Match Info

NRL - Round 13

Date: 31 May 2026, Sunday

Location: GIO Stadium (Canberra)

Referee: Klein A. (Aus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Fox League, Foxtel Now, Kayo Sports, NRL
New-zealand	SKY Go NZ


	Canberra Raiders		North Queensland Cowboys

	1	X	2
	1.7	34	2.2
	1.78	18	2.25
	1.67	22.82	2.31	Watch
	1.67	26	2.2
	1.71	29	2.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↑ (1.64)	25.96 ↑ (24.25)	2.23 ↓ (2.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 54.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Canberra Raiders
54.6%

Draw
3.6%

North Queensland Cowboys
41.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

56.5%

3.8%

39.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.1%

3.7%

40.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Canberra Raiders has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

North Queensland Cowboys has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Canberra Raiders than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for North Queensland Cowboys than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Canberra Raiders - North Queensland Cowboys Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. North Queensland will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 29:25

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Weekes K.	1. Drinkwater S. (C)
2. Tamale S.	2. Laybutt Z.
3. Kris S.	3. Purdue J.
4. Timoko M.	4. Chester T.
5. Savage X.	5. Taulagi M.
6. Strange E.	6. Sutton L.
7. Sanders E.	7. Clifford J.
8. Horsburgh C.	8. Mikaele T.
9. Starling T.	9. Mahoney R.
10. Tapine J. (C)	10. Taumalolo J.
11. Young H.	11. Luki H.
12. Hosking Z.	12. McIntyre S.
13. Laurie D.	16. Lodge M.
Substitutes
14. Pattie O.	15. Neame G.
15. Mariota A.	17. Hess C.
16. Smithies M.	18. Derby R.
17. Stuart J.	19. King E.
18. Stewart C.	20. Kerrisk X.
19. Uta J.	21. Greig W.
Coaches
. Stuart R.	. Payten T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (18 - 6)
13', Kris S. (Try),
14', Sanders E. (Missed Conversion),
15', Weekes K. (Try),
17', Sanders E. (Missed Conversion),
17', Starling T. (Try),
19', Sanders E. (Conversion Goal),
26', Sutton L. (Try),
26', Clifford J. (Conversion Goal),
38', Strange E. (Try),
40', Sanders E. (Missed Conversion),
2nd Half (8 - 6)
45', Kris S. (Try),
46', Sanders E. (Missed Conversion),
61', Savage X. (Try),
63', Sanders E. (Missed Conversion),
75', Luki H. (Try),
76', Clifford J. (Conversion Goal),

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 15 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Canberra won 0.

Canberra has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

North Queensland is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

North Queensland may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Canberra won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 394:460. (average 19.7:23).

Including home matches between the teams, Canberra won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 214:198. (average 23.8:22).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Canberra Raiders
Australian NRL
21.05.26	Canberra Raiders - Dolphins	22:30 ✺
10.05.26	Canberra Raiders - Penrith Panthers	18:30 ✺
02.05.26	Gold Coast Titans - Canberra Raiders	12:28 ✺
23.04.26	Wests Tigers - Canberra Raiders	33:14 ✺
17.04.26	Canberra Raiders - Melbourne Storm	26:22 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LLWLW
- North Queensland Cowboys
Australian NRL
24.05.26	North Queensland Cowboys - South Sydney Rabbitohs	30:18 ✺
16.05.26	Sydney Roosters - North Queensland Cowboys	12:18 ✺
08.05.26	North Queensland Cowboys - Parramatta Eels	30:33 OT ✺
01.05.26	Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs - North Queensland Cowboys	12:28 ✺
24.04.26	North Queensland Cowboys - Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks	46:34 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.4 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Australian NRL
29.03.25	North Queensland Cowboys - Canberra Raiders	30:20
17.08.24	North Queensland Cowboys - Canberra Raiders	42:4
14.06.24	Canberra Raiders - North Queensland Cowboys	16:34
24.02.24	Canberra Raiders - North Queensland Cowboys	26:36
04.03.23	North Queensland Cowboys - Canberra Raiders	19:18
14.04.22	Canberra Raiders - North Queensland Cowboys	12:18
19.03.22	North Queensland Cowboys - Canberra Raiders	26:6

Canberra Raiders - North Queensland Cowboys: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide