legion - Tolpar	0:7 ✺
01.10.25	Molot Perm - Tolpar	3:6 ✺
28.09.25	Snezhnye Barsy - Tolpar	0:4 ✺
23.09.25	Tolpar - Tyumensky Legion	7:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 WWWWW
- Omskye Yastreby
MHL
09.10.25	Tolpar - Omskye Yastreby	4:3 OT ✺
02.10.25	Omskye Yastreby - Krasnoyarskie Rysi	7:0 ✺
29.09.25	Omskye Yastreby - Sibirskie Snaypery	5:1 ✺
24.09.25	Omskye Yastreby - Kuznetskie Medvedi	2:1 ✺
17.09.25	Ladya Togliatti - Omskye Yastreby	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

MHL
09.10.25	Tolpar - Omskye Yastreby	4:3 OT
07.03.25	Omskye Yastreby - Tolpar	6:3
12.11.24	Tolpar - Omskye Yastreby	2:3 OT
04.02.24	Tolpar - Omskye Yastreby	0:2
03.02.24	Tolpar - Omskye Yastreby	6:1
30.11.23	Omskye Yastreby - Tolpar	5:2
29.11.23	Omskye Yastreby - Tolpar	3:2

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