The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Zvezda Moscow 39.6%
Draw 25.5%
Toros Neftekamsk 35%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
45.2%
24.4%
30.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
50.3%
27.2%
27.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Zvezda Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Zvezda Moscow's form might have worsened.
Toros Neftekamsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zvezda Moscow than the current prediction. (+10.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Zvezda Moscow, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toros Neftekamsk than the current prediction. (-7.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Toros Neftekamsk, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Zvezda Moscow - Toros Neftekamsk Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
31. Novozhilov I. (G)
49. Braginsky D. (G)
3. Sidorov M. (A)
85. Budnitsky V. (A)
8. Bobryashov N.
76. Pykhtin D.
77. Solovyov Y.
56. Suvorov A.
98. Pankratov S. (A)
22. Sorokin Y. (A)
42. Savvateyev V.
14. Chyorny A.
Line 2
6. Gordeyev M.
52. Kolganov A.
48. Barantsev D.
4. Chebotaryov V. (C)
62. Shalyshkin N.
44. Khvorov N.
19. Prokhorov A. (C)
25. Valeyev T.
23. Khulapov D.
24. Andreichenko V.
Line 3
32. Rogov I.
45. Kurbanov Z.
80. Barabosha A.
3. Shatilo I.
56. Vlasenko D.
93. Gimbatov R.
95. Vasin M.
17. Sychyov V.
87. Yapparov Y.
59. Korbit P.
Line 4
76. Shuravin M.
80. Galiyev E.
79. Dronyk V.
9. Orlov G.
75. Averochkin M.
10. Kolesnikov S.
52. Poroshkov D.
81. Volokitin P.
38. Skoropad N.
Substitutes
45. Gluschenko R. (G)
1. Yelin I. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 0)
08:47, 1 - 0, Poroshkov D. (G), Solovyov Y. (A), Rogov I. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 2)
07:16, 1 - 1, Gimbatov R. (G), Korbit P. (A), Shatilo I. (A2)
15:26, 2 - 1, Prokhorov A. (G), Shalyshkin N. (A),
15:35, 2 - 2, Sorokin Y. (G), Chyorny A. (A), Orlov G. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 0)
Overtime (0 - 0)
Penalties (3 - 2)
1, Chyorny A. (Penalty Shot),
1, Solovyov Y. (Penalty Shot),
2, Khvorov N. (Penalty Shot),
2, Yapparov Y. (Penalty Shot),
3, Korbit P. (Penalty Shot),
3, Poroshkov D. (Penalty Shot),
4, Gimbatov R. (Penalty Shot),
4, Khulapov D. (Penalty Shot),
5, Sychyov V. (Penalty Shot),
5, Savvateyev V. (Penalty Shot),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zvezda Moscow won 2.
Recent form of Zvezda Moscow has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Toros has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
Zvezda Moscow may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Zvezda Moscow might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Zvezda Moscow won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 47:49. (average 2.4:2.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Zvezda Moscow won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 26:19. (average 2.9:2.1).
Last Results with these Odds
Zvezda Moscow - the odds 2.07 are the expected chance of winning is 45.21%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.
Toros Neftekamsk - the odds 3.08 are the expected chance of winning is 30.39%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.
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Novozhilov I. (G) 
Suvorov A. 
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