Match Info

KHL

Date: 26 September 2025, Friday

Location: Arena-2000 Lokomotiv (Yaroslavl)


	Lokomotiv Yaroslavl		Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg

	1	X	2
	1.8	4.5	4.3
	1.72	4.41	4.21	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (1.92)	4.46 ↑ (4.2)	4.26 ↑ (3.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.75

The best margin for this event is 1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lokomotiv Yaroslavl
55.3%

Draw
21.8%

Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg
22.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.8%

22.8%

27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.9%

22.8%

27.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lokomotiv Yaroslavl has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lokomotiv Yaroslavl's performance.

Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lokomotiv Yaroslavl than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lokomotiv Yaroslavl that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	60%	40%

Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Avtomobilist will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Lokomotiv (1.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Lokomotiv (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
92. Isayev D. (G)	1. Galkin V. (G)
99. Sergeyev A.	9. Blacker J.
5. Bereglazov A.	7. Busygin Y.
70. Surin Y.	16. Boucher R. (A)
10. Ivanov G.	77. Da Costa S.
47. Radulov A. (A)	97. Kizimov S.
Line 2
73. Cherepanov N.	69. Pautov Y.
28. Gernat M.	55. Vorobyov K. (C)
72. Beryozkin M.	31. Khripunov S.
78. Shalunov M.	28. Byvaltsev A. (A)
16. Kayumov A.	92. Gorbunov R.
Line 3
4. Yelesin A. (C)	85. Zhuravlyov Y.
87. Rafikov R. (A)	44. Yudin D.
97. Akmaldinov R.	19. Chernikov Y.
51. Froese B.	86. Sharov A.
7. Kiryanov N.	99. Shashkov N.
Line 4
93. Misyul D.	91. Malorosiyanov D.
9. Nikolayev I.	79. Tarasov M.
63. Kraskovsky P.	81. Romantsev D.
91. Alexeyev D.	76. Kashtanov A.
Substitutes
27. Kuzin A.	18. Alikin Y. (G)
38. Melnichuk A. (G)
Coaches
. Hartley B.	. Zavarukhin N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
02:33, Tarasov M. (2 min),
18:42, Nikolayev I. (2 min),
2nd Period (1 - 0)
01:55, 1 - 0, Radulov A. (G), Yelesin A. (A), Surin Y. (A2)
05:13, Misyul D. (2 min),
09:48, Misyul D. (2 min),
13:04, Rafikov R. (2 min),
13:04, Gorbunov R. (2 min),
13:58, Khripunov S. (2 min),
16:24, Gorbunov R. (2 min),
3rd Period (1 - 2)
00:38, Shalunov M. (2 min),
02:43, 1 - 1, Byvaltsev A. (G), Kashtanov A. (A), Boucher R. (A2)
02:53, Romantsev D. (2 min),
09:05, 2 - 1, Surin Y. (G), Ivanov G. (A), Yelesin A. (A2)
14:49, Surin Y. (2 min),
16:07, 2 - 2, Gorbunov R. (G), Sharov A. (A), Blacker J. (A2)
Overtime (1 - 0)
00:22, 3 - 2, Gernat M. (G), Shalunov M. (A), Kayumov A. (A2)

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ KHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ KHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lokomotiv won 2.

Lokomotiv is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Avtomobilist has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Avtomobilist may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Avtomobilist has had a series of home games.

In this match, Lokomotiv is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Lokomotiv will win today's game, with odds of 1.77.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lokomotiv won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 12 matches, and goals 35:40. (average 1.8:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Lokomotiv won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 20:17. (average 1.8:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - the odds 1.92 are the expected chance of winning is 49.78%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lokomotiv Yaroslavl
KHL
24.09.25	Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - Severstal Cherepovets	2:1 ✺
22.09.25	Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - Sochi	5:0 ✺
18.09.25	HC CSKA Moscow - Lokomotiv Yaroslavl	1:5 ✺
16.09.25	Lada Togliatti - Lokomotiv Yaroslavl	1:6 ✺
14.09.25	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Lokomotiv Yaroslavl	5:4 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WWWWL
- Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg
KHL
24.09.25	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg	5:2 ✺
21.09.25	Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	1:4 ✺
19.09.25	Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg - Spartak Moscow	5:4 penalties ✺
17.09.25	Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg - Traktor Chelyabinsk	0:2 ✺
15.09.25	Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg - Salavat Yulaev Ufa	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

KHL
20.12.24	Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg	1:3
01.10.24	Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg - Lokomotiv Yaroslavl	0:1 OT
25.02.24	Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg - Lokomotiv Yaroslavl	2:0
27.09.23	Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg	3:1
29.01.23	Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg	0:1
02.09.22	Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg - Lokomotiv Yaroslavl	4:2
10.12.21	Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg	0:2

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