The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Kiekko-Espoo 46.4%
Draw 23.4%
JYP 30.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37.5%
22.3%
40.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.9%
23.1%
38.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kiekko-Espoo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kiekko-Espoo's performance.
JYP has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and JYP might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kiekko-Espoo than the current prediction. (-7.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kiekko-Espoo that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for JYP than the current prediction. (+8.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that JYP could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
50%
0%
Kiekko Espoo - JYP Predictions
Users Predictions:
2 users predict this event. Kiekko-Espoo will win (votes: 1 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
30. Rimpinen P. (G)
35. Salminen O. (G)
8. Corcoran C.
44. Vatanen S.
51. Nakyva K. (A)
31. Peltola E.
72. Svejkovsky L.
77. Tukiainen L.
15. King C.
28. Lassila J. (C)
76. Sallinen J. (C)
82. Pesonen H. (A)
Line 2
47. Lajunen V. (A)
63. Bourque T. (A)
3. Keskitalo M.
3. Arola J.
12. Oberg L.
39. Ojantakanen V.
17. Talvitie A.
8. Newkirk R.
28. Hamalainen J.
27. Korjus J.
Line 3
21. Peltomaki N.
21. Vuontisvaara O.
5. Aronsson A.
32. Setkov M.
77. From M.
17. Makinen O.
78. Tuomaala A.
7. True A.
4. Kangasniemi I.
40. Torgersson D.
Line 4
7. Jurmo J.
22. Vaisanen V.
55. Kotkansalo K.
43. Jaatinen O.
90. Salovaara E.
16. Liljamo T.
25. Puolanne E.
14. Costmar A.
14. Keinanen J.
92. Vidgren A.
Substitutes
35. Rajaniemi S. (G)
34. Setanen O. (G)
Coaches
. Aho J.
. Matikainen P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (2 - 1)
08:03, 1 - 0, Vaisanen J. (G), Aronsson A. (A), Oberg L. (A2)
11:43, 1 - 1, Bourque T. (G),
12:24, Aronsson A. (2 min),
15:22, 2 - 1, Tuomaala A. (G), From M. (A), Kangasniemi I. (A2)
16:45, True A. (2 min),
19:36, Vidgren A. (2 min),
2nd Period (2 - 0)
01:44, 3 - 1, Tuomaala A. (G), Vaisanen J. (A), Kangasniemi I. (A2)
03:07, 4 - 1, Svejkovsky L. (G), Aronsson A. (A), King C. (A2)
05:07, Sallinen J. (2 min),
15:08, Nakyva K. (2 min),
3rd Period (2 - 0)
03:43, Arola J. (2 min),
03:43, True A. (2 min),
05:59, 5 - 1, From M. (G), King C. (A), Rimpinen P. (A2)
09:10, Tuomaala A. (2 min),
14:45, Kotkansalo K. (2 min),
14:45, Newkirk R. (2 min),
18:02, Keskitalo M. (2 min),
18:02, Bourque T. (5 min),
19:01, 6 - 1, Oberg L. (G), From M. (A), Vaisanen J. (A2)
Preview
An intriguing matchup between a mid-ranked team and a top contender (ranked 8th in the Promotion - Liiga Playoffs - 1/8 - finals and 3rd in the Promotion - Liiga Playoffs - Quarter - finals).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kiekko-Espoo won 1.
Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.
Kiekko-Espoo could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, JYP has had a run of games away from home.
Kiekko-Espoo is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, Kiekko-Espoo has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 19:32 (averaging 2.1:3.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Kiekko-Espoo against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 10:14 goals (averaging 2.5:3.5 per game).
Outrights of Finnish SM-liiga for now
Kiekko-Espoo: 3.85%
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
4
JYP
10
7
0
0
3
30:25
21
7
Kiekko-Espoo
13
5
1
3
4
42:32
20
Last Results with these Odds
Kiekko-Espoo - the odds 2.55 are the expected chance of winning is 37.53%, but this team recently wins 19% of matches with these odds.
JYP - the odds 2.38 are the expected chance of winning is 40.21%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.