The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ottawa Senators 55.1%
Draw 21.1%
Vancouver Canucks 23.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
46.1%
22.5%
31.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.5%
23.1%
32.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ottawa Senators has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ottawa Senators's performance.
Vancouver Canucks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vancouver Canucks might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ottawa Senators than the current prediction. (-10.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ottawa Senators that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vancouver Canucks than the current prediction. (+8.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vancouver Canucks could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
57.1%
21.4%
21.4%
Ottawa Senators - Vancouver Canucks Predictions
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Ottawa will win (votes: 8 - 57.1%). Vancouver will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 21.4%). Confidence interval (95%) for Ottawa: 31.2% โ 83%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Ottawa Senators will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) ๐ฅ Bronze Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3
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Lineups
Line 1
1. Merilainen L. (G)
32. Lankinen K. (G)
2. Zub A.
17. Hronek F. (A)
85. Sanderson J.
5. Willander T.
19. Batherson D.
94. Karlsson L.
18. Stutzle T.
40. Pettersson E. (A)
20. Zetterlund F.
74. DeBrusk J.
Line 2
3. Jensen N.
57. Myers T.
72. Chabot T. (A)
7. Joseph P.
28. Giroux C. (A)
6. Boeser B. (A)
24. Cozens D.
64. Kampf D.
7. Tkachuk B. (C)
8. Garland C.
Line 3
10. Spence J.
90. Mancini V.
43. Kleven T.
29. Pettersson M.
22. Amadio M.
18. O'Connor D.
12. Pinto S.
63. Sasson M.
71. Greig R.
92. Ohgren L.
Line 4
57. Perron D.
21. Hoglander N.
89. Eller L.
54. Raty A.
21. Cousins N.
91. Kane E.
Substitutes
31. Shepard H. (G)
60. Tolopilo N. (G)
Coaches
. Green T.
. Foote A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (2 - 0)
15:36, 1 - 0, Zub A. (G), Pinto S. (A), Amadio M. (A2)
15:51, 2 - 0, Spence J. (G), Batherson D. (A), Stutzle T. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 0)
01:40, Hronek F. (2 min),
12:54, Giroux C. (2 min),
3rd Period (0 - 1)
01:17, 2 - 1, Pettersson E. (G), Karlsson L. (A),
19:32, Garland C. (2 min),
Preview
We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 15 and 16).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ottawa won 1.
Recent form of Ottawa has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Vancouver has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins โ 0).
Vancouver may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Vancouver has had a series of away games.
In this match, Ottawa is considered a favorite.
There will not play in Ottawa: Ullmark L.
(Personal Reasons)
There will not play in Vancouver: Blueger T.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Chytil F.
(Upper-Body Injury)
Demko T.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Forbort D.
(Injury)
Rossi M.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Sherwood K.
(Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ottawa won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 58:78. (average 2.9:3.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Ottawa won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 28:33. (average 3.1:3.7).
Outrights of NHL for now
Ottawa Senators: 2.84% Vancouver Canucks: 0.15%
Last Results with these Odds
Ottawa Senators - the odds 2.05 are the expected chance of winning is 46.05%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.
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Merilainen L. (G) 
Zub A. 
Hronek F. (A) 
Sanderson J. 
Willander T. 
Batherson D. 
Stutzle T. 
Eller L. 
Tolopilo N. (G) 
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