The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Vancouver Canucks 31.6%
Draw 23.1%
New York Islanders 45.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.1%
23.4%
34.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.6%
27%
29.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vancouver Canucks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vancouver Canucks's form might have worsened.
New York Islanders has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting New York Islanders's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vancouver Canucks than the current prediction. (+17%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vancouver Canucks, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for New York Islanders than the current prediction. (-15.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for New York Islanders, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
41.7%
58.3%
Vancouver Canucks - New York Islanders Predictions
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. NY Islanders will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 41.7%). Confidence interval (95%) for NY Islanders: 30.4% – 86.2%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. NY Islanders (votes: 2 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 5.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3
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Lineups
Line 1
32. Lankinen K. (G)
30. Sorokin I. (G)
17. Hronek F. (A)
6. Pulock R. (A)
29. Pettersson M.
48. Schaefer M.
6. Boeser B. (A)
11. Duclair A.
40. Pettersson E.
13. Barzal M.
74. DeBrusk J.
27. Lee A. (C)
Line 2
57. Myers T. (A)
77. DeAngelo A.
24. Buium Z.
3. Pelech A.
18. O'Connor D.
10. Holmstrom S.
64. Kampf D.
44. Pageau J.
91. Kane E.
29. Drouin J.
Line 3
90. Mancini V.
24. Mayfield S.
5. Willander T.
34. Boqvist A.
8. Garland C.
51. Heineman E.
53. Blueger T.
64. Ritchie C.
92. Ohgren L.
7. Tsyplakov M.
Line 4
94. Karlsson L.
16. Gatcomb M.
63. Sasson M.
53. Cizikas C.
21. Hoglander N.
32. Maclean K.
Substitutes
30. Patera J. (G)
33. Rittich D. (G)
Coaches
. Foote A.
. Roy P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (2 - 1)
02:49, 1 - 0, Sasson M. (G), Karlsson L. (A), Hoglander N. (A2)
10:11, 1 - 1, Duclair A. (G), DeAngelo A. (A), Schaefer M. (A2)
14:48, 2 - 1, Kane E. (G), Pettersson E. II. (A), Kampf D. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 2)
09:51, Ritchie C. (2 min),
13:10, Sasson M. (2 min),
14:34, 2 - 2, Duclair A. (G), Ritchie C. (A), Barzal M. (A2)
15:58, 2 - 3, Pulock R. (G), Schaefer M. (A), Pageau J. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 1)
01:03, O'Connor D. (2 min),
01:24, Myers T. (2 min),
07:08, Pulock R. (2 min),
10:15, 2 - 4, DeAngelo A. (G), Lee A. (A), Barzal M. (A2)
18:09, 3 - 4, O'Connor D. (G), Hronek F. (A),
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vancouver won 4.
Vancouver is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
In recent matches, NY Islanders has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
NY Islanders may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.
NY Islanders is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
There will not play in Vancouver: Blueger T.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Chytil F.
(Upper-Body Injury)
Demko T.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Forbort D.
(Injury)
Rossi M.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Sherwood K.
(Injury)
There will not play in NY Islanders: Engvall P.
(Ankle Injury)
Horvat B.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Palmieri K.
(Knee Injury)
Romanov A.
(Shoulder Injury)
Varlamov S.
(Knee Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Vancouver won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 65:69. (average 3.3:3.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Vancouver won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 25:38. (average 2.8:4.2).
Outrights of NHL for now
New York Islanders: 0.59% Vancouver Canucks: 0.23%
Last Results with these Odds
Vancouver Canucks - the odds 2.24 are the expected chance of winning is 42.13%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.
New York Islanders - the odds 2.74 are the expected chance of winning is 34.45%, but this team recently wins 42% of matches with these odds.
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Lankinen K. (G) 
Sorokin I. (G) 
Hronek F. (A) 
Pulock R. (A) 
Pettersson M. 
Boeser B. (A) 
Blueger T. 
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