Match Info

National League - Relegation - Final

Date: 8 April 2025, Tuesday

Location: Lonza Arena (Visp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV


	Visp		Ajoie

	1	X	2
	2.65	4	2.3	Watch
	2.9	4	2.1
	2.5	4	2.39
	2.57	3.95	2.38	Watch
	2.7	3.9	2
	2.53	3.86	2.38	Watch
	2.5	4	2.39
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.62 ↓ (3.29)	3.96 ↓ (4.15)	2.28 ↑ (1.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.75

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Visp
35.5%

Draw
23.5%

Ajoie
40.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

28.4%

22.6%

49%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.8%

22.3%

48.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Visp has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Visp's performance.

Ajoie has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ajoie might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Visp than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Visp that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ajoie than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ajoie could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Visp - Ajoie Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
91. Meyer R. (G)	40. Ciaccio D. (G)
94. Pezzullo R.	3. Honka A.
64. Eigenmann D. (C)	26. Fey K. (C)
90. Nunn G.	13. Robin L.
67. Nilsson J.	41. Bellemare P-E.
10. Bruschweiler Y.	70. Romanenghi M.
Line 2
66. Grossniklaus T.	90. Fischer J.
45. Gahler J.	15. Aeschbach C.
18. Lurati A.	4. Hazen J.
13. Fuss N.	8. Devos P.
85. Forrer S.	27. Schmutz R.
Line 3
33. Forrer M.	47. Maurer M.
38. Heinen O.	37. Nussbaumer A.
73. Riatsch F.	78. Sopa K.
12. Ritz A.	54. Garessus L.
55. Burgener D.	87. Pedretti M.
Line 4
36. Jansen S.	17. Thiry T.
29. Fuchs F.	2. Pilet V.
71. Wuest S.	12. Frossard T.
97. Mader S.	46. Rundkvist A.
15. Schwenninger D.	18. Pouilly B.
Substitutes
1. Beglieri A. (G)	1. Conz B. (G)
Coaches
. Ehlers H.	. Ireland G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
10:05, 0 - 1, Romanenghi M. (G), Robin L. (A),
11:12, Meyer R. ↓, Beglieri A. ↑,
2nd Period (0 - 2)
01:55, 0 - 2, Garessus L. (G), Maurer M. (A), Hazen J. (A2)
12:58, Forrer S. (2 min),
13:36, 0 - 3, Aeschbach C. (G), Devos P. (A), Bellemare P-E. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 0)
03:35, Forrer M. (2 min),
03:35, Romanenghi M. (2 min),
04:42, Aeschbach C. (2 min),
18:28, Schmutz R. (2 min),

Preview

4th leg. Ajoie leads series 2-1.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Visp won 2.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Ajoie will have a mini benefit in this match.

Our prediction for today's Visp to win the game is with odds 2.94.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Visp won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 13 matches and goals 43:63 (average 2.2:3.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Visp won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 25:31 (average 2.5:3.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EHC Visp
Swiss National League Hockey
05.04.25	Ajoie - Visp	3:2 OT ✺
03.04.25	Visp - Ajoie	4:5 OT ✺
01.04.25	Ajoie - Visp	2:3 OT ✺
Swiss League Hockey
25.03.25	EHC Basel - Visp	3:4 ✺
23.03.25	Visp - EHC Basel	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.3 LLWWW
- HC Ajoie
Swiss National League Hockey
05.04.25	Ajoie - Visp	3:2 OT ✺
03.04.25	Visp - Ajoie	4:5 OT ✺
01.04.25	Ajoie - Visp	2:3 OT ✺
25.03.25	Ajoie - Lugano	1:2 ✺
23.03.25	Lugano - Ajoie	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Swiss National League Hockey
05.04.25	Ajoie - Visp	3:2 OT
03.04.25	Visp - Ajoie	4:5 OT
01.04.25	Ajoie - Visp	2:3 OT
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
01.09.21	Visp - Ajoie	5:3
Swiss League Hockey
23.03.21	Visp - Ajoie	1:3
21.03.21	Ajoie - Visp	7:0
19.03.21	Visp - Ajoie	2:5

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