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Current Win Probability
Montreal Canadiens 51.4%
Draw 21.8%
Vancouver Canucks 26.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
53.4%
20.2%
26.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
52.8%
20.4%
26.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Montreal Canadiens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
Vancouver Canucks has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montreal Canadiens than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vancouver Canucks than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
72.2%
16.7%
11.1%
Montreal Canadiens - Vancouver Canucks Predictions
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Montreal will win (votes: 13 - 72.2%). Vancouver will win (votes: 2 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 16.7%). Confidence interval (95%) for Montreal: 51.5% – 92.9%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Montreal (votes: 3 - 60%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
1X2, 1st Period - Montreal (2.32) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 5.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Montreal (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3
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Lineups
Line 1
75. Dobes J. (G)
60. Tolopilo N. (G)
53. Dobson N.
17. Hronek F. (A)
8. Matheson M. (A)
5. Willander T.
85. Texier A.
94. Karlsson L.
14. Suzuki N. (C)
40. Pettersson E. (A)
13. Caufield C.
74. DeBrusk J.
Line 2
45. Carrier A.
57. Myers T.
48. Hutson L.
7. Joseph P.
93. Demidov I.
6. Boeser B. (A)
91. Kapanen O.
64. Kampf D.
20. Slafkovsky J.
8. Garland C.
Line 3
72. Xhekaj A.
90. Mancini V.
21. Guhle K.
29. Pettersson M.
11. Gallagher B. (A)
18. O'Connor D.
24. Danault P.
63. Sasson M.
76. Bolduc Z.
92. Ohgren L.
Line 4
62. Beck O.
21. Hoglander N.
90. Veleno J.
54. Raty A.
27. Blais S.
91. Kane E.
Substitutes
32. Fowler J. (G)
32. Lankinen K. (G)
Coaches
. St. Louis M.
. Foote A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 1)
11:53, 0 - 1, Pettersson E. (G), Karlsson L. (A), Hronek F. (A2)
18:09, Boeser B. (2 min),
18:13, 1 - 1, Dobson N. (G), Suzuki N. (A),
2nd Period (2 - 2)
01:50, 1 - 2, Kane E. (G), Raty A. (A),
04:31, 2 - 2, Carrier A. (G), Suzuki N. (A), Texier A. (A2)
04:51, 3 - 2, Carrier A. (G), Slafkovsky J. (A), Demidov I. (A2)
09:42, 3 - 3, Sasson M. (G), O'Connor D. (A), Joseph P. (A2)
3rd Period (3 - 0)
00:29, 4 - 3, Matheson M. (G), Caufield C. (A), Texier A. (A2)
01:07, 5 - 3, Slafkovsky J. (G), Demidov I. (A), Hutson L. (A2)
06:05, 6 - 3, Kapanen O. (G), Demidov I. (A), Slafkovsky J. (A2)
10:19, Carrier A. (2 min),
17:48, Dobson N. (2 min),
Preview
One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: ) and 16).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Montreal won 3.
Recent performances by Montreal have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Vancouver has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Montreal will hold a modest advantage in this match.
There will not play in Montreal: Dach K.
(Broken Leg)
Evans J.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Laine P.
(Abdominal strain)
Newhook A.
(Ankle Injury)
There will not play in Vancouver: Blueger T.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Chytil F.
(Upper-Body Injury)
Forbort D.
(Injury)
Garland C.
(Injury)
Rossi M.
(Lower-Body Injury)
There are questionable in Montreal: Anderson J.
(Upper-Body Injury)
There are questionable in Vancouver: Demko T.
(Lower-Body Injury)
We predict that Montreal will win today's game, with odds of 1.89.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Montreal won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 78:65. (average 3.9:3.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Montreal won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 34:29. (average 3.8:3.2).
Outrights of NHL for now
Montreal Canadiens: 3.83% Vancouver Canucks: 0.23%