Match Info

ICE Hockey League - Round 38

Date: 9 January 2026, Friday

Location: Stadthalle (Villach)


	Villacher		EC KAC

	1	X	2
	2.9	4.5	1.91
	2.75	4.25	2.09
	2.52	4.34	2.26	Watch
	2.65	4.1	2.14
	2.6	4.25	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.68 ↓ (2.79)	4.29 ↓ (4.47)	2.08 ↑ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Villacher
34.3%

Draw
21.5%

EC KAC
44.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.3%

20.8%

46%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.7%

21.1%

45.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villacher has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

EC KAC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villacher than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for EC KAC than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Villacher - EC KAC Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Villach will win (votes: 2 - 40%). EC KAC will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Villach (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:4

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Lineups

Line 1
37. Swette R. (G)	33. Vorauer F. (G)
2. MacPherson D.	82. Nickl T.
42. Wall A.	4. Teves J.
40. Wallenta E.	8. Petersen N.
16. Hancock K.	9. Mursak J.
22. Scherbak N.	16. Schwinger S.
Line 2
10. Vallant T.	64. Preiml M.
77. Lindner P.	92. Unterweger C.
72. Hughes J.	77. From M.
13. Helewka A.	29. Kempe M.
91. Hutchison N.	19. Waschnig D.
Line 3
95. Katic M.	12. Maier D.
71. Strong S.	6. Sablattnig T.
26. van Nes G.	90. Fraser M.
78. Maxa F.	81. van Ee F.
46. Sintschnig P.	89. Herburger R.
Line 4
43. Raspotnig J.	39. Simovic F.
34. Prodinger D.	97. Hochegger F.
14. Tschurnig J.	98. Obersteiner D.
8. Rebernig M.	71. Dobrovolny J.
Substitutes
35. Cannata J. (G)	32. Dahm S. (G)
Coaches
	. Furey K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (1 - 0)
03:01, 1 - 0, Helewka A. (G), Hughes J. (A), Cannata J. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 3)
03:34, 1 - 1, Herburger R. (G), Unterweger C. (A),
12:13, 1 - 2, Schwinger S. (G), Mursak J. (A), From M. (A2)
16:17, 2 - 2, Lindner P. (G), Katic M. (A), Hughes J. (A2)
18:09, 2 - 3, Mursak J. (G), Unterweger C. (A),

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ ICE Hockey League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ ICE Hockey League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Villach won 1.

Villach has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

EC KAC has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

EC KAC will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Villach won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 48:73. (average 2.4:3.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Villach won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 29:33. (average 2.9:3.3).

Outrights of Austrian Ice Hockey League for now

Klagenfurt: 17.26%

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
3	Klagenfurt	9	5	1	0	3	37:27	17
8	Villach	8	3	1	1	3	23:25	12

Last Results with these Odds

Villacher - the odds 2.79 are the expected chance of winning is 33.27%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

EC KAC - the odds 2.02 are the expected chance of winning is 45.96%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Villacher SV Hockey
Austrian Ice Hockey League
05.01.26	Vienna Capitals - Villacher	5:2 ✺
03.01.26	Black Wings Linz - Villacher	3:0 ✺
01.01.26	Villacher - TWK Innsbruck	6:2 ✺
30.12.25	Villacher - Graz 99ers	1:4 ✺
28.12.25	Villacher - Bolzano	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLWLL
- EC KAC
Austrian Ice Hockey League
05.01.26	EC KAC - Pustertal-Val Pusteria	3:2 ✺
03.01.26	TWK Innsbruck - EC KAC	1:4 ✺
01.01.26	EC KAC - Bolzano	1:2 OT ✺
30.12.25	Olimpija Ljubljana - EC KAC	3:2 ✺
28.12.25	Vienna Capitals - EC KAC	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Austrian Ice Hockey League
27.12.25	EC KAC - Villacher	5:2
30.11.25	EC KAC - Villacher	4:1
14.11.25	Villacher - EC KAC	5:3
02.02.25	Villacher - EC KAC	2:3 penalties
08.01.25	EC KAC - Villacher	8:0
27.10.24	Villacher - EC KAC	3:2 OT
29.09.24	EC KAC - Villacher	5:3

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