The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Toronto Marlies 33.8%
Draw 22.6%
Charlotte Checkers 43.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37.4%
24.1%
38.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.5%
26.7%
34.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Toronto Marlies has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
Charlotte Checkers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Charlotte Checkers's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toronto Marlies than the current prediction. (+7.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Toronto Marlies, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Charlotte Checkers than the current prediction. (-8.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Charlotte Checkers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Toronto Marlies - Charlotte Checkers Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
70. Akhtyamov A. (G)
70. Domingue L. (G)
48. Baddock B.
5. Carrick T. (C)
68. Barbolini M.
4. Devine J.
20. Borgesi V.
18. Entwistle M. (A)
58. Chadwick N.
39. Gaber R.
54. Djurasevic F.
12. Huard C.
43. Haymes L.
3. Jansson L.
65. Johnson R.
21. Livingstone J.
57. Johnstone M. (A)
7. Mastrosimone R.
66. King Ben
26. Pinho B.
71. Lettieri V.
11. Powell E.
36. Mermis D. (A)
24. Sawchyn G.
92. Nylander A.
13. Schwindt K.
56. Pare C.
25. Skoog W.
11. Shaw L. (C)
15. Smith N.
59. Smith B.
6. Steeves B.
3. Thrun H.
19. St. Martin H.
77. Tverberg R.
23. Studnicka J.
39. Valis B.
29. Vilmanis S.
Substitutes
35. Hildeby D. (G)
20. Gerasimyuk K. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 2)
11:11, 0 - 1, Mastrosimone R. (G), Skoog W. (A), Livingstone J. (A2)
19:36, 0 - 2, St. Martin H. (G),
2nd Period (0 - 2)
12:21, 0 - 3, Jansson L. (G), Studnicka J. (A), Carrick T. (A2)
17:13, 0 - 4, Steeves B. (G), Mastrosimone R. (A),
3rd Period (1 - 1)
04:40, 0 - 5, Livingstone J. (G), Studnicka J. (A),
16:44, 1 - 5, Nylander A. (G),
Preview
The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: ))
Charlotte is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 2.
Toronto has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Charlotte is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Charlotte may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Toronto has had a series of home games.
Recently, Charlotte has had a series of away games.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
We predict that Charlotte will win today's game, with odds of 2.3.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 62:68. (average 3.1:3.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Toronto won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 23:27. (average 2.6:3).
Last Results with these Odds
Toronto Marlies - the odds 2.45 are the expected chance of winning is 37.4%, but this team recently wins 32% of matches with these odds.
Charlotte Checkers - the odds 2.38 are the expected chance of winning is 38.49%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.
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Akhtyamov A. (G) 
Domingue L. (G) 
Barbolini M. 
Djurasevic F. 
Jansson L. 
Vilmanis S. 
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