Match Info

Mestis

Date: 16 January 2026, Friday

Location: Kankaan jäähalli (Iisalmi)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	MTV Katsomo+


	IPK		TuTo

	1	X	2
	1.81	4.3	3.4	Watch
	1.96	4.25	3.08	Watch
	1.7	4.2	3.4
	1.83	4.2	3.31	Watch
	1.76	4.25	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↑ (1.79)	4.24 ↑ (4.22)	3.29 ↓ (3.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

IPK
50.5%

Draw
21.6%

TuTo
27.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.9%

22%

26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49%

23.3%

27.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

IPK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

TuTo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for IPK than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for TuTo than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

IPK - TuTo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
35. Rovio T. (G)	31. Helomaa J. (G)
66. Valtola K.	48. Vuorela J.
4. Koskela V.	6. Tukiainen J.
13. Halonen V.	15. Markkula S.
20. Ring L.	11. Valila E.
7. Suhonen P.	22. Karnaranta V.
Line 2
49. Viirret V.	7. Vare S.
12. Mikkonen O.	44. Vuori T.
44. Karppinen A.	23. Trakht D.
27. Lausniemi A.	24. Pennanen A.
22. Koponen E.	19. Korhonen J.
Line 3
59. Kahkonen J.	65. Nummelin R.
65. Haakana S.	62. Kulmala F.
21. Suomalainen S.	54. Tervo E.
26. Hattunen M.	34. Hameenaho V.
17. Vartiainen T.	14. Lindholm V.
Line 4
2. Junkkari J.	9. Rantanen N.
9. Vesaaja J.	28. Valila E.
29. Mykra O.	51. Rannikko O.
67. Curri R.	21. Virta S.
Substitutes
31. Kerkola P. (G)	30. Selin L. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
13:10, 0 - 1, Markkula S. (G), Vuorela J. (A), Karnaranta V. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 3)
12:35, 0 - 2, Karnaranta V. (G), Markkula S. (A),
13:06, 0 - 3, Korhonen J. (G), Pennanen A. (A), Trakht D. (A2)
19:18, 0 - 4, Vuorela J. (G), Karnaranta V. (A), Trakht D. (A2)
3rd Period (2 - 1)
11:44, 1 - 4, Valtola K. (G), Ring L. (A),
15:51, 2 - 4, Halonen V. (G), Viirret V. (A),
19:20, 2 - 5, Karnaranta V. (G),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, IPK won 1.

IPK has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

TuTo has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

IPK may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, IPK is a strong favorite.

We predict that IPK will win today's game, with odds of 1.74.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, IPK won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 60:66. (average 3:3.3).

Including home matches between the teams, IPK won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 31:34. (average 3.1:3.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
1	IPK	8	6	1	1	0	30:12	21

Last Results with these Odds

TuTo - the odds 3.57 are the expected chance of winning is 26.04%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Iisalmen Peli-Karhut
Finnish Mestis
13.01.26	IPK - KeuPa	6:3 ✺
10.01.26	IPK - RoKi	5:1 ✺
07.01.26	Kiekko-Vantaa - IPK	2:3 ✺
06.01.26	Nokian Pyry - IPK	5:4 OT ✺
02.01.26	IPK - Jokerit	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WWWLL
- TuTo
Finnish Mestis
10.01.26	Jokerit - TuTo	4:3 ✺
09.01.26	TuTo - KeuPa	3:4 OT ✺
03.01.26	TuTo - Kiekko-Vantaa	0:3 ✺
02.01.26	Kiekko-Vantaa - TuTo	4:2 ✺
28.12.25	Nokian Pyry - TuTo	3:4 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Mestis
05.12.25	TuTo - IPK	4:0
14.11.25	IPK - TuTo	3:2 OT
12.09.25	TuTo - IPK	4:3 OT
28.02.25	IPK - TuTo	0:5
07.02.25	TuTo - IPK	3:2 OT
17.01.25	IPK - TuTo	0:1
18.12.24	IPK - TuTo	4:3 OT

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