Match Info

RUSSIA: VHL

Date: 17 September 2024, Tuesday

Location: VTB Arena (Moscow)


	Yunison Moscow		Bars Kazan

	1	X	2
	2.01	4.1	3.05	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↓ (2.4)	4.1 ↓ (4.2)	3.05 ↑ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yunison Moscow
46.5%

Draw
22.8%

Bars Kazan
30.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.9%

22.2%

38.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.4%

23%

37.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yunison Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Yunison Moscow's performance.

Bars Kazan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bars Kazan might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yunison Moscow than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Yunison Moscow that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bars Kazan than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bars Kazan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Yunison Moscow - Bars Kazan Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
72. Shigapov A. (G)	20. Arefyev M. (G)
12. Rodionychev D.	67. Kupchikhin P.
24. Tsvetkov Y.	16. Toporkov V.
88. Rymarev Y. (A)	88. Alshevsky Y. (A)
98. Govorkov R.	9. Alshevsky S. (A)
74. Govorkov M.	99. Zhulin T.
Line 2
18. Tsyganov D. (C)	18. Filatov I.
63. Rydchenko I.	75. Ionov S.
55. Goncharov N.	32. Yakupov R.
22. Kvartalnov D.	23. Zinoviev D.
25. Zubov	71. Shakirov R.
Line 3
91. Volosenkov N.	85. Kurbanov A.
60. Klimontov K.	4. Chetverikov D.
99. Grigoryev N.	36. Mastryukov A.
21. Fedyakin S. (A)	72. Mekhovov I.
71. Sychyov V.	87. Mukhin K.
Line 4
81. Khvostov Z.	90. Gabdrakhmanov E.
27. Petrov K.	84. Safin A.
48. Kozlov I.	41. Klimkin I.
89. Lukoyanov A.	10. Alexeyev A. (C)
	17. Galeyev R.
Substitutes
1. Chechelev D. (G)	40. Stolpechenkov A. (G)
83. Shvedov S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 1)
02:27, 0 - 1, Gabdrakhmanov E. (G), Mukhin K. (A),
07:46, 1 - 1, Govorkov R. (G), Rymarev Y. (A), Govorkov M. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 1)
03:18, 1 - 2, Gabdrakhmanov E. (G), Safin A. (A), Galeyev R. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 0)

Preview

Yunison is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Bars is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Yunison could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Yunison have a series of guest games.

Recently Bars have a series of home games.

Yunison will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Yunison won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yunison Moscow
VHL
15.09.24	Yunison Moscow - Neftyanik Almetyevsk	4:1 ✺
09.09.24	Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk - Yunison Moscow	1:0 ✺
07.09.24	Molot Perm - Yunison Moscow	4:1 ✺
05.09.24	Toros Neftekamsk - Yunison Moscow	6:3 ✺
03.09.24	Izhstal - Yunison Moscow	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WLLLL
- HC Bars Kazan
VHL
15.09.24	Zvezda Moscow - Bars Kazan	7:3 ✺
10.09.24	Bars Kazan - CSK VVS Samara	4:5 penalties ✺
08.09.24	Bars Kazan - Kristall Saratov	3:2 ✺
06.09.24	Bars Kazan - Dizel Penza	1:5 ✺
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
31.08.24	Bars Kazan - Chelny	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly Ice Hockey
22.08.24	Bars Kazan - Yunison Moscow	3:1

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