Match Info

NHL

Date: 17 November 2025, Monday

Location: Capital One Arena (Washington, DC)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Washington Capitals		Los Angeles Kings

	1	X	2
	2.2	4	2.8	Watch
	2.32	4.24	2.59
	2.41	4.2	2.52
	2.32	4.19	2.57	Watch
	2.42	4.4	2.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↑ (2.32)	4.21 ↑ (4.19)	2.61 ↑ (2.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Washington Capitals
40.8%

Draw
22.7%

Los Angeles Kings
36.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.7%

22.5%

36.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.3%

22.8%

36.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Washington Capitals has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Los Angeles Kings has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Washington Capitals than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Los Angeles Kings than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
26.7%	33.3%	40%

Washington Capitals - Los Angeles Kings Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Washington will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%). Los Angeles will win (votes: 6 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Los Angeles: 15.2% – 64.8%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 6.5, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Los Angeles Kings will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
79. Lindgren C. (G)	35. Kuemper D. (G)
57. Van Riemsdyk T.	92. Clarke B.
42. Fehervary M.	6. Edmundson J.
24. McMichael C.	9. Kempe A.
17. Strome D.	11. Kopitar A. (C)
8. Ovechkin A. (C)	40. Armia J.
Line 2
3. Roy M.	2. Dumoulin B.
6. Chychrun J.	44. Anderson M.
43. Wilson T. (A)	14. Laferriere A.
34. Sourdif J.	55. Byfield Q.
21. Protas A.	22. Fiala K.
Line 3
47. Chisholm D.	5. Ceci C.
38. Sandin R.	43. Moverare J.
9. Leonard R.	12. Moore T.
29. Lapierre H.	24. Danault P. (A)
72. Beauvillier A.	37. Foegele W.
Line 4
53. Frank E.	10. Perry C.
26. Dowd N. (A)	15. Turcotte A.
22. Duhaime B.	39. Malott J.
Substitutes
48. Thompson L. (G)	31. Forsberg A. (G)
Coaches
. Carbery S.	. Hiller J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
03:41, 1 - 0, Roy M. (G), Protas A. (A), Wilson T. (A2)
10:33, Dumoulin B. (2 min),
2nd Period (1 - 1)
01:51, 2 - 0, Ovechkin A. (G), McMichael C. (A), Chychrun J. (A2)
03:13, Fehervary M. (2 min),
12:16, Strome D. (2 min),
13:27, 2 - 1, Kopitar A. (G), Perry C. (A), Fiala K. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 0)
05:03, Van Riemsdyk T. (2 min),
19:25, Kempe A. (2 min),

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 14 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Washington won 3.

Recent form of Washington has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Los Angeles is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Washington: Dubois P. (Abdominal strain)

There are questionable in Washington: Carlson J. (Upper-Body Injury)

There are questionable in Los Angeles: Doughty D. (Lower-Body Injury)

We predict that Los Angeles will win today's game, with odds of 2.71.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Washington won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 56:47. (average 2.8:2.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Washington won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 37:22. (average 3.7:2.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Washington Capitals
NHL
15.11.25	Washington Capitals - New Jersey Devils	2:3 penalties ✺
13.11.25	Florida Panthers - Washington Capitals	6:3 ✺
11.11.25	Carolina Hurricanes - Washington Capitals	1:4 ✺
08.11.25	Tampa Bay Lightning - Washington Capitals	3:2 ✺
06.11.25	Pittsburgh Penguins - Washington Capitals	5:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LLWLL
- Los Angeles Kings
NHL
15.11.25	Ottawa Senators - Los Angeles Kings	0:1 ✺
13.11.25	Toronto Maple Leafs - Los Angeles Kings	3:4 OT ✺
11.11.25	Montreal Canadiens - Los Angeles Kings	1:5 ✺
09.11.25	Pittsburgh Penguins - Los Angeles Kings	2:3 ✺
06.11.25	Los Angeles Kings - Florida Panthers	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

NHL
13.03.25	Los Angeles Kings - Washington Capitals	3:0
22.12.24	Washington Capitals - Los Angeles Kings	3:1
07.01.24	Washington Capitals - Los Angeles Kings	4:3
29.11.23	Los Angeles Kings - Washington Capitals	1:2
06.03.23	Los Angeles Kings - Washington Capitals	4:2
22.10.22	Washington Capitals - Los Angeles Kings	4:3
19.12.21	Washington Capitals - Los Angeles Kings	2:3

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