Match Info

KHL

Date: 16 January 2026, Friday

Location: Ice Palace (Saint Petersburg)


	SKA Saint Petersburg		Sochi

	1	X	2
	1.43	6.12	6.02	Watch
	1.4	5.5	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.48)	5.81 ↑ (5.43)	6.01 ↑ (5.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

SKA Saint Petersburg
67.6%

Draw
16.5%

Sochi
15.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.4%

17.8%

16.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.3%

17.6%

16.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SKA Saint Petersburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Sochi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for SKA Saint Petersburg than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sochi than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	20%	40%

SKA Saint Petersburg - Sochi Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. SKA will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Sochi will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Sochi (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 5.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 5.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1

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Lineups

Line 1
1. Ivanov S. (G)	30. Khomchenko P. (G)
18. Phillips M.	23. Machulin V.
34. Savikov Y.	11. Volkov A. (A)
61. Khairullin M. (A)	34. Popov S.
42. Vorobyov M.	87. Khafizov T. (A)
90. Zykov V. (A)	9. Vengryzhanovsky D.
Line 2
22. Zaitsev N.	88. Nikolayev I.
9. Sapego S.	22. Hoefenmayer N.
23. Grimaldi R.	71. Ellis M.
10. Blandisi J.	24. Bikmullin R.
81. Leipsic B.	27. Kagarlitsky D.
Line 3
3. Pedan A.	51. Sushko I.
27. Menell B.	12. Lee C.
16. Plotnikov S. (C)	41. Bitten W.
17. Loktionov A.	79. Bashkirov D.
87. Goldobin N.	78. Polyakov N.
Line 4
79. Galenyuk D.	5. Sapozhnikov A.
55. Dishkovsky N.	25. Dedunov P. (C)
68. Nedopyokin N.	61. Beaudin J.
41. Polyakov M.	54. Avramov F.
Substitutes
73. Pleshkov A. (G)	40. Shchetilin A. (G)
	15. Utkin D.
Coaches
. Larionov I.	. Mikhailov D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
01:19, Savikov Y. (2 min),
09:21, 0 - 1, Hoefenmayer N. (G),
2nd Period (0 - 1)
14:42, Kagarlitsky D. (2 min),
19:58, 0 - 2, Polyakov N. (G), Dedunov P. (A), Bashkirov D. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 0)
02:45, (2 min),
04:23, Hoefenmayer N. (2 min),
08:39, 1 - 2, Khairullin M. (G), Polyakov M. (A), Vorobyov M. (A2)
11:29, Pedan A. (2 min),

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ KHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, SKA won 4.

SKA is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Sochi has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

SKA may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, SKA has had a series of away games.

Recently, Sochi has had a series of home games.

In this match, SKA is the undeniable favorite.

We predict that SKA will win today's game, with odds of 1.42.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, SKA won 16 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 97:59. (average 4.9:3).

Including home matches between the teams, SKA won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 48:18. (average 4.8:1.8).

Outrights of KHL for now

SKA St. Petersburg: 4.97% Sochi: 0.28%

Last Results with these Odds

SKA Saint Petersburg - the odds 1.48 are the expected chance of winning is 65.44%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SKA Saint Petersburg
KHL
14.01.26	Shanghai Dragons - SKA Saint Petersburg	2:5 ✺
12.01.26	Lada Togliatti - SKA Saint Petersburg	3:4 penalties ✺
10.01.26	Metallurg Magnitogorsk - SKA Saint Petersburg	5:1 ✺
07.01.26	SKA Saint Petersburg - Lada Togliatti	5:4 OT ✺
30.12.25	Shanghai Dragons - SKA Saint Petersburg	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WWLWW
- HC Sochi
KHL
14.01.26	Metallurg Magnitogorsk - Sochi	9:0 ✺
09.01.26	Sochi - Lada Togliatti	1:4 ✺
07.01.26	Sochi - Dynamo Moscow	0:3 ✺
05.01.26	Sochi - Dynamo Moscow	2:0 ✺
03.01.26	Sochi - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

KHL
28.12.25	Sochi - SKA Saint Petersburg	8:4
24.10.25	SKA Saint Petersburg - Sochi	8:1
27.09.25	Sochi - SKA Saint Petersburg	2:4
14.03.25	SKA Saint Petersburg - Sochi	2:0
27.12.24	Sochi - SKA Saint Petersburg	4:5
07.11.24	SKA Saint Petersburg - Sochi	2:5
19.09.24	Sochi - SKA Saint Petersburg	4:7

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