The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Washington Capitals 41%
Draw 22.4%
Buffalo Sabres 36.6%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
43.8%
22.7%
33.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.3%
23.3%
34.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Washington Capitals has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
Buffalo Sabres has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Washington Capitals than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Buffalo Sabres than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
42.9%
42.9%
14.3%
Washington Capitals - Buffalo Sabres Predictions
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Washington will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Buffalo will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Washington (votes: 1 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Washington (votes: 1 - 50%). Buffalo (votes: 1 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3
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Lineups
Line 1
79. Lindgren C. (G)
1. Luukkonen U. (G)
3. Roy M.
23. Samuelsson M. (A)
6. Chychrun J.
26. Dahlin R. (C)
43. Wilson T. (A)
94. Helenius K.
80. Dubois P.
72. Thompson T. (A)
21. Protas A.
17. Zucker J.
Line 2
27. Liljegren T.
25. Power O.
42. Fehervary M.
8. Zellweger O.
25. Kyrou J.
22. Quinn J.
17. Strome D. (A)
86. Ostlund N.
89. Tuch A.
6. Benson Z.
Line 3
52. McIlrath D.
46. Crevier L.
44. Hutson C.
73. Metsa Z.
72. Beauvillier A.
91. Doan J.
62. Protas I.
9. Norris J.
8. Ovechkin A. (C)
71. McLeod R.
Line 4
9. Leonard R.
29. Malenstyn B.
34. Sourdif J.
19. Krebs P.
22. Jenner B.
48. Kozak T.
Substitutes
35. Gibson M. (G)
92. Ellis C. (G)
Coaches
. Carbery S.
. Ruff L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 2)
06:27, 0 - 1, Quinn J. (G), Zellweger O. (A), Benson Z. (A2)
10:36, 0 - 2, Doan J. (G), McLeod R. (A),
16:10, 1 - 2, Tuch A. (G), Kyrou J. (A),
2nd Period (2 - 0)
00:55, Samuelsson M. (2 min),
02:59, 2 - 2, Strome D. (G), Kyrou J. (A), Chychrun J. (A2)
14:46, Zellweger O. (2 min),
17:24, 3 - 2, Strome D. (G), Sourdif J. (A), Fehervary M. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 1)
02:20, 3 - 3, Ostlund N. (G), Power O. (A), Dahlin R. (A2)
04:27, Wilson T. (2 min),
07:26, Tuch A. (2 min),
13:59, Helenius K. (2 min),
Overtime (1 - 0)
03:42, 4 - 3, Tuch A. (G), Strome D. (A), Chychrun J. (A2)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Washington won 2.
Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.
Buffalo may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Washington has enjoyed a run of consecutive matches in front of its home crowd.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
Confirmed absences for Washington: Desharnais V.
(Abdominal strain)
Dubois P.
(Illness)
Sandin R.
(Knee Injury)
Sourdif J.
(Illness).
Confirmed absences for Buffalo: Carrick S.
(Upper-Body Injury)
Danforth J.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Grzelcyk M.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Lyon A.
(Upper-Body Injury)
Timmins C.
(Lower-Body Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for Washington: Thompson L.
(Lower-Body Injury).
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Washington has recorded 10 wins, 0 draws, and 10 losses, with a goal aggregate of 74:74 (averaging 3.7:3.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Washington against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with 41:40 goals (averaging 4.1:4 per game).
Outrights of NHL for now
Washington Capitals: 4.65% Buffalo Sabres: 2.29%
Last Results with these Odds
Buffalo Sabres - the odds 2.83 are the expected chance of winning is 33.44%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.
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Lindgren C. (G) 
Luukkonen U. (G) 
Chychrun J. 
Dahlin R. (C) 
Protas A. 
Fehervary M. 
Ovechkin A. (C) 
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