The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
IPK 46.6%
Draw 21.4%
TuTo 32%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
51.6%
20.7%
27.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
53.2%
21.3%
25.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
IPK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)
TuTo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for IPK than the current prediction. (+6.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for IPK, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for TuTo than the current prediction. (-6.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for TuTo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
IPK - TuTo Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
31. Kerkola P. (G)
31. Helomaa J. (G)
59. Kahkonen J.
62. Kulmala F.
96. Gronblom T.
46. Kiukas P.
77. Virtanen J. (C)
15. Markkula S. (C)
27. Lausniemi A. (A)
11. Valila E.
7. Suhonen P. (A)
22. Karnaranta V.
Line 2
81. Paqvalin A.
48. Happonen E.
6. Leppanen T.
5. Rikkila H.
28. Tolppola V.
94. Nordgren N.
33. Koskela S.
71. Turunen R. (A)
72. Ahvenlampi M.
21. Juhola J.
Line 3
56. Nissinen T.
3. Vuorinen V.
2. Junkkari J.
44. Vuori T.
13. Halonen V.
90. Turppa T.
26. Hattunen M.
34. Hameenaho V.
23. Paqvalin J.
19. Korhonen J. (A)
Line 4
4. Kotajarvi J.
51. Rannikko O.
9. Mykra O.
28. Valila E.
18. Tohila R.
25. Lindholm L.
67. Curri R.
14. Lindholm V.
Substitutes
30. Sammalniemi J. (G)
37. Raikka E. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 1)
08:01, 0 - 1, Korhonen J. (G), Rikkila H. (A), Turppa T. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 0)
3rd Period (0 - 3)
08:14, 0 - 2, Valila E. (G), Markkula S. (A), Karnaranta V. (A2)
11:11, 0 - 3, Rikkila H. (G), Karnaranta V. (A), Happonen E. (A2)
17:15, 0 - 4, Vuori T. (G),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, IPK won 1.
In recent outings, IPK has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
TuTo is on a roll with consecutive victories (last 5 matches: 5 wins).
IPK may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, TuTo has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
IPK is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, IPK has recorded 8 wins, 0 draws, and 12 losses, with a goal aggregate of 57:69 (averaging 2.9:3.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for IPK against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, with 30:35 goals (averaging 3:3.5 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
1
IPK
13
9
1
2
1
44:27
31
Last Results with these Odds
IPK - the odds 1.8 are the expected chance of winning is 51.61%, but this team recently wins 61% of matches with these odds.
Finland
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Kerkola P. (G) 
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