The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Toronto Maple Leafs 48.8%
Draw 22%
Vancouver Canucks 29.2%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
49.2%
21.6%
29.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.3%
21.6%
29.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Toronto Maple Leafs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
The chances for Vancouver Canucks have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toronto Maple Leafs than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vancouver Canucks than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
53.8%
30.8%
15.4%
Toronto Maple Leafs - Vancouver Canucks Predictions
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Toronto will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%). Vancouver will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 30.8%). Confidence interval (95%) for Toronto: 26.7% โ 80.9%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Toronto (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Vancouver (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3
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Lineups
Line 1
60. Woll J. (G)
35. Demko T. (G)
25. Carlo B.
17. Hronek F. (A)
44. Rielly M. (A)
29. Pettersson M.
11. Domi M.
94. Karlsson L.
34. Matthews A. (C)
40. Pettersson E. (A)
23. Knies M.
74. DeBrusk J.
Line 2
28. Stecher T.
57. Myers T.
95. Ekman-Larsson O.
24. Buium Z.
88. Nylander W.
6. Boeser B. (A)
91. Tavares J. (A)
63. Sasson M.
63. Maccelli M.
92. Ohgren L.
Line 3
51. Myers P.
5. Willander T.
2. Benoit S.
25. Pettersson E. II.
89. Robertson N.
44. Sherwood K.
55. Roy N.
64. Kampf D.
53. Cowan E.
18. O'Connor D.
Line 4
18. Lorentz S.
21. Hoglander N.
24. Laughton S.
54. Raty A.
74. McMann B.
91. Kane E.
Substitutes
35. Hildeby D. (G)
32. Lankinen K. (G)
Coaches
. Berube C.
. Foote A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (3 - 0)
01:38, (2 min),
07:27, Raty A. (2 min),
08:03, 1 - 0, Maccelli M. (G), Nylander W. (A), Matthews A. (A2)
10:24, Matthews A. (2 min),
13:01, (2 min),
16:31, 2 - 0, Domi M. (G), Stecher T. (A),
17:01, Cowan E. (2 min),
17:01, Hoglander N. (2 min),
17:21, McCabe J. (2 min),
19:40, 3 - 0, Nylander W. (G), Lorentz S. (A), Carlo B. (A2)
19:57, O'Connor D. (2 min),
2nd Period (1 - 0)
00:01, Demko T. ↓, Lankinen K. ↑,
07:24, Rielly M. (2 min),
13:07, 4 - 0, Tavares J. (G), Nylander W. (A),
14:00, Domi M. (5 min),
14:00, Pettersson M. (5 min),
3rd Period (1 - 0)
08:30, Stecher T. (2 min),
12:27, Pettersson E. (2 min),
18:51, Sherwood K. (2 min),
19:46, 5 - 0, Robertson N. (G),
Preview
This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 and 16).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 1.
Toronto is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Vancouver has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins โ 0).
Toronto could have a small edge in this match.
There will not play in Toronto: Joshua D.
(Upper-Body Injury)
McCabe J.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Mermis D.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Nylander W.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Stolarz A.
(Upper-Body Injury)
Tanev C.
(Lower-Body Injury)
There will not play in Vancouver: Blueger T.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Chytil F.
(Upper-Body Injury)
Forbort D.
(Injury)
Garland C.
(Injury)
Rossi M.
(Lower-Body Injury)
We predict that Toronto will win today's game, with odds of 1.98.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 62:57. (average 3.1:2.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Toronto won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 40:22. (average 4:2.2).
Outrights of NHL for now
Toronto Maple Leafs: 2.22% Vancouver Canucks: 0.15%
Last Results with these Odds
Toronto Maple Leafs - the odds 1.92 are the expected chance of winning is 49.17%, but this team recently wins 39% of matches with these odds.