Match Info

OHL

Date: 28 February 2026, Saturday

Location: WFCU Centre (Windsor, ON)


	Windsor Spitfires		Barrie Colts

	1	X	2
	2.39	4.3	2.38
	2.13	4.42	2.56	Watch
	2.3	4	2.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↑ (2.04)	4.24 (4.24)	2.44 ↓ (2.77)

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Windsor Spitfires
40.5%

Draw
21.7%

Barrie Colts
37.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.1%

21.7%

33.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.3%

23.2%

31%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Windsor Spitfires has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Barrie Colts has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Windsor Spitfires than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Windsor Spitfires, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barrie Colts than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Barrie Colts, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Newlove M. (G)	62. Hrebik B. (G)
61. Belchetz E.	77. Aitcheson K. (A)
5. Brown J.	29. Beaudoin C. (C)
44. Cristoforo A. (A)	14. Crombie C.
53. Dubowsky C.	2. Desiderio N.
7. Fibigr J.	37. Edgar E.
77. Garden E.	78. Eliasson G.
19. Gaymes N.	41. Emerton C.
66. Greentree L. (C)	25. Gardiner B. (A)
11. Harvey C.	16. Handsor J.
2. Kennedy W.	28. Hemming E.
80. Makysh B.	83. McCormick J.
17. McLaughlin J.	84. Newton J.
71. Nesbitt J. (A)	88. Passmore E. (A)
72. Pharand A.	11. Schneid W.
27. Robinson A.	4. Vader T.
8. Spellacy A. (A)	6. Von Richter P.
89. Villeneuve N.	53. Wilmott B.
28. Walton C.	19. Zebeski M.
24. Woodall C.
Substitutes
33. Costanzo J. (G)	1. Jaswal A. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (2 - 0)
05:46, 1 - 0, Spellacy A. (G),
13:31, 2 - 0, Belchetz E. (G), Greentree L. (A), Woodall C. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 0)
17:48, 3 - 0, Greentree L. (G), Spellacy A. (A), Fibigr J. (A2)

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ OHL (Play Offs: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ OHL (Play Offs: )).

Windsor is Qualified for OHL (Play Offs )

Barrie is Qualified for OHL (Play Offs )

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Windsor won 3.

Windsor has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Barrie is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Windsor may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Windsor will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Windsor won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 67:65. (average 3.4:3.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Windsor won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 40:23. (average 4:2.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Windsor Spitfires - the odds 2.04 are the expected chance of winning is 45.09%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Barrie Colts - the odds 2.77 are the expected chance of winning is 33.21%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Windsor Spitfires
OHL
27.02.26	London Knights - Windsor Spitfires	1:6 ✺
26.02.26	Windsor Spitfires - Peterborough Petes	4:3 penalties ✺
22.02.26	Windsor Spitfires - Flint Firebirds	1:2 ✺
20.02.26	Kitchener Rangers - Windsor Spitfires	3:0 ✺
16.02.26	Windsor Spitfires - Saginaw Spirit	7:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWLLW
- Barrie Colts
OHL
27.02.26	Sarnia Sting - Barrie Colts	1:2 OT ✺
21.02.26	Barrie Colts - Brantford Bulldogs	7:4 ✺
20.02.26	London Knights - Barrie Colts	1:5 ✺
19.02.26	Barrie Colts - Owen Sound Attack	4:3 penalties ✺
16.02.26	Ottawa 67s - Barrie Colts	5:8 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

OHL
27.09.25	Barrie Colts - Windsor Spitfires	1:3
18.01.25	Barrie Colts - Windsor Spitfires	4:1
21.11.24	Windsor Spitfires - Barrie Colts	2:1
07.12.23	Windsor Spitfires - Barrie Colts	4:1
30.11.23	Barrie Colts - Windsor Spitfires	3:1
21.01.23	Barrie Colts - Windsor Spitfires	7:8
03.12.22	Windsor Spitfires - Barrie Colts	5:2

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