Match Info

VHL

Date: 18 March 2026, Wednesday

Location: Ledovy Dvorets (Neftekamsk)


	Toros Neftekamsk		Magnitka Magnitogorsk

	1	X	2
	1.7	4.25	4.02
	1.58	4.6	4.63	Watch
	1.63	4.5	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (2.31)	4.45 ↑ (3.86)	3.97 ↑ (2.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.75

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Toros Neftekamsk
56.2%

Draw
20.7%

Magnitka Magnitogorsk
23.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.4%

24.2%

35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.5%

26.1%

38.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Toros Neftekamsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Toros Neftekamsk's performance.

Magnitka Magnitogorsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Magnitka Magnitogorsk might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toros Neftekamsk than the current prediction. (-18.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Toros Neftekamsk that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Magnitka Magnitogorsk than the current prediction. (+15%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Magnitka Magnitogorsk could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Toros Neftekamsk - Magnitka Magnitogorsk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
1. Yelin I. (G)	23. Amirbekov J. (G)
85. Budnitsky V. (A)	21. Yegorov A.
9. Orlov G.	7. Timashov N. (A)
44. Khvorov N.	31. Mirzabalayev A.
17. Sychyov V.	36. Mastryukov A. (A)
56. Suvorov A.	9. Boltanov A. (C)
Line 2
4. Chebotaryov V. (C)	63. Vaulin M.
52. Kolganov A.	94. Romanov R.
93. Gimbatov R.	74. Zhugin V.
25. Valeyev T.	43. Penzin Y.
24. Andreichenko V.	38. Mikhnin D.
Line 3
46. Yelsukov F.	14. Medvedev S.
45. Kurbanov Z.	87. Ananyin Y.
10. Kolesnikov S. (A)	99. Kovgorenya A.
22. Sorokin Y.	98. Fursa A.
3. Shatilo I.	68. Golnik R.
Line 4
38. Skoropad N.
72. Zavizhsky M.
80. Galiyev E.
Substitutes
49. Braginsky D. (G)	35. Moiseyev G. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 2)
03:21, 0 - 1, Fursa A. (G), Boltanov A. (A), Kovgorenya A. (A2)
19:42, 0 - 2, Mirzabalayev A. (G), Zhugin V. (A),
2nd Period (0 - 0)
3rd Period (2 - 0)
03:41, 1 - 2, Gimbatov R. (G), Khvorov N. (A),
17:33, 2 - 2, Sychyov V. (G), Gimbatov R. (A),
Overtime (0 - 0)
Penalties (0 - 1)
1, Boltanov A. (Penalty Shot),
1, Gimbatov R. (Penalty Shot),
2, Kovgorenya A. (Penalty Shot),
2, Khvorov N. (Penalty Shot),
3, Fursa A. (Penalty Shot),
3, Sychyov V. (Penalty Shot),
4, Golnik R. (Penalty Shot),
4, Sorokin Y. (Penalty Shot),
5, Mirzabalayev A. (Penalty Shot),
5, Suvorov A. (Penalty Shot),

Preview

Magnitka is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)

Toros is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Magnitka has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Toros is the team to beat.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Toros won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 2:2.3).

Including home match between the teams, Toros won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4.

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
13	Toros Neftekamsk	12	6	0	2	4	30:29	14
21	Magnitka Magnitogorsk	9	4	0	3	2	18:14	11

Last Results with these Odds

Toros Neftekamsk - the odds 2.31 are the expected chance of winning is 40.38%, but this team recently wins 31% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Toros Neftekamsk
VHL
16.03.26	Toros Neftekamsk - Yuzhny Ural Orsk	6:2 ✺
14.03.26	Toros Neftekamsk - Gornyak-UGMK	2:3 OT ✺
12.03.26	Toros Neftekamsk - Chelmet	3:4 ✺
07.03.26	Izhstal - Toros Neftekamsk	3:1 ✺
05.03.26	Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk - Toros Neftekamsk	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 WLLLL
- Magnitka Magnitogorsk
VHL
16.03.26	Izhstal - Magnitka Magnitogorsk	4:6 ✺
14.03.26	Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk - Magnitka Magnitogorsk	4:3 OT ✺
12.03.26	Molot Perm - Magnitka Magnitogorsk	2:0 ✺
06.03.26	Magnitka Magnitogorsk - Kristall Saratov	3:4 OT ✺
04.03.26	Magnitka Magnitogorsk - Dizel Penza	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

VHL
08.09.25	Magnitka Magnitogorsk - Toros Neftekamsk	3:2 OT
27.12.24	Magnitka Magnitogorsk - Toros Neftekamsk	0:2
20.11.24	Toros Neftekamsk - Magnitka Magnitogorsk	2:4

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