Match Info

KHL

Date: 24 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Nagorny Arena (Nizhny Novgorod)


	Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod		SKA Saint Petersburg

	1	X	2
	2.11	3.61	2.97
	2.19	4.37	2.9	Watch
	2.1	4	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↓ (2.49)	3.99 ↓ (4.32)	2.96 ↑ (2.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod
44.3%

Draw
23.7%

SKA Saint Petersburg
32%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39%

22.5%

38.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9%

22.6%

38.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod's performance.

SKA Saint Petersburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and SKA Saint Petersburg might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SKA Saint Petersburg than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that SKA Saint Petersburg could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	11.1%	11.1%

Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod - SKA Saint Petersburg Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Torpedo NN will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). SKA will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Torpedo NN: 50.6% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
72. Kostin D. (G)	73. Pleshkov A. (G)
6. Konyushkov B. (C)	9. Sapego S.
77. Nardella B.	18. Phillips M.
16. Atanasov V.	16. Plotnikov S.
55. Tkachyov V. (A)	38. Gurzanov Y.
92. Vinogradov Y.	90. Zykov V. (A)
Line 2
36. Sizov A. (A)	22. Zaitsev N. (C)
96. Boikov S.	34. Savikov Y.
7. Letunov M.	61. Khairullin M. (A)
27. Goncharuk S.	71. Korotky M.
68. Garayev A.	81. Leipsic B.
Line 3
2. Zhuravlyov D.	27. Menell B.
21. Silayev A.	79. Galenyuk D.
13. Sokolov Y.	10. Blandisi J.
39. Pugachyov G.	23. Grimaldi R.
43. Svishchyov K.	55. Dishkovsky N.
Line 4
33. Naumenkov M.	3. Pedan A.
10. Firstov V.	41. Polyakov M.
18. Prince S.	68. Nedopyokin N.
89. Geraskin I.	87. Goldobin N.
Substitutes
93. Belevich A.	1. Ivanov S. (G)
52. Dagestansky D. (G)
Coaches
. Isakov A.	. Larionov I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (3 - 0)
09:21, 1 - 0, Goncharuk S. (G), Letunov M. (A), Garayev A. (A2)
13:50, 2 - 0, Atanasov V. (G), Vinogradov Y. (A), Tkachyov V. (A2)
16:52, 3 - 0, Svishchyov K. (G), Sokolov Y. (A),
16:52, Pleshkov A. ↓, Ivanov S. ↑,
2nd Period (2 - 0)
08:15, Plotnikov S. (2 min),
08:30, Firstov V. (2 min),
09:36, Blandisi J. (2 min),
09:52, 4 - 0, Vinogradov Y. (G), Tkachyov V. (A), Nardella B. (A2)
12:47, Prince S. (2 min),
16:24, 5 - 0, Svishchyov K. (G), Zhuravlyov D. (A), Sokolov Y. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 0)
01:44, Belevich A. (2 min),
06:53, Nedopyokin N. (2 min),
12:09, Polyakov M. (2 min),
12:32, 6 - 0, Vinogradov Y. (G), Sokolov Y. (A), Tkachyov V. (A2)

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ KHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ KHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Torpedo NN won 3.

Torpedo NN has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In recent matches, SKA has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

SKA may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Torpedo NN is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Torpedo NN will win today's game, with odds of 2.13.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Torpedo NN won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 52:68. (average 2.6:3.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Torpedo NN won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 21:31. (average 2.3:3.4).

Last Results with these Odds

Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod - the odds 2.49 are the expected chance of winning is 38.99%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod
KHL
22.01.26	Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod - Shanghai Dragons	7:2 ✺
19.01.26	Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod	1:3 ✺
17.01.26	Spartak Moscow - Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod	0:1 ✺
14.01.26	Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod - Lokomotiv Yaroslavl	3:0 ✺
12.01.26	Dynamo Moscow - Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod	3:4 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28.8 WWWWW
- SKA Saint Petersburg
KHL
22.01.26	SKA Saint Petersburg - Spartak Moscow	1:2 ✺
19.01.26	SKA Saint Petersburg - Dinamo Minsk	3:4 ✺
16.01.26	SKA Saint Petersburg - Sochi	1:2 ✺
14.01.26	Shanghai Dragons - SKA Saint Petersburg	2:5 ✺
12.01.26	Lada Togliatti - SKA Saint Petersburg	3:4 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

KHL
01.10.25	SKA Saint Petersburg - Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod	2:3 OT
29.09.25	SKA Saint Petersburg - Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod	2:5
08.09.25	Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod - SKA Saint Petersburg	3:2 OT
22.03.25	Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod - SKA Saint Petersburg	2:3 penalties
19.12.24	SKA Saint Petersburg - Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod	6:4
21.11.24	SKA Saint Petersburg - Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod	4:1
21.09.24	Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod - SKA Saint Petersburg	3:4

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