Match Info

OHL

Date: 12 March 2026, Thursday

Location: WFCU Centre (Windsor, ON)


	Windsor Spitfires		Sault Ste. Marie Greyhounds

	1	X	2
	1.71	4.62	3.71
	1.66	4.64	3.73	Watch
	1.6	4.6	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 (1.66)	4.62 ↓ (4.66)	3.75 ↑ (3.7)

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Windsor Spitfires
55.5%

Draw
19.9%

Sault Ste. Marie Greyhounds
24.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.4%

19.7%

24.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.8%

20.7%

26.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Windsor Spitfires has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Sault Ste. Marie Greyhounds has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Windsor Spitfires than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sault Ste. Marie Greyhounds than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Windsor Spitfires - Sault Ste. Marie Greyhounds Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Windsor (votes: 1 - 100%).

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Costanzo J. (G)	32. George C. (G)
5. Brown J.	71. Andrew C.
44. Cristoforo A. (A)	28. Brown C.
13. Debruyn J.	27. Charron J.
53. Dubowsky C.	22. Cloutier J.
7. Fibigr J.	14. Croskery C.
77. Garden E.	16. Evans S.
19. Gaymes N.	6. Fischer L.
66. Greentree L. (C)	3. Gillen K.
11. Harvey C.	13. Hayes T. (A)
2. Kennedy W.	89. Kaczynski R.
80. Makysh B.	91. Laus N.
17. McLaughlin J.	44. Martin B. (C)
71. Nesbitt J. (A)	9. Martin J.
72. Pharand A.	24. McKenzie Q.
27. Robinson A.	26. Mignosa M. (A)
8. Spellacy A. (A)	23. Pangretitsch H.
28. Walton C.	12. Smith B.
24. Woodall C.	21. Winkelhofer J.
Substitutes
30. Newlove M. (G)	36. Miller L. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 1)
09:17, 1 - 0, Cristoforo A. (G), Nesbitt J. (A), Greentree L. (A2)
12:08, 1 - 1, Martin B. (G), Mignosa M. (A), Charron J. (A2)
2nd Period (2 - 1)
03:34, 1 - 2, Mignosa M. (G), Winkelhofer J. (A), Martin J. (A2)
04:33, 2 - 2, Cristoforo A. (G), Nesbitt J. (A), Greentree L. (A2)
10:51, 3 - 2, Harvey C. (G), Makysh B. (A),
3rd Period (0 - 1)
09:09, 3 - 3, Mignosa M. (G), Croskery C. (A),
Overtime (0 - 1)
02:26, 3 - 4, Mignosa M. (G), Martin B. (A), Fischer L. (A2)

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ OHL (Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ OHL (Play Offs: ))

Windsor is Qualified for OHL (Play Offs )

Sault Ste. Marie is Qualified for OHL (Play Offs )

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Windsor won 3.

Windsor is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Sault Ste. Marie has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Sault Ste. Marie may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Sault Ste. Marie has had a series of away games.

In this match, Windsor is seen as the favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Windsor won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 84:60. (average 4.2:3).

Including home matches between the teams, Windsor won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 51:29. (average 5.1:2.9).

Last Results with these Odds

Windsor Spitfires - the odds 1.66 are the expected chance of winning is 55.41%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Windsor Spitfires
OHL
08.03.26	Windsor Spitfires - Kitchener Rangers	5:2 ✺
07.03.26	Flint Firebirds - Windsor Spitfires	4:2 ✺
28.02.26	Windsor Spitfires - Barrie Colts	3:0 ✺
27.02.26	London Knights - Windsor Spitfires	1:6 ✺
26.02.26	Windsor Spitfires - Peterborough Petes	4:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WLWWW
- Sault Ste. Marie Greyhounds
OHL
07.03.26	Guelph Storm - Sault Ste. Marie Greyhounds	0:2 ✺
06.03.26	Kitchener Rangers - Sault Ste. Marie Greyhounds	3:0 ✺
04.03.26	Flint Firebirds - Sault Ste. Marie Greyhounds	3:4 penalties ✺
27.02.26	Sault Ste. Marie Greyhounds - Kingston Frontenacs	3:6 ✺
25.02.26	Sudbury Wolves - Sault Ste. Marie Greyhounds	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

OHL
08.02.26	Sault Ste. Marie Greyhounds - Windsor Spitfires	5:2
18.12.25	Windsor Spitfires - Sault Ste. Marie Greyhounds	6:2
13.11.25	Windsor Spitfires - Sault Ste. Marie Greyhounds	3:4 OT
11.10.25	Sault Ste. Marie Greyhounds - Windsor Spitfires	1:4
04.04.25	Windsor Spitfires - Sault Ste. Marie Greyhounds	8:4
02.04.25	Sault Ste. Marie Greyhounds - Windsor Spitfires	1:4
31.03.25	Sault Ste. Marie Greyhounds - Windsor Spitfires	3:2 OT

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