The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Washington Capitals 56.2%
Draw 20.6%
Philadelphia Flyers 23.2%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
47.8%
22.6%
29.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47.1%
22.9%
30%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Washington Capitals has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Washington Capitals's performance.
Philadelphia Flyers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Philadelphia Flyers might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Washington Capitals than the current prediction. (-9.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Washington Capitals that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Philadelphia Flyers than the current prediction. (+6.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Philadelphia Flyers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
80%
20%
0%
Washington Capitals - Philadelphia Flyers Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Washington will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
48. Thompson L. (G)
53. Woll J. (G)
3. Roy M.
9. Drysdale J.
6. Chychrun J.
6. Sanheim T. (A)
43. Wilson T. (A)
54. Knuble C.
80. Dubois P.
22. Dvorak C. (A)
21. Protas A.
46. Zegras T.
Line 2
27. Liljegren T.
24. Seeler N.
42. Fehervary M.
8. York C.
25. Kyrou J.
39. Michkov M.
17. Strome D. (A)
27. Cates N.
89. Tuch A.
94. Martone P.
Line 3
29. St.Ivany J.
59. Bonk O.
44. Hutson C.
19. McDonald H.
72. Beauvillier A.
71. Foerster T.
62. Protas I.
86. Barkey D.
8. Ovechkin A. (C)
20. Bump A.
Line 4
9. Leonard R.
52. Acciari N.
34. Sourdif J.
14. Couturier S. (C)
22. Jenner B.
58. Bunting M.
Substitutes
79. Lindgren C. (G)
80. Vladar D. (G)
Coaches
. Carbery S.
. Tocchet R.
Preview
A dramatic battle between two struggling sides fighting for survival points (ranked 13th and 16th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Washington won 4.
The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.
Washington could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Both teams have recently been through a succession of home fixtures.
Washington carries the favorite tag into this contest.
Confirmed absences for Washington: Desharnais V.
(Abdominal strain)
Sandin R.
(Knee Injury).
Confirmed absences for Philadelphia: Grebyonkin N.
(Back Injury)
Konecny T.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Ristolainen R.
(Upper-Body Injury)
Tippett O.
(Upper-Body Injury).
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Washington has recorded 14 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 70:51 (averaging 3.5:2.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Washington against this opponent, the record stands at 8 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 39:26 goals (averaging 3.9:2.6 per game).
Outrights of NHL for now
Washington Capitals: 4.61% Philadelphia Flyers: 0.61%
Last Results with these Odds
Washington Capitals - the odds 1.98 are the expected chance of winning is 47.77%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.
Philadelphia Flyers - the odds 3.19 are the expected chance of winning is 29.65%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.