Match Info

NRL - Round 19

Date: 11 July 2026, Saturday

Location: Accor Stadium (Sydney)

Referee: Sutton G. (Aus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SupeSport ESPN 2
Australia	Foxtel Now, Kayo Sports, NRL TV
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
New-zealand	SKY Go NZ, Sky Sport 2
South-africa	SupeSport ESPN 2
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Action


	Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs		Canberra Raiders

	1	X	2
	1.65	26	2.25
	1.7	15	2.4
	1.64	20.32	2.39	Watch
	1.67		2.25
	1.64	21	2.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↑ (1.58)	16.46 ↓ (22.69)	2.33 ↓ (2.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 43.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs
55.2%

Draw
5.6%

Canberra Raiders
39.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

58.9%

4.1%

37%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.7%

4.3%

39.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Canberra Raiders has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Canberra Raiders than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Canterbury Bankstown Bulldogs - Canberra Raiders Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 24:20

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Tracey C.	1. Weekes K.
2. Kiraz J.	3. Sasagi S.
3. Burton M.	4. Timoko M.
5. Rinakama J.	5. Savage X.
6. Crichton S. (C)	7. Sanders E.
7. Galvin L.	8. Horsburgh C.
8. King M.	9. Pattie O.
10. Thompson L.	10. Tapine J. (C)
11. Curran J.	12. Martin N.
12. Salmon J.	13. Hosking Z.
13. Hayes H.	15. Mariota A.
14. Mann K.	17. Laurie D.
19. Xerri B.	21. Stuart J.
Substitutes
9. Hayward B.	6. Strange E.
15. Alekolasimi J.	11. Young H.
16. Underhill J.	14. Starling T.
17. Hopoi L.	16. Papalii J.
20. O'Sullivan S.	19. Smithies M.
21. Preston J.	20. Black C.
Coaches
. Ciraldo C.	. Stuart R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 22)
9', Savage X. (Try),
10', Sanders E. (Conversion Goal),
17', Martin N. (Try),
19', Sanders E. (Conversion Goal),
22', Hosking Z. (Try),
23', Sanders E. (Conversion Goal),
31', Sanders E. (Penalty Goal),
39', Sanders E. (Penalty Goal),
2nd Half (16 - 18)
44', Rinakama J. (Try),
45', Crichton S. (Missed Conversion),
52', Hosking Z. (Try),
53', Sanders E. (Conversion Goal),
54', Hosking Z. (Try),
56', Sanders E. (Conversion Goal),
62', Sanders E. (Penalty Goal),
65', Sasagi S. (Try),
65', Sanders E. (Missed Conversion),
71', Burton M. (Try),
71', Burton M. (Conversion Goal),
80', Tracey C. (Try),
80', Burton M. (Conversion Goal),

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 10 and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Canterbury-Bankstown won 3.

Canterbury-Bankstown is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Canberra has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Canterbury-Bankstown may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Canterbury-Bankstown might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Canterbury-Bankstown won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 407:460. (average 20.4:23).

Including home matches between the teams, Canterbury-Bankstown won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 132:148. (average 18.9:21.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs
Australian NRL
26.06.26	Gold Coast Titans - Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs	12:30 ✺
20.06.26	Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs - Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles	13:12 OT ✺
08.06.26	Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs - Parramatta Eels	14:12 ✺
30.05.26	Wests Tigers - Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs	22:16 ✺
22.05.26	Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs - Melbourne Storm	30:20 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WWWLW
- Canberra Raiders
Australian NRL
28.06.26	Canberra Raiders - St. George Illawarra Dragons	24:16 ✺
21.06.26	Melbourne Storm - Canberra Raiders	42:20 ✺
13.06.26	Parramatta Eels - Canberra Raiders	15:12 ✺
05.06.26	Canberra Raiders - Sydney Roosters	0:26 ✺
31.05.26	Canberra Raiders - North Queensland Cowboys	26:12 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Australian NRL
19.03.26	Canberra Raiders - Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs	10:14
10.05.25	Canberra Raiders - Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs	20:32
04.08.24	Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs - Canberra Raiders	22:18
17.05.24	Canberra Raiders - Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs	24:20
20.08.23	Canberra Raiders - Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs	36:24
05.05.23	Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs - Canberra Raiders	30:34
11.02.23	Canberra Raiders - Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs	18:34

Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs - Canberra Raiders: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide