Match Info

NHL

Date: 11 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Bridgestone Arena (Nashville, TN)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay
Iceland	Viaplay
Italy	DAZN Italia
Mexico	Sky Sport
Norway	Viaplay
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay
United-kingdom	DAZN
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+
World	NHL.tv


	Nashville Predators		Washington Capitals

	1	X	2
	2.9	4.2	2.1	Watch
	2.67	4.24	2.26
	2.83	4.31	2.14	Watch
	2.88	4.33	2.1
	2.88	4.31	2.21
	2.9	4	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.84 ↑ (2.47)	4.23 ↑ (4)	2.16 ↓ (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.00

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nashville Predators
33.5%

Draw
22.5%

Washington Capitals
44.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.3%

23.6%

38.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.3%

24.9%

40.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nashville Predators has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Washington Capitals has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Washington Capitals's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nashville Predators than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Washington Capitals than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
41.7%	16.7%	41.7%

Nashville Predators - Washington Capitals Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Nashville will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Washington will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Washington: 16.1% – 74.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Washington (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
29. Annunen J. (G)	79. Lindgren C. (G)
48. Perbix N.	74. Carlson J. (A)
59. Josi R. (C)	42. Fehervary M.
91. Stamkos S.	8. Ovechkin A. (C)
90. O'Reilly R. (A)	17. Strome D.
9. Forsberg F. (A)	21. Protas A.
Line 2
83. Wilsby A.	3. Roy M.
76. Skjei B.	6. Chychrun J. (A)
77. Evangelista L.	9. Leonard R.
56. Haula E.	34. Sourdif J.
58. Bunting M.	24. McMichael C.
Line 3
37. Blankenburg N.	47. Chisholm D.
41. Hague N.	38. Sandin R.
71. Wood M.	72. Beauvillier A.
40. Svechkov F.	26. Dowd N.
17. Jost T.	53. Frank E.
Line 4
36. Smith C.	20. Leason B.
47. McCarron M.	29. Lapierre H.
49. Schaefer R.	22. Duhaime B.
Substitutes
74. Saros J. (G)	48. Thompson L. (G)
Coaches
. Brunette A.	. Carbery S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 1)
05:15, Josi R. (2 min),
05:31, McCarron M. (2 min),
05:56, 0 - 1, Ovechkin A. (G), Carlson J. (A), Leonard R. (A2)
13:03, Duhaime B. (2 min),
13:15, 1 - 1, Stamkos S. (G), Forsberg F. (A), Josi R. (A2)
15:09, Haula E. (2 min),
16:29, Beauvillier A. (2 min),
2nd Period (0 - 0)
00:56, Perbix N. (2 min),
05:51, Protas A. (2 min),
18:29, Ovechkin A. (2 min),
3rd Period (2 - 1)
01:12, 2 - 1, Smith C. (G), Josi R. (A), Schaefer R. (A2)
01:52, Lapierre H. (2 min),
02:44, Carlson J. (2 min),
03:29, 3 - 1, Josi R. (G), Stamkos S. (A), O'Reilly R. (A2)
08:18, Wilsby A. (2 min),
09:03, 3 - 2, Frank E. (G), Ovechkin A. (A), Strome D. (A2)

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nashville won 3.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Washington may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Washington could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Nashville: Marchessault J. (Lower-Body Injury) Wiesblatt O. (Upper-Body Injury)

There will not play in Washington: Dubois P. (Abdominal strain) Wilson T. (Lower-Body Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Nashville won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 69:62. (average 3.5:3.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Nashville won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 36:32. (average 3.6:3.2).

Outrights of NHL for now

Washington Capitals: 5.74% Nashville Predators: 0.54%

Last Results with these Odds

Washington Capitals - the odds 2.48 are the expected chance of winning is 38.11%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nashville Predators
NHL
10.01.26	Nashville Predators - Chicago Blackhawks	0:3 ✺
08.01.26	Nashville Predators - New York Islanders	2:1 penalties ✺
06.01.26	Edmonton Oilers - Nashville Predators	6:2 ✺
03.01.26	Calgary Flames - Nashville Predators	3:4 ✺
01.01.26	Seattle Kraken - Nashville Predators	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LWLWL
- Washington Capitals
NHL
09.01.26	Chicago Blackhawks - Washington Capitals	1:5 ✺
07.01.26	Washington Capitals - Dallas Stars	1:4 ✺
05.01.26	Washington Capitals - Anaheim Ducks	7:4 ✺
03.01.26	Washington Capitals - Chicago Blackhawks	2:3 penalties ✺
01.01.26	Ottawa Senators - Washington Capitals	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

NHL
11.01.25	Nashville Predators - Washington Capitals	1:4
06.11.24	Washington Capitals - Nashville Predators	3:2
30.12.23	Washington Capitals - Nashville Predators	2:3 penalties
16.12.23	Nashville Predators - Washington Capitals	3:1
06.01.23	Washington Capitals - Nashville Predators	2:3
29.10.22	Nashville Predators - Washington Capitals	0:3
15.02.22	Nashville Predators - Washington Capitals	1:4

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