Match Info

Mestis

Date: 14 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Veikkaus Arena (Helsinki)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	MTV Katsomo+


	Jokerit		RoKi

	1	X	2
	1.4	5.3	5.8	Watch
	1.39	4.84	5.44
	1.42	5.09	5.95	Watch
	1.36	4.75	5.75
	1.39	5.1	5.76	Watch
	1.4	4.75	5.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.41)	4.97 ↓ (5.1)	5.74 ↓ (5.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Jokerit
65.7%

Draw
18.4%

RoKi
15.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.8%

18.2%

16%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.2%

19.6%

17.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jokerit has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

RoKi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jokerit than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for RoKi than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Jokerit - RoKi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1

#ad

Lineups

Line 1
30. Vehvilainen V. (G)	40. Huunonen R. (G)
73. Tuhkanen O.	55. Kenttamaa A.
52. Tuomola R.	84. Gronlund N.
40. Suni O.	39. Niemi E.
22. Forslund A.	93. Jarvela J.
74. Henriksson J.	15. Kaarela E.
Line 2
47. Forsblom S.	18. Siira L.
12. Tumanovs M.	28. Virtanen E.
26. Kangasniemi O.	91. Mikkola M.
92. Mustonen A.	19. Orn T.
71. Heinonen S.	21. Alanko T.
Line 3
41. Manninen O.	5. Antikainen A.
53. Elorinne A.	78. Haataja V.
21. Karvinen O.	71. Boucher E.
19. Nalli M.	77. Sikorski A.
80. Vainikainen V.	87. Ruusunen R.
Line 4
2. Rantakari O.	44. Lamsa J.
29. Kallio B.	23. Heinonen J.
16. Henritius T.	13. Puotiniemi V.
14. Liuksiala J.	82. Korsumaki A.
Substitutes
32. Anttila E. (G)	1. Hyypia E. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (3 - 0)
12:32, 1 - 0, Nalli M. (G), Elorinne A. (A), Vainikainen V. (A2)
14:21, 2 - 0, Tuomola R. (G), Mustonen A. (A), Heinonen S. (A2)
19:38, 3 - 0, Kangasniemi O. (G), Forsblom S. (A), Heinonen S. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 1)
19:20, 3 - 1, Siira L. (G), Mikkola M. (A), Orn T. (A2)
3rd Period (2 - 0)
16:05, 4 - 1, Nalli M. (G), Karvinen O. (A), Vainikainen V. (A2)
19:04, 5 - 1, Vainikainen V. (G),

Preview

Jokerit is Qualified for Mestis (Play Offs Quarter~finals)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jokerit won 4.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Jokerit may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Jokerit is the obvious favorite.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Jokerit won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 44:25. (average 3.1:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Jokerit won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:10. (average 2:1.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
3	RoKi	8	3	3	0	2	26:15	15

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jokerit hockey
Finnish Mestis
07.02.26	Jokerit - Imatran Ketterä	5:1 ✺
06.02.26	Nokian Pyry - Jokerit	3:2 ✺
04.02.26	Jokerit - KeuPa	8:2 ✺
31.01.26	IPK - Jokerit	3:4 penalties ✺
30.01.26	Hermes Kokkola - Jokerit	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WLWWL
- Rovaniemen Kiekko
Finnish Mestis
13.02.26	Kiekko-Vantaa - RoKi	1:5 ✺
11.02.26	TuTo - RoKi	3:1 ✺
07.02.26	RoKi - Kiekko-Vantaa	0:3 ✺
03.02.26	RoKi - IPK	3:4 OT ✺
31.01.26	Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat - RoKi	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Mestis
16.01.26	Jokerit - RoKi	3:0
12.12.25	RoKi - Jokerit	3:4 penalties
14.11.25	RoKi - Jokerit	1:4
18.10.25	Jokerit - RoKi	1:2
24.01.25	RoKi - Jokerit	1:4
11.01.25	Jokerit - RoKi	2:1
19.10.24	RoKi - Jokerit	0:4

Upcoming Matches