Match Info

KHL

Date: 28 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Ice Palace (Saint Petersburg)


	SKA Saint Petersburg		Lokomotiv Yaroslavl

	1	X	2
	3.4	4.1	2
	3.38	4.13	1.97	Watch
	3	3.66	1.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.26 (3.26)	3.96 ↓ (4.28)	1.95 ↓ (2.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.75

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

SKA Saint Petersburg
28.6%

Draw
23.5%

Lokomotiv Yaroslavl
47.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.8%

22.7%

47.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.7%

22.6%

47.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SKA Saint Petersburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Lokomotiv Yaroslavl has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SKA Saint Petersburg than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lokomotiv Yaroslavl than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	12.5%	25%

SKA Saint Petersburg - Lokomotiv Yaroslavl Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. SKA will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Lokomotiv will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for SKA: 29% – 96%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. SKA (votes: 2 - 40%). Lokomotiv (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
73. Pleshkov A. (G)	92. Isayev D. (G)
9. Sapego S.	99. Sergeyev A. (A)
18. Phillips M.	87. Rafikov R.
55. Dishkovsky N.	72. Beryozkin M.
42. Vorobyov M. (A)	78. Shalunov M.
68. Nedopyokin N.	16. Kayumov A.
Line 2
47. Zelenov Y.	73. Cherepanov N.
3. Pedan A.	28. Gernat M.
96. Demidov S.	70. Surin Y.
10. Blandisi J.	10. Ivanov G.
23. Grimaldi R.	47. Radulov A. (A)
Line 3
27. Menell B.	4. Yelesin A. (C)
34. Savikov Y.	5. Bereglazov A.
87. Goldobin N.	14. Panik R.
16. Plotnikov S. (C)	51. Froese B.
20. Wilson S.	7. Kiryanov N.
Line 4
79. Galenyuk D.	93. Misyul D.
61. Khairullin M. (A)	27. Kuzin A.
71. Korotky M.	9. Nikolayev I.
41. Polyakov M.	63. Kraskovsky P.
	13. Nikulin S.
Substitutes
1. Ivanov S. (G)	38. Melnichuk A. (G)
Coaches
. Larionov I.	. Hartley B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 2)
04:07, 0 - 1, Panik R. (G), Froese B. (A), Kiryanov N. (A2)
06:02, Cherepanov N. (2 min),
07:47, 1 - 1, Korotky M. (G), Menell B. (A), Goldobin N. (A2)
08:32, 1 - 2, Ivanov G. (G), Radulov A. (A), Misyul D. (A2)
16:25, Demidov S. (2 min),
2nd Period (0 - 1)
04:10, Nedopyokin N. (2 min),
09:42, Pleshkov A. (2 min),
11:10, 1 - 3, Rafikov R. (G), Surin Y. (A), Sergeyev A. (A2)
13:11, Phillips M. (2 min),
14:36, Froese B. (2 min),
19:00, Isayev D. (2 min),
3rd Period (1 - 2)
05:09, 1 - 4, Ivanov G. (G), Radulov A. (A),
05:59, 2 - 4, Dishkovsky N. (G), Khairullin M. (A),
09:48, Misyul D. (2 min),
19:08, Radulov A. (2 min),
19:59, 2 - 5, Ivanov G. (G),

Preview

SKA is Qualified for KHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)

Lokomotiv is Qualified for KHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, SKA won 1.

In recent matches, SKA has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Lokomotiv is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

SKA may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, SKA has had a series of home games.

Lokomotiv might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, SKA won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 41:49. (average 2.1:2.5).

Including home matches between the teams, SKA won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 19:23. (average 1.9:2.3).

Outrights of KHL for now

Lokomotiv Yaroslavl: 16.47% SKA St. Petersburg: 4.32%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SKA Saint Petersburg
KHL
26.02.26	SKA Saint Petersburg - Dynamo Moscow	1:4 ✺
24.02.26	SKA Saint Petersburg - Admiral Vladivostok	4:2 ✺
21.02.26	SKA Saint Petersburg - HC CSKA Moscow	3:0 ✺
18.02.26	SKA Saint Petersburg - Severstal Cherepovets	2:3 penalties ✺
16.02.26	SKA Saint Petersburg - Salavat Yulaev Ufa	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LWWLW
- Lokomotiv Yaroslavl
KHL
24.02.26	Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - Dynamo Moscow	3:1 ✺
21.02.26	Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - Dinamo Minsk	5:4 penalties ✺
17.02.26	Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	1:0 ✺
14.02.26	Sochi - Lokomotiv Yaroslavl	1:2 OT ✺
12.02.26	Dinamo Minsk - Lokomotiv Yaroslavl	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

KHL
27.01.26	SKA Saint Petersburg - Lokomotiv Yaroslavl	1:3
02.12.25	Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - SKA Saint Petersburg	3:4 OT
31.10.25	Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - SKA Saint Petersburg	3:2
18.10.25	SKA Saint Petersburg - Lokomotiv Yaroslavl	1:3
06.10.25	Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - SKA Saint Petersburg	4:2
21.01.25	SKA Saint Petersburg - Lokomotiv Yaroslavl	5:2
13.01.25	Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - SKA Saint Petersburg	4:3 OT

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