Match Info

RUSSIA: KHL

Date: 27 December 2024, Friday

Location: Balashikha Arena (Balashikha)


	Vityaz Balashikha		Lokomotiv Yaroslavl

	1	X	2
	4.57	3.99	1.65
	4.5	4.5	1.69	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.54 ↓ (5.15)	4.25 ↓ (4.6)	1.67 ↑ (1.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vityaz Balashikha
20.9%

Draw
22.3%

Lokomotiv Yaroslavl
56.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.9%

21.1%

60%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.3%

19.4%

65.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vityaz Balashikha has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Lokomotiv Yaroslavl has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vityaz Balashikha than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lokomotiv Yaroslavl than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lokomotiv Yaroslavl could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	50%	50%

Vityaz Balashikha - Lokomotiv Yaroslavl Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Lokomotiv will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
83. Dorozhko M. (G)	92. Isayev D. (G)
53. Pedan R.	99. Sergeyev A.
7. Busygin Y.	26. Simashev D.
74. Makeyev A.	72. Beryozkin M.
23. Gauthier F.	78. Shalunov M.
86. Vorobyov I.	16. Kayumov A. (A)
Line 2
33. Sidorov M.	28. Gernat M. (A)
57. Rykov Y.	73. Cherepanov N.
82. Chekhovich I.	13. Nikulin S.
26. Barach D. (A)	10. Ivanov G.
72. Buchelnikov D.	50. But D.
Line 3
9. Valentsov V.	4. Yelesin A. (C)
2. Golovkov I. (A)	87. Rafikov R.
41. Daryin A.	91. Alexeyev D.
28. Chivilyov A.	51. Froese B.
13. Yarovoy S.	14. Panik R.
Line 4
19. Malorosiyanov D.	55. Kiselevich B.
27. Yezhov I.	89. Tesanov D.
93. Arkalov I. (C)	63. Kraskovsky P.
15. Anufriev I.	90. Polunin A.
Substitutes
98. Almazov N.	7. Kiryanov N.
1. Chechelev D. (G)	38. Melnichuk A. (G)
Coaches
. Desyatkov P.	. Nikitin I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 1)
01:49, Daryin A. (2 min),
07:46, 0 - 1, Shalunov M. (G),
18:14, 1 - 1, Buchelnikov D. (G), Chekhovich I. (A), Rykov Y. (A2)
20:00, Ivanov G. (2 min),
20:00, Gernat M. (2 min),
20:00, Gernat M. (2 min),
20:00, Gauthier F. (2 min),
20:00, Pedan R. (2 min),
2nd Period (0 - 3)
05:53, 1 - 2, Kayumov A. (G), Beryozkin M. (A), Kiselevich B. (A2)
09:03, Daryin A. (2 min),
09:09, 1 - 3, Kayumov A. (G), Sergeyev A. (A), Shalunov M. (A2)
11:59, 1 - 4, Kraskovsky P. (G), Tesanov D. (A), Polunin A. (A2)
16:03, Barach D. (2 min),
16:03, Ivanov G. (2 min),
17:01, Gernat M. (2 min),
3rd Period (2 - 1)
08:57, 2 - 4, Gauthier F. (G), Yarovoy S. (A),
10:00, 2 - 5, Tesanov D. (G), Polunin A. (A), Rafikov R. (A2)
10:51, 3 - 5, Pedan R. (G), Gauthier F. (A), Daryin A. (A2)

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 9 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ KHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Vityaz won 2.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Vityaz could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Vityaz have a series of home games.

In this match Lokomotiv is a favorite.

There will not play in Vityaz: Galuzin V. (Injury) Kalinin S. (Injury) Roy J. (Injury) Savchik I. (Injury) Stewart D. (Injury) Vashchenko G. (Injury)

Last 20 head-to-head matches Vityaz won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 13 matches and goals 31:58 (average 1.6:2.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Vityaz won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 17:29 (average 1.7:2.9).

Last Results with these Odds

Vityaz Balashikha - the odds 5.15 are the expected chance of winning is 18.87%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - the odds 1.62 are the expected chance of winning is 60%, but this team recently wins 45% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vityaz Balashikha
KHL
25.12.24	Vityaz Balashikha - Dynamo Moscow	2:0 ✺
17.12.24	Vityaz Balashikha - Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod	6:5 penalties ✺
08.12.24	Vityaz Balashikha - Spartak Moscow	2:4 ✺
06.12.24	Vityaz Balashikha - Ak Bars Kazan	3:5 ✺
04.12.24	Vityaz Balashikha - HC CSKA Moscow	1:2 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 WWLLL
- Lokomotiv Yaroslavl
KHL
25.12.24	Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod - Lokomotiv Yaroslavl	0:5 ✺
22.12.24	Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - Sochi	3:1 ✺
20.12.24	Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg	1:3 ✺
17.12.24	SKA Saint Petersburg - Lokomotiv Yaroslavl	2:3 ✺
08.12.24	Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - HC CSKA Moscow	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

KHL
19.11.24	Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - Vityaz Balashikha	2:1 OT
14.10.24	Vityaz Balashikha - Lokomotiv Yaroslavl	2:1
02.02.24	Vityaz Balashikha - Lokomotiv Yaroslavl	0:2
14.01.24	Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - Vityaz Balashikha	1:2
21.12.23	Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - Vityaz Balashikha	5:2
21.10.23	Vityaz Balashikha - Lokomotiv Yaroslavl	2:1
09.03.23	Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - Vityaz Balashikha	2:1 OT

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