Match Info
LiigaDate: 4 March 2026, WednesdayLocation: Vaasa Arena (Vaasa)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
 Sweden | TV4 Play |
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Vaasan Sport |
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KalPa |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 5.00
- The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Vaasan Sport
16.5% | Draw
19% | KalPa
64.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vaasan Sport has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)KalPa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vaasan Sport than the current prediction. (-0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for KalPa than the current prediction. (+0.3%)Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:4 
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Lineups
| Line 1 |
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1.  Harkonen M. (G)
| 31. Kerkola P. (G)
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39.  Hunt B. (A)
| 6.  Westerlund F. (A)
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77. Valtanen J.
| 97.  Kanak L.
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4. Tiihonen M.
| 20. Klemetti A.
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18. Ekman T.
| 12. Saarelainen J.
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24. Levanen E.
| 46. Soderlund T.
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| Line 2 |
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44. Koivunen E.
| 8. Ruotsalainen V.
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52. Hietanen V. (C)
| 18.  Gallet H.
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86. Hult O.
| 22.  Borchardt C.
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81. Timonen S. (A)
| 28. Rissanen J. (C)
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22. Hult O.
| 42. Kapanen K.
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| Line 3 |
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53. Aarnio A.
| 52. Tornberg A.
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7. Hakkila H.
| 7. Mononen V.
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16. Harkimo D.
| 72. Nyman L.
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91. Immonen V.
| 86.  Kombe K.
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61. Keinanen J.
| 41. Kononen J.
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| Line 4 |
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8. Vanninen E.
| 89. Ketola J.
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28. Koivunen W.
| 39. Mykra O.
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33. Harma M.
| 14. Lantta J. (A)
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21.  Andrey T.
| 48. Timofejev D.
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| Substitutes |
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32. Kahila A. (G)
| 47. Boyko T. (G)
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| Coaches |
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. Tapio J.
| . Tervonen S.
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Period (0 - 0)
- 2nd Period (1 - 3)
- 04:11, 0 - 1, Klemetti A. (G), Soderlund T. (A), Ruotsalainen V. (A2)
- 07:29, 0 - 2, Saarelainen J. (G), Ruotsalainen V. (A), Soderlund T. (A2)
- 13:04, 0 - 3, Mykra O. (G), Timofejev D. (A), Gallet H. (A2)
- 17:13, 1 - 3, Levanen E. (G), Tiihonen M. (A), Valtanen J. (A2)
- 18:45, Hult O. (2 min),
- 3rd Period (0 - 3)
- 03:25, 1 - 4, Soderlund T. (G), Klemetti A. (A), Westerlund F. (A2)
- 05:39, 1 - 5, Kombe K. (G), Borchardt C. (A),
- 16:02, 1 - 6, Ketola J. (G), Saarelainen J. (A), Kanak L. (A2)
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vaasa won 0.Vaasa has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).KalPa is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).KalPa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. In this match, KalPa is considered a favorite.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Vaasa won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 47:68. (average 2.4:3.4).Including home matches between the teams, Vaasa won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 25:25. (average 2.8:2.8).
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Finnish SM-liiga | | | 09.01.26 | KalPa - Vaasan Sport | 4:3 | | 04.12.25 | KalPa - Vaasan Sport | 5:3 | | 29.11.25 | Vaasan Sport - KalPa | 2:5 | | 15.02.25 | KalPa - Vaasan Sport | 4:1 | | 11.02.25 | Vaasan Sport - KalPa | 2:3 OT | | 13.11.24 | KalPa - Vaasan Sport | 7:3 | | 05.10.24 | Vaasan Sport - KalPa | 2:4 |
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