Match Info

NRL - Round 12

Date: 22 May 2026, Friday

Location: Accor Stadium (Sydney)

Referee: Raymond W. (Aus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	9 HD, Fox League, Foxtel Now, Kayo Sports, Nine, NRL
New-zealand	SKY Go NZ


	Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs		Melbourne Storm

	1	X	2
	1.8	23	2.05
	1.8	18	2.2
	1.77	22.06	2.16	Watch
	1.75	23	2.1
	1.73	26	2.16	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↓ (1.83)	22.41 ↓ (26)	2.13 ↑ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 47.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs
52.4%

Draw
4.1%

Melbourne Storm
43.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50.4%

3.5%

46.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.6%

3.4%

47.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Melbourne Storm has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melbourne Storm than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Canterbury Bankstown Bulldogs - Melbourne Storm Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Canterbury-Bankstown will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Melbourne will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Canterbury-Bankstown (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 26:23

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
2. Kiraz J.	1. Faalogo S.
3. Xerri B.	2. Warbrick W.
4. Tuala E.	3. Howarth J.
6. Burton M.	4. Meaney N.
7. Galvin L.	5. Moses L.
8. King M.	6. Russell Smith K.
10. Thompson L.	7. Hughes J.
11. Tupouniua S.	8. Utoikamanu S.
12. Preston J.	9. Toelau T.
13. Salmon J.	10. King J.
14. Mann K.	11. Blore S.
19. Rinakama J.	12. Lisati A.
20. Montoya M.	13. Clarke C.
Substitutes
9. Hayward B.	14. Satrick G.
15. Hayes H.	15. MacDonald A.
16. Underhill J.	16. Moale D.
17. Alekolasimi J.	17. Huen S.
22. O'Sullivan S.	18. Chan J.
23. Reardon J.	19. Waitere M.
Coaches
. Ciraldo C.	. Bellamy C.

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 14 and 12)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Canterbury-Bankstown won 2.

Canterbury-Bankstown is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Melbourne has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Canterbury-Bankstown may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Canterbury-Bankstown has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Canterbury-Bankstown won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 343:389. (average 17.2:19.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Canterbury-Bankstown won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 175:170. (average 19.4:18.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs
Australian NRL
15.05.26	Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks - Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs	38:16 ✺
07.05.26	Dolphins - Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs	44:12 ✺
01.05.26	Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs - North Queensland Cowboys	12:28 ✺
24.04.26	Brisbane Broncos - Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs	32:12 ✺
19.04.26	Parramatta Eels - Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs	38:20 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Melbourne Storm
Australian NRL
16.05.26	Parramatta Eels - Melbourne Storm	8:34 ✺
10.05.26	Melbourne Storm - Wests Tigers	44:16 ✺
01.05.26	Dolphins - Melbourne Storm	28:10 ✺
25.04.26	Melbourne Storm - South Sydney Rabbitohs	6:48 ✺
17.04.26	Canberra Raiders - Melbourne Storm	26:22 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Australian NRL
12.09.25	Melbourne Storm - Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs	26:18
22.08.25	Melbourne Storm - Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs	20:14
12.04.24	Melbourne Storm - Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs	16:14
15.02.24	Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs - Melbourne Storm	24:12
11.03.23	Melbourne Storm - Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs	12:26
03.04.22	Melbourne Storm - Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs	44:0
10.04.21	Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs - Melbourne Storm	18:52

Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs - Melbourne Storm: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide