Match Info

VHL

Date: 12 March 2026, Thursday

Location: Dizel-Arena (Penza)


	Dizel Penza		Torpedo-Gorky

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.7	2.68
	2.33	3.8	2.64	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↑ (2.33)	3.75 ↑ (3.75)	2.66 ↓ (2.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dizel Penza
39.9%

Draw
24.9%

Torpedo-Gorky
35.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.1%

24.9%

35%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37%

27%

37.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dizel Penza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Torpedo-Gorky has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dizel Penza than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Torpedo-Gorky than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	100%	0%

Dizel Penza - Torpedo Gorky Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. It will Tie (votes: 3 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Torpedo-Gorky (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
27. Arzamastsev A. (G)	52. Dagestansky D. (G)
68. Rudakov G.	33. Bochkov I. (C)
75. Pogorishny O. (A)	59. Nikitin Y.
91. Andriyanov A.	70. Gazizov R.
95. Pochivalov D. (A)	58. Ilyin D. (A)
71. Kolmykov M.	78. Orlovich-Grudkov D.
Line 2
6. Lukichyov A.	81. Varlakov A.
77. Bannikov A.	28. Dryagilev A.
23. Sidlyarov D. (C)	67. Savunov D.
47. Bobylyov V.	87. Opalev R. (A)
97. Borisenkov A.	71. Rozhkov N. A.
Line 3
83. Sukhov S.	65. Chesnokov I.
54. Filippov T.	3. Steklov K.
41. Lukin V.	97. Mayorov N.
69. Boluchevsky A.	84. Utkin M.
16. Polshkov A.	66. Misnikov A.
Line 4
72. Shvangiradze D.	44. Yatsenko A.
78. Balashov M.	75. Melnikov Y.
34. Larichev V.	89. Stalnov D.
96. Baranov Y.	15. Avershin D.
Substitutes
35. Vyshnik E. (G)	22. Golan I.
	1. Zinaddin L. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
15:34, 0 - 1, Orlovich-Grudkov D. (G), Gazizov R. (A), Nikitin Y. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 1)
10:18, 0 - 2, Misnikov A. (G), Varlakov A. (A),
3rd Period (0 - 2)
09:09, 0 - 3, Ilyin D. (G), Gazizov R. (A), Steklov K. (A2)
19:58, 0 - 4, Misnikov A. (G), Gazizov R. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dizel won 1.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Dizel may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Dizel has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Dizel won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 21:22. (average 2.6:2.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Dizel won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:7. (average 2.7:2.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
18	Dizel	11	3	2	2	4	24:24	12

Last Results with these Odds

Torpedo-Gorky - the odds 2.67 are the expected chance of winning is 35.02%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dizel Penza
VHL
06.03.26	Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Dizel Penza	0:3 ✺
04.03.26	Magnitka Magnitogorsk - Dizel Penza	2:0 ✺
02.03.26	Chelmet - Dizel Penza	6:4 ✺
28.02.26	Gornyak-UGMK - Dizel Penza	2:3 ✺
24.02.26	Dizel Penza - Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WLLWW
- Torpedo-Gorky
VHL
10.03.26	Ryazan - Torpedo-Gorky	2:0 ✺
08.03.26	AKM - Torpedo-Gorky	2:3 penalties ✺
03.03.26	Torpedo-Gorky - Chelny	2:1 penalties ✺
01.03.26	Torpedo-Gorky - Neftyanik Almetyevsk	3:7 ✺
27.02.26	Torpedo-Gorky - CSK VVS Samara	2:1 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

VHL
11.09.25	Torpedo-Gorky - Dizel Penza	3:2 penalties
18.12.24	Dizel Penza - Torpedo-Gorky	1:2
22.11.24	Torpedo-Gorky - Dizel Penza	7:1
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
17.08.24	Torpedo-Gorky - Dizel Penza	3:2
16.08.24	Torpedo-Gorky - Dizel Penza	1:5
VHL
04.02.20	Dizel Penza - Torpedo-Gorky	2:3 OT
19.09.19	Torpedo-Gorky - Dizel Penza	1:3

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