Match Info

Mestis

Date: 23 January 2026, Friday

Location: Veikkaus Arena (Helsinki)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	MTV Katsomo+


	Jokerit		TuTo

	1	X	2
	1.31	5.9	6.9	Watch
	1.3	4.8	5.37
	1.3	5.75	8.07	Watch
	1.29	5.5	7
	1.27	5.85	7.6	Watch
	1.2	7	7.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.28 ↓ (1.38)	5.8 ↑ (5.21)	7.07 ↑ (6.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jokerit
71.4%

Draw
15.7%

TuTo
12.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.3%

17.8%

14.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.3%

19.5%

16.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jokerit has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

TuTo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jokerit than the current prediction. (-10.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jokerit that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for TuTo than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Jokerit - TuTo Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5, 1st Period - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1

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Lineups

Line 1
37. Heikkeri S. (G)	30. Selin L. (G)
73. Tuhkanen O.	48. Vuorela J. (A)
52. Tuomola R.	6. Tukiainen J.
40. Suni O.	15. Markkula S. (C)
22. Forslund A.	11. Valila E. (A)
74. Henriksson J.	22. Karnaranta V.
Line 2
47. Forsblom S. (C)	63. Reini R.
12. Tumanovs M.	44. Vuori T.
25. Leskinen V.	23. Trakht D.
92. Mustonen A.	24. Pennanen A.
9. Salonen S.	19. Korhonen J.
Line 3
41. Manninen O. (A)	62. Kulmala F.
53. Elorinne A. (A)	7. Vare S.
77. Virtanen J.	54. Tervo E.
19. Nalli M.	34. Hameenaho V.
80. Vainikainen V.	14. Lindholm V.
Line 4
20. Lahnaviik R.	51. Rannikko O.
16. Henritius T.	72. Huumo V.
14. Liuksiala J.	21. Virta S.
Substitutes
26. Kangasniemi O.	31. Helomaa J. (G)
30. Vehvilainen V. (G)	9. Rantanen N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
17:07, 1 - 0, Salonen S. (G), Tumanovs M. (A), Mustonen A. (A2)
2nd Period (2 - 2)
02:16, 2 - 0, Lahnaviik R. (G), Henritius T. (A), Liuksiala J. (A2)
12:24, 2 - 1, Markkula S. (G), Karnaranta V. (A), Vuorela J. (A2)
17:55, 3 - 1, Vainikainen V. (G), Tuomola R. (A),
19:59, 3 - 2, Valila E. (G), Vuorela J. (A), Markkula S. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 1)
18:22, 4 - 2, Tumanovs M. (G), Nalli M. (A),
19:24, 4 - 3, Valila E. (G), Reini R. (A), Tervo E. (A2)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jokerit won 3.

Jokerit is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

TuTo is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

TuTo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Jokerit has had a series of home games.

In this match, Jokerit is the obvious favorite.

We predict that Jokerit will win today's game, with odds of 1.35.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Jokerit won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 59:36. (average 3.3:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Jokerit won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 27:15. (average 3:1.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Jokerit - the odds 1.38 are the expected chance of winning is 67.28%, but this team recently wins 80% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jokerit hockey
Finnish Mestis
20.01.26	Jokerit - Nokian Pyry	3:4 ✺
16.01.26	Jokerit - RoKi	3:0 ✺
10.01.26	Jokerit - TuTo	4:3 ✺
08.01.26	Jokerit - Hermes Kokkola	6:2 ✺
06.01.26	Imatran Ketterä - Jokerit	3:4 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LWWWW
- TuTo
Finnish Mestis
17.01.26	Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat - TuTo	4:3 penalties ✺
16.01.26	IPK - TuTo	2:5 ✺
10.01.26	Jokerit - TuTo	4:3 ✺
09.01.26	TuTo - KeuPa	3:4 OT ✺
03.01.26	TuTo - Kiekko-Vantaa	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Mestis
10.01.26	Jokerit - TuTo	4:3
29.11.25	TuTo - Jokerit	2:3 OT
26.09.25	TuTo - Jokerit	2:0
13.09.25	Jokerit - TuTo	1:3
06.03.25	Jokerit - TuTo	4:2
05.03.25	TuTo - Jokerit	3:6
03.03.25	Jokerit - TuTo	2:1

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