Match Info

Swiss League

Date: 12 February 2026, Thursday

Location: Eishalle Deutweg (Winterthur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Switzerland	MySports, MySports


	Winterthur		EHC Basel

	1	X	2
				Watch
	5.3	5	1.4
	4.48	4.45	1.41
	5.5	5.18	1.44	Watch
	5.19	5.1	1.41	Watch
	5.25	4.5	1.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.14 ↑ (5.13)	4.85 ↓ (5.02)	1.41 ↓ (1.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Winterthur
17.5%

Draw
18.6%

EHC Basel
63.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

18.1%

18.5%

63.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.4%

19.8%

59.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Winterthur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

EHC Basel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Winterthur than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for EHC Basel than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Winterthur - EHC Basel Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:4

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Lineups

Line 1
1. Brodecky D. (G)	42. Haller F. (G)
37. Ugazzi N.	7. Nater J.
27. Steiner M.	92. Guggenheim B.
12. Dopfner A.	89. Schweri K.
24. Molin E.	71. Supinski B. (C)
82. Madsen D.	10. Stukel J.
Line 2
62. Warmbrodt N. Y.	50. Aeschbach C.
97. Mauchle B.	67. Aeschlimann M.
44. Staiger A. (C)	17. Schaub J.
9. Ogi G.	28. Schlapfer E.
10. Antenen Y. G.	51. Brugger S.
Line 3
25. Landolt S.	24. Bachofner L.
59. Deussen L.	86. Bircher A.
14. Blaser J.	46. Rossi M.
89. Furrer S.	94. Kummer D.
41. Gull J.	66. Barbei G.
Line 4
55. Ortenszky T.	91. Montandon R. G.
94. Studer J.	21. Hamr D.
22. Vlcek T.	16. Rexha A.
46. Marti R.	8. Liniger L.
Substitutes
26. Stettler D. (G)	1. Keienburg C. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
11:55, 0 - 1, Barbei G. (G), Schweri K. (A), Aeschbach C. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 2)
01:33, 1 - 1, Madsen D. (G), Molin E. (A),
06:41, 1 - 2, Aeschbach C. (G), Rexha A. (A),
19:59, 1 - 3, Hamr D. (G), Stukel J. (A),
3rd Period (0 - 0)

Preview

EHC Basel is Qualified for Swiss League (Play Offs )

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Winterthur won 2.

In recent matches, Winterthur has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

EHC Basel is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

EHC Basel may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, EHC Basel is considered a favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Winterthur won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 39:71. (average 2:3.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Winterthur won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 28:36. (average 2.8:3.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
2	Basel	11	7	1	2	1	39:31	25

Last Results with these Odds

Winterthur - the odds 5.13 are the expected chance of winning is 18.06%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Rychenberg Winterthur
Swiss League Hockey
10.02.26	Winterthur - Arosa	4:3 penalties ✺
08.02.26	Winterthur - Thurgau	5:4 ✺
07.02.26	Thurgau - Winterthur	7:2 ✺
31.01.26	Chur - Winterthur	2:3 OT ✺
30.01.26	GCK Lions - Winterthur	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.2 WWLWL
- EHC Basel
Swiss League Hockey
10.02.26	EHC Basel - La Chaux-de-Fonds	5:1 ✺
05.02.26	EHC Basel - Thurgau	2:3 penalties ✺
30.01.26	Olten - EHC Basel	2:3 ✺
27.01.26	EHC Basel - Chur	5:0 ✺
24.01.26	Bellinzona Snakes - EHC Basel	2:3 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Swiss League Hockey
30.12.25	Winterthur - EHC Basel	2:5
28.11.25	EHC Basel - Winterthur	3:2 OT
12.10.25	EHC Basel - Winterthur	2:1
16.09.25	Winterthur - EHC Basel	3:2 penalties
11.01.25	Winterthur - EHC Basel	3:2 penalties
30.12.24	EHC Basel - Winterthur	2:0
03.12.24	Winterthur - EHC Basel	0:4

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