Match Info

VHL

Date: 22 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Dizel-Arena (Penza)


	Dizel Penza		Molot Perm

	1	X	2
	1.93	3.94	3.39	Watch
	1.97	4.04	3.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↓ (2.2)	3.99 ↑ (3.89)	3.29 ↑ (2.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Dizel Penza
48%

Draw
23.5%

Molot Perm
28.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.9%

23.7%

34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.2%

25.6%

31.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dizel Penza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dizel Penza's performance.

Molot Perm has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Molot Perm might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dizel Penza than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Molot Perm than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Dizel Penza - Molot Perm Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

#ad

Lineups

Line 1
31. Kudashev D. (G)	40. Gorshkov Y. (G)
68. Rudakov G.	12. Glukhov N. (C)
75. Pogorishny O. (A)	55. Kozhevnikov A.
91. Andriyanov A.	15. Zenchikov I.
95. Pochivalov D.	10. Plastinin V. (A)
71. Kolmykov M.	81. Galimzyanov R.
Line 2
6. Lukichyov A.	89. Malyavin A.
7. Spitsenko K.	16. Averin N.
23. Sidlyarov D. (C)	34. Mikhasyonok V.
47. Bobylyov V.	61. Polyakov V.
97. Borisenkov A.	51. Kitsyn M. (A)
Line 3
83. Sukhov S.	39. Zimin N.
72. Shvangiradze D.	42. Labutkin Y.
41. Lukin V.	88. Tesanov D.
11. Makhanovsky P. (A)	97. Krikunenko R.
10. Popov D.	22. Sinyavsky P.
Line 4
34. Larichev V.	59. Sokolov N.
78. Balashov M.	76. Migur A.
69. Boluchevsky A.	13. Yabelov D.
96. Baranov Y.	92. Kazakov M.
Substitutes
27. Arzamastsev A. (G)	90. Guskov Y. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
17:06, 0 - 1, Zenchikov I. (G), Plastinin V. (A), Galimzyanov R. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 0)
02:29, 1 - 1, Boluchevsky A. (G), Baranov Y. (A),
3rd Period (0 - 3)
03:12, 1 - 2, Kitsyn M. (G), Polyakov V. (A), Labutkin Y. (A2)
14:57, 1 - 3, Kitsyn M. (G), Polyakov V. (A), Tesanov D. (A2)
19:32, 1 - 4, Tesanov D. (G), Sinyavsky P. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dizel won 3.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Dizel may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Dizel might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Dizel won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 54:47. (average 2.7:2.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Dizel won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 17:15. (average 2.1:1.9).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
9	Perm	11	6	2	0	3	29:20	16
16	Dizel	11	3	2	2	4	24:24	12

Last Results with these Odds

Dizel Penza - the odds 2.2 are the expected chance of winning is 41.89%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Molot Perm - the odds 2.67 are the expected chance of winning is 34.44%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dizel Penza
VHL
20.02.26	Dizel Penza - Toros Neftekamsk	1:2 ✺
18.02.26	Dizel Penza - Izhstal	2:3 OT ✺
10.02.26	Ryazan - Dizel Penza	2:3 ✺
08.02.26	AKM - Dizel Penza	2:1 penalties ✺
03.02.26	Chelny - Dizel Penza	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LLWLW
- HC Molot Perm
VHL
20.02.26	Ryazan - Molot Perm	3:0 ✺
18.02.26	AKM - Molot Perm	1:2 ✺
13.02.26	Molot Perm - Chelny	2:1 penalties ✺
11.02.26	Molot Perm - Neftyanik Almetyevsk	1:8 ✺
09.02.26	Molot Perm - CSK VVS Samara	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

VHL
28.09.25	Molot Perm - Dizel Penza	2:3
08.12.24	Molot Perm - Dizel Penza	2:4
28.11.24	Dizel Penza - Molot Perm	4:1
15.01.24	Dizel Penza - Molot Perm	2:3
02.10.23	Molot Perm - Dizel Penza	1:0
01.02.23	Molot Perm - Dizel Penza	3:4 penalties
20.09.22	Dizel Penza - Molot Perm	2:1 penalties

Upcoming Matches