Match Info
Super League - Round 19Date: 19 July 2026, SundayLocation: Wheldon Road (Castleford)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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Australia | Fox League |
Canada | fubo Sports Network |
Germany | Magenta Sport, Sportdigital1+ |
United-kingdom | Sky Go, Sky Sports+ |
International | Superleague+ |
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Castleford Tigers |
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Leeds Rhinos |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 54.50
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-22)
- The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Castleford Tigers 11.4% | Draw 3% | Leeds Rhinos 85.6% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:Castleford Tigers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)Leeds Rhinos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)Castleford Tigers - Leeds Rhinos Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 16:38 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
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2. Valemei S.
| 1. Miller L.
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5. Ravalawa M.
| 2. Sivo M.
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6. Asi D.
| 3. Newman H.
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7. Weaver T.
| 6. Croft B.
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9. Hood L.
| 7. Connor J.
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10. Lawler G.
| 8. Oledzki M.
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12. Mellor A.
| 12. McDonnell J.
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13. Stimson J.
| 14. Hankinson C.
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22. Qareqare J.
| 15. Jenkins C.
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31. Golding A.
| 17. Smith C.
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35. Laulu-Togagae P.
| 21. Edgell A.
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36. Dupree T.
| 23. Levi D.
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39. Brown J.
| 33. Bird J.
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| Substitutes |
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8. Atoni R.
| 10. Holroyd T.
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15. Ashworth J.
| 11. Watkins K.
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25. Hall S.
| 20. Cassell P.
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27. Robb C.
| 26. Nicholson-Watton T.
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (16 - 20)
- 3', McDonnell J. (Try),
- 7', Connor J. (Penalty Goal),
- 10', Edgell A. (Try),
- 12', Connor J. (Conversion Goal),
- 14', Croft B. (Try),
- 23', Ravalawa M. (Try),
- 27', Sivo M. (Try),
- 34', Golding A. (Try),
- 35', Weaver T. (Conversion Goal),
- 38', Qareqare J. (Try),
- 40+1', Weaver T. (Conversion Goal),
- 2nd Half (20 - 14)
- 43', Holroyd T. (Try),
- 44', Connor J. (Conversion Goal),
- 46', McDonnell J. (Try),
- 56', Asi D. (Try),
- 57', Weaver T. (Conversion Goal),
- 62', Ashworth J. (Try),
- 63', Weaver T. (Conversion Goal),
- 68', Weaver T. (Penalty Goal),
- 70', Qareqare J. (Try),
- 71', Weaver T. (Conversion Goal),
- 73', Croft B. (Try),
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 12 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Castleford won 0.Castleford is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).Leeds is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins). In this match, Leeds is the undisputed favorite.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Castleford won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 314:530. (average 15.7:26.5).Including home matches between the teams, Castleford won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 64:219. (average 9.1:31.3).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Super League Rugby | | | 08.03.26 | Leeds Rhinos - Castleford Tigers | 22:4 | | 16.08.25 | Castleford Tigers - Leeds Rhinos | 6:64 | | 24.05.25 | Castleford Tigers - Leeds Rhinos | 6:29 | | 02.03.25 | Leeds Rhinos - Castleford Tigers | 38:24 | | 01.06.24 | Leeds Rhinos - Castleford Tigers | 32:4 | | 28.03.24 | Castleford Tigers - Leeds Rhinos | 6:26 | | 22.09.23 | Leeds Rhinos - Castleford Tigers | 46:0 |
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