Match Info

Liiga

Date: 7 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Vaasa Arena (Vaasa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	MTV Katsomo+
Sweden	TV4 Play


	Vaasan Sport		JYP

	1	X	2
	7	5.75	1.33
	7.5	5.5	1.36	Watch
	7.27	5.43	1.34
	7.78	5.41	1.33	Watch
	7	5.5	1.25
	7.75	6.05	1.3	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.38 ↑ (6.56)	5.61 ↑ (5.36)	1.32 ↓ (1.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vaasan Sport
12.6%

Draw
16.6%

JYP
70.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.3%

17.5%

68.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15%

18.4%

65%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vaasan Sport has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

JYP has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vaasan Sport than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for JYP than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for JYP, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	33.3%	66.7%

Vaasan Sport - JYP Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. JYP will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:4

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Lineups

Line 1
1. Harkonen M. (G)	35. Salminen O. (G)
39. Hunt B. (A)	44. Vatanen S. (A)
77. Valtanen J.	3. Lehmus J.
22. Hult O.	71. Puustinen J. (A)
18. Ekman T.	28. Lassila J. (C)
24. Levanen E.	61. Huovila S.
Line 2
44. Koivunen E.	18. Jokinen R.
52. Hietanen V. (C)	29. Winberg T.
86. Hult O.	39. Ojantakanen V.
81. Timonen S. (A)	7. True A.
4. Tiihonen M.	40. Torgersson D.
Line 3
53. Aarnio A.	21. Vuontisvaara O.
7. Hakkila H.	4. Liikonen V.
28. Koivunen W.	25. Jormakka P.
91. Immonen V.	17. Makinen O.
33. Harma M.	14. Perttu M.
Line 4
8. Vanninen E.	2. Pulli J.
16. Harkimo D.	16. Liljamo T.
21. Andrey T.	89. Tyrvainen A.
	91. Nieminen V.
Substitutes
32. Kahila A. (G)	34. Setanen O. (G)
Coaches
. Tapio J.	. Matikainen P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (0 - 1)
14:35, Vuontisvaara O. (2 min),
15:24, 0 - 1, Lassila J. (G),
3rd Period (0 - 2)
14:17, 0 - 2, Lassila J. (G), Jokinen R. (A), Huovila S. (A2)
19:53, 0 - 3, Lassila J. (G), Tyrvainen A. (A),

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 16 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vaasa won 1.

Vaasa is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

JYP has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

JYP may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, JYP is the obvious favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Vaasa won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 13 matches, and goals 47:61. (average 2.4:3.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Vaasa won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 28:29. (average 2.8:2.9).

Outrights of Finnish SM-liiga for now

Vaasan Sport: 0.76%

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
4	JYP	10	7	0	0	3	30:25	21
14	Vaasan Sport	11	3	1	2	5	20:31	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vaasan Sport
Finnish SM-liiga
04.03.26	Vaasan Sport - KalPa	1:6 ✺
28.02.26	Vaasan Sport - Kiekko-Espoo	1:5 ✺
27.02.26	Pelicans - Vaasan Sport	3:2 penalties ✺
25.02.26	Vaasan Sport - KooKoo	3:4 ✺
21.02.26	Ässät - Vaasan Sport	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- JYP Hockey
Finnish SM-liiga
06.03.26	JYP - Mikkelin Jukurit	3:4 penalties ✺
04.03.26	Kiekko-Espoo - JYP	2:3 OT ✺
28.02.26	Mikkelin Jukurit - JYP	2:3 penalties ✺
27.02.26	JYP - KooKoo	2:3 ✺
25.02.26	JYP - Kiekko-Espoo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish SM-liiga
31.01.26	Vaasan Sport - JYP	1:4
16.01.26	JYP - Vaasan Sport	3:1
18.10.25	JYP - Vaasan Sport	5:4 OT
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
04.09.25	JYP - Vaasan Sport	4:1
14.08.25	Vaasan Sport - JYP	8:2
Finnish SM-liiga
15.03.25	JYP - Vaasan Sport	2:4
24.01.25	Vaasan Sport - JYP	2:3 OT

Vaasan Sport - JYP: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide