Match Info

VHL - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 29 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Nagorny Arena (Nizhny Novgorod)


	Torpedo-Gorky		Magnitka Magnitogorsk

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.9	2.73
	2.27	3.9	2.71	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↓ (2.42)	3.9 ↑ (3.86)	2.72 ↑ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Torpedo-Gorky
41.2%

Draw
24.2%

Magnitka Magnitogorsk
34.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.5%

24.2%

37.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.5%

25.4%

35.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Torpedo-Gorky has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Magnitka Magnitogorsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Torpedo-Gorky than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Magnitka Magnitogorsk than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Torpedo Gorky - Magnitka Magnitogorsk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
52. Dagestansky D. (G)	23. Amirbekov J. (G)
33. Bochkov I. (C)	21. Yegorov A.
59. Nikitin Y.	37. Gololobov D.
70. Gazizov R.	36. Mastryukov A. (A)
58. Ilyin D. (A)	15. Grass M.
78. Orlovich-Grudkov D.	9. Boltanov A.
Line 2
3. Steklov K.	28. Zhukov K.
28. Dryagilev A.	7. Timashov N. (A)
15. Avershin D.	31. Mirzabalayev A.
89. Stalnov D. (A)	18. Tyutnev P.
66. Misnikov A.	88. Rybin I.
Line 3
24. Pelevin A.	32. Shetle E.
81. Varlakov A.	51. Poltavchuk N.
75. Melnikov Y.	95. Osipovich B.
71. Rozhkov N. A.	97. Galenyuk M.
8. Mukhanov T.	77. Kuzyakin A.
Line 4
65. Chesnokov I.	87. Ananyin Y.
97. Mayorov N.	94. Romanov R.
84. Utkin M.	43. Penzin Y.
23. Chesnokov G.	13. Zimin N. (C)
	98. Fursa A.
Substitutes
87. Opalev R.	20. Kramzin Y. (G)
1. Zinaddin L. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 0)
16:13, 1 - 0, Rozhkov N. A. (G), Stalnov D. (A), Varlakov A. (A2)
18:36, 2 - 0, Ilyin D. (G), Nikitin Y. (A), Orlovich-Grudkov D. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 2)
04:03, 2 - 1, Boltanov A. (G), Zhukov K. (A),
06:41, 2 - 2, Tyutnev P. (G), Galenyuk M. (A), Mastryukov A. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 0)
Overtime (0 - 1)
08:57, 2 - 3, Osipovich B. (G), Rybin I. (A), Zimin N. (A2)

Preview

Magnitka Magnitogorsk leads series 3-0. Fourth leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Torpedo-Gorky won 1.

Torpedo-Gorky is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Magnitka is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Torpedo-Gorky may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Torpedo-Gorky has had a series of away games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

We predict that Magnitka will win today's game, with odds of 2.72.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Torpedo-Gorky won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 13:21. (average 1.9:3).

Including home matches between the teams, Torpedo-Gorky won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 2:2.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
20	Magnitka Magnitogorsk	9	4	0	3	2	18:14	11

Last Results with these Odds

Torpedo-Gorky - the odds 2.42 are the expected chance of winning is 38.54%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Magnitka Magnitogorsk - the odds 2.5 are the expected chance of winning is 37.3%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Torpedo-Gorky
VHL
27.03.26	Torpedo-Gorky - Magnitka Magnitogorsk	0:1 ✺
24.03.26	Magnitka Magnitogorsk - Torpedo-Gorky	6:3 ✺
22.03.26	Magnitka Magnitogorsk - Torpedo-Gorky	3:1 ✺
14.03.26	Kristall Saratov - Torpedo-Gorky	7:4 ✺
12.03.26	Dizel Penza - Torpedo-Gorky	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LLLLW
- Magnitka Magnitogorsk
VHL
27.03.26	Torpedo-Gorky - Magnitka Magnitogorsk	0:1 ✺
24.03.26	Magnitka Magnitogorsk - Torpedo-Gorky	6:3 ✺
22.03.26	Magnitka Magnitogorsk - Torpedo-Gorky	3:1 ✺
18.03.26	Toros Neftekamsk - Magnitka Magnitogorsk	2:3 penalties ✺
16.03.26	Izhstal - Magnitka Magnitogorsk	4:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.9 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

VHL
27.03.26	Torpedo-Gorky - Magnitka Magnitogorsk	0:1
24.03.26	Magnitka Magnitogorsk - Torpedo-Gorky	6:3
22.03.26	Magnitka Magnitogorsk - Torpedo-Gorky	3:1
23.12.25	Magnitka Magnitogorsk - Torpedo-Gorky	3:2
14.11.25	Torpedo-Gorky - Magnitka Magnitogorsk	5:4 penalties
11.01.25	Torpedo-Gorky - Magnitka Magnitogorsk	1:2
08.11.24	Magnitka Magnitogorsk - Torpedo-Gorky	2:1 penalties

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