Match Info

VHL

Date: 6 March 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Yubileiny (Orsk) 🌤️ ...


	Yuzhny Ural Orsk		Dizel Penza

	1	X	2
	3.41	3.74	1.97
	3.38	3.84	1.96	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.4 ↓ (3.76)	3.79 ↓ (4.05)	1.97 ↑ (1.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yuzhny Ural Orsk
27.6%

Draw
24.7%

Dizel Penza
47.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

25%

23.2%

51.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.1%

23.1%

51.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yuzhny Ural Orsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Dizel Penza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yuzhny Ural Orsk than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dizel Penza than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	33.3%	0%

Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Dizel Penza Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Yuzhny Ural will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
32. Kudryavtsev S. (G)	27. Arzamastsev A. (G)
9. Sitnikov V.	68. Rudakov G.
18. Zotov F.	75. Pogorishny O. (A)
11. Mylnikov D.	91. Andriyanov A.
72. Rvachev V.	95. Pochivalov D.
91. Suslov K.	69. Boluchevsky A.
Line 2
27. Ostrovsky S.	77. Bannikov A.
88. Krylov I.	6. Lukichyov A.
15. Putilov A.	23. Sidlyarov D. (C)
77. Zakharov I.	47. Bobylyov V.
98. Kuimov Y.	97. Borisenkov A.
Line 3
29. Papst R.	83. Sukhov S.
78. Beshkorov K.	54. Filippov T.
10. Shindyaev K.	41. Lukin V.
17. Kovalchuk P.	11. Makhanovsky P. (A)
96. Kurkin M.	96. Baranov Y.
Line 4
41. Paramonov D.	72. Shvangiradze D.
51. Kulyash D.	78. Balashov M.
8. Vikulin K.	34. Larichev V.
16. Rubtsov S.	16. Polshkov A.
28. Samokhvalov M.
Substitutes
35. Snytko A. (G)	35. Vyshnik E. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
09:42, 0 - 1, Andriyanov A. (G), Sukhov S. (A),
2nd Period (0 - 1)
04:28, 0 - 2, Boluchevsky A. (G), Baranov Y. (A), Andriyanov A. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 1)
11:51, 0 - 3, Borisenkov A. (G), Sidlyarov D. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Yuzhny Ural won 1.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Yuzhny Ural may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Dizel could have a small edge in this match.

We predict that Yuzhny Ural will win today's game, with odds of 3.39.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Yuzhny Ural won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 50:56. (average 2.5:2.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Yuzhny Ural won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 25:22. (average 2.8:2.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
10	Orsk	16	7	3	4	2	44:32	24
26	Dizel	17	3	3	2	9	33:42	14

Last Results with these Odds

Yuzhny Ural Orsk - the odds 3.76 are the expected chance of winning is 24.96%, but this team recently wins 10% of matches with these odds.

Dizel Penza - the odds 1.81 are the expected chance of winning is 51.86%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yuzhny Ural Orsk
VHL
04.03.26	Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Ryazan	1:3 ✺
02.03.26	Yuzhny Ural Orsk - AKM	4:2 ✺
25.02.26	Chelny - Yuzhny Ural Orsk	3:4 OT ✺
23.02.26	Neftyanik Almetyevsk - Yuzhny Ural Orsk	3:4 ✺
21.02.26	CSK VVS Samara - Yuzhny Ural Orsk	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.9 LWWWL
- Dizel Penza
VHL
04.03.26	Magnitka Magnitogorsk - Dizel Penza	2:0 ✺
02.03.26	Chelmet - Dizel Penza	6:4 ✺
28.02.26	Gornyak-UGMK - Dizel Penza	2:3 ✺
24.02.26	Dizel Penza - Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk	3:0 ✺
22.02.26	Dizel Penza - Molot Perm	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

VHL
16.09.25	Dizel Penza - Yuzhny Ural Orsk	4:0
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
08.08.25	Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Dizel Penza	1:3
VHL
21.02.25	Dizel Penza - Yuzhny Ural Orsk	2:1 OT
02.10.24	Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Dizel Penza	4:0
28.11.23	Dizel Penza - Yuzhny Ural Orsk	3:2
14.11.23	Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Dizel Penza	3:1
30.11.22	Dizel Penza - Yuzhny Ural Orsk	3:2 penalties

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