Match Info

NHL

Date: 5 January 2026, Monday

Location: Capital One Arena (Washington, DC)

Where to Watch on TV:


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Norway	Viaplay
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World	NHL.tv


	Washington Capitals		Anaheim Ducks

	1	X	2
	2.15	4.25	2.8	Watch
	2.13	4.33	2.84
	2.08	4.41	2.89	Watch
	2.1	4.33	2.88
	2.18	4.47	2.86
	2.1	4.25	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↑ (2.04)	4.34 ↑ (4.12)	2.85 ↓ (3.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.25

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Washington Capitals
44.8%

Draw
21.9%

Anaheim Ducks
33.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.4%

23%

30.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.9%

22.3%

29.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Washington Capitals has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Anaheim Ducks has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Washington Capitals than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Anaheim Ducks than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
44.4%	44.4%	11.1%

Washington Capitals - Anaheim Ducks Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Washington will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Anaheim will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Washington: 11.9% – 76.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Washington (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 6, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3

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Lineups

Line 1
79. Lindgren C. (G)	34. Mrazek P. (G)
74. Carlson J. (A)	65. Trouba J.
42. Fehervary M.	2. LaCombe J. (A)
8. Ovechkin A. (C)	17. Killorn A.
17. Strome D.	91. Carlsson L.
72. Beauvillier A.	61. Gauthier C.
Line 2
3. Roy M.	74. Moore I.
6. Chychrun J.	98. Mintyukov P.
21. Protas A.	45. Sennecke B.
34. Sourdif J.	23. McTavish M. (A)
24. McMichael C.	20. Kreider C.
Line 3
52. McIlrath D.	7. Gudas R. (C)
38. Sandin R.	51. Zellweger O.
9. Leonard R.	19. Terry T.
26. Dowd N.	64. Granlund Mik.
53. Frank E.	13. Nesterenko N.
Line 4
22. Duhaime B.	44. Johnston R.
29. Lapierre H.	25. Poehling R.
15. Milano S.	24. Harkins J.
Substitutes
48. Thompson L. (G)	1. Dostal L. (G)
Coaches
. Carbery S.	. Quenneville J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 1)
00:40, Ovechkin A. (2 min),
06:33, 0 - 1, Kreider C. (G), Zellweger O. (A),
06:38, Trouba J. (5 min),
06:38, Duhaime B. (5 min),
10:29, Killorn A. (2 min),
15:56, 1 - 1, Sourdif J. (G), McMichael C. (A), Roy M. (A2)
18:58, 2 - 1, Sourdif J. (G), McMichael C. (A),
20:00, Fehervary M. (2 min),
2nd Period (3 - 2)
00:17, Carlsson L. (2 min),
05:21, McIlrath D. (5 min),
05:21, Johnston R. (5 min),
05:54, 3 - 1, Leonard R. (G), Sourdif J. (A), McMichael C. (A2)
07:30, 4 - 1, Sourdif J. (G), Leonard R. (A), McMichael C. (A2)
08:52, 5 - 1, Ovechkin A. (G), Fehervary M. (A), Carlson J. (A2)
11:51, Strome R. (Penalty Shot),
12:56, 5 - 2, Killorn A. (G), Johnston R. (A),
14:12, 5 - 3, Trouba J. (G), Terry T. (A),
18:16, Leonard R. (Penalty Shot),
19:45, Carlson J. (2 min),
3rd Period (2 - 1)
00:01, Mrazek P. ↓, Dostal L. ↑,
09:22, 5 - 4, Sennecke B. (G), Gauthier C. (A), LaCombe J. (A2)
18:46, 6 - 4, Carlson J. (G), Dowd N. (A), Fehervary M. (A2)
19:19, 7 - 4, Ovechkin A. (G), Sourdif J. (A),

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: ))

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Washington won 4.

Washington has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Anaheim has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Washington may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Anaheim has had a series of home games.

Washington is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Washington: Dubois P. (Abdominal strain) Protas A. (Lower-Body Injury)

There will not play in Anaheim: Vatrano F. (Shoulder Injury)

There are questionable in Washington: Wilson T. (Lower-Body Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Washington won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 64:60. (average 3.2:3).

Including home matches between the teams, Washington won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 30:23. (average 3.3:2.6).

Outrights of NHL for now

Washington Capitals: 5.74% Anaheim Ducks: 2.1%

Last Results with these Odds

Washington Capitals - the odds 2.04 are the expected chance of winning is 46.35%, but this team recently wins 83% of matches with these odds.

Anaheim Ducks - the odds 3.08 are the expected chance of winning is 30.7%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Washington Capitals
NHL
03.01.26	Washington Capitals - Chicago Blackhawks	2:3 penalties ✺
01.01.26	Ottawa Senators - Washington Capitals	4:3 ✺
31.12.25	Washington Capitals - New York Rangers	6:3 ✺
29.12.25	Florida Panthers - Washington Capitals	5:3 ✺
27.12.25	New Jersey Devils - Washington Capitals	3:4 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LLWLW
- Anaheim Ducks
NHL
02.01.26	Anaheim Ducks - Minnesota Wild	2:5 ✺
31.12.25	Anaheim Ducks - Tampa Bay Lightning	3:4 OT ✺
29.12.25	Anaheim Ducks - San Jose Sharks	4:5 ✺
27.12.25	Los Angeles Kings - Anaheim Ducks	6:1 ✺
22.12.25	Anaheim Ducks - Seattle Kraken	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

NHL
05.12.25	Anaheim Ducks - Washington Capitals	4:3 penalties
11.03.25	Anaheim Ducks - Washington Capitals	4:7
14.01.25	Washington Capitals - Anaheim Ducks	3:0
16.01.24	Washington Capitals - Anaheim Ducks	2:0
30.11.23	Anaheim Ducks - Washington Capitals	4:5
01.03.23	Anaheim Ducks - Washington Capitals	2:3 OT
23.02.23	Washington Capitals - Anaheim Ducks	2:4

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