Match Info

Liiga

Date: 6 March 2026, Friday

Location: LähiTapiola Areena (Jyväskylä)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	MTV Katsomo+
Sweden	TV4 Play


	JYP		Mikkelin Jukurit

	1	X	2
	1.36	5.75	6.5
	1.36	5.5	7.5	Watch
	1.4	5.16	6.33
	1.38	5.24	6.69	Watch
	1.36	5	6.5
	1.35	5.6	6.94	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 (1.37)	5.38 ↑ (5.3)	6.74 ↑ (6.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

JYP
68.6%

Draw
17.5%

Mikkelin Jukurit
13.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.2%

17.6%

14.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.1%

19%

15.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

JYP has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Mikkelin Jukurit has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for JYP than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with JYP that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mikkelin Jukurit than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

JYP - Mikkelin Jukurit Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1

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Lineups

Line 1
34. Setanen O. (G)	29. Buitenhuis E. (G)
44. Vatanen S. (A)	53. Korkola N.
3. Lehmus J.	70. Saari E.
71. Puustinen J. (A)	54. Piitulainen J. (C)
28. Lassila J. (C)	52. Hynninen T.
61. Huovila S.	17. Ahonen V.
Line 2
63. Bourque T.	71. Romppanen N.
29. Winberg T.	19. Tiihonen L.
39. Ojantakanen V.	67. Haatanen A. (A)
7. True A.	40. Boudon L. (A)
40. Torgersson D.	96. Frilander J.
Line 3
18. Jokinen R.	58. Kurri A.
4. Liikonen V.	33. Himanen N.
25. Jormakka P.	63. Heikkinen L.
17. Makinen O.	18. Sandvik V.
14. Perttu M.	55. Baggstrom R.
Line 4
21. Vuontisvaara O.	5. Teshome N.
16. Liljamo T.	82. Valojarvi V.
89. Tyrvainen A.	7. Heiskanen J.
91. Nieminen V.
Substitutes
35. Salminen O. (G)	36. Heikkeri S. (G)
Coaches
. Matikainen P.	. Virtanen J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 1)
11:53, 1 - 0, Jormakka P. (G), Makinen O. (A), Perttu M. (A2)
12:24, 2 - 0, Nieminen V. (G), Liljamo T. (A), Vuontisvaara O. (A2)
17:23, 2 - 1, Boudon L. (G), Frilander J. (A), Haatanen A. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 1)
05:22, Jormakka P. (2 min),
07:54, Heiskanen J. (2 min),
09:53, 3 - 1, Ojantakanen V. (G), Torgersson D. (A), Huovila S. (A2)
18:50, 3 - 2, Piitulainen J. (G), Heikkinen L. (A), Korkola N. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 1)
08:20, 3 - 3, Frilander J. (G), Haatanen A. (A), Piitulainen J. (A2)
08:46, Heikkinen L. (2 min),
Overtime (0 - 0)
02:26, Lassila J. (2 min),
Penalties (0 - 1)
1, Haatanen A. (Penalty Shot),
1, Huovila S. (Penalty Shot),
2, Romppanen N. (Penalty Shot),
2, Ojantakanen V. (Penalty Shot),
3, Ahonen V. (Penalty Shot),
3, Puustinen J. (Penalty Shot),

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, JYP won 4.

JYP is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Jukurit has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, JYP is the undisputed favorite.

We predict that JYP will win today's game, with odds of 1.37.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, JYP won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 50:56. (average 2.5:2.8).

Including home matches between the teams, JYP won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 27:25. (average 3:2.8).

Outrights of Finnish SM-liiga for now

Jukurit: 2.24%

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
2	Jukurit	14	6	3	0	5	36:29	24
5	JYP	10	7	0	0	3	30:25	21

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- JYP Hockey
Finnish SM-liiga
04.03.26	Kiekko-Espoo - JYP	2:3 OT ✺
28.02.26	Mikkelin Jukurit - JYP	2:3 penalties ✺
27.02.26	JYP - KooKoo	2:3 ✺
25.02.26	JYP - Kiekko-Espoo	2:0 ✺
21.02.26	TPS - JYP	3:8 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WWLWW
- Mikkelin Jukurit
Finnish SM-liiga
04.03.26	Tappara - Mikkelin Jukurit	3:1 ✺
28.02.26	Mikkelin Jukurit - JYP	2:3 penalties ✺
27.02.26	HIFK - Mikkelin Jukurit	2:3 OT ✺
25.02.26	Lukko - Mikkelin Jukurit	2:1 ✺
20.02.26	Mikkelin Jukurit - Kärpät	5:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish SM-liiga
28.02.26	Mikkelin Jukurit - JYP	2:3 penalties
30.09.25	Mikkelin Jukurit - JYP	4:2
12.09.25	JYP - Mikkelin Jukurit	6:2
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
09.08.25	Mikkelin Jukurit - JYP	2:3 OT
Finnish SM-liiga
10.01.25	Mikkelin Jukurit - JYP	1:5
14.12.24	JYP - Mikkelin Jukurit	4:1
13.12.24	Mikkelin Jukurit - JYP	2:1

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