The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Warrington Wolves 46.6%
Draw 4.7%
Leeds Rhinos 48.7%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
52.5%
4.6%
42.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47.7%
5.1%
47.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Warrington Wolves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Warrington Wolves's form might have worsened.
Leeds Rhinos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Leeds Rhinos's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Warrington Wolves than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leeds Rhinos than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
Warrington Wolves - Leeds Rhinos Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 19:21
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
2. Thewlis J.
1. Miller L.
4. Hopoate A.
2. Sivo M.
5. Ashton M.
3. Newman H.
9. Walker D.
4. Handley A.
10. Harrison J.
5. Hall R.
13. Currie B.
6. Croft B.
16. Byrne L.
7. Connor J.
18. Irwin E.
8. Oledzki M.
19. Hayes L.
11. Watkins K. (C)
20. Bentley J.
12. McDonnell J.
21. Thomas L.
13. Palasia K.
23. Lindop A.
14. Hankinson C.
26. Smith J.
23. Levi D.
Substitutes
14. Powell S.
9. O'Connor J.
15. Sipley T.
15. Jenkins C.
17. Crowther J.
17. Smith C.
34. Tanginoa K.
20. Cassell P.
35. Webster L.
26. Nicholson-Watton T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 16)
10', Irwin E. (Penalty Goal),
19', Sivo M. (Try),
21', Connor J. (Conversion Goal),
22', Croft B. (Try),
30', Newman H. (Try),
31', Connor J. (Conversion Goal),
2nd Half (4 - 18)
44', Hankinson C. (Try),
45', Connor J. (Conversion Goal),
48', Connor J. (Penalty Goal),
55', Sivo M. (Try),
58', Sivo M. (Try),
59', Connor J. (Conversion Goal),
73', Ashton M. (Try),
Preview
The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Warrington won 3.
Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Warrington won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 438:404. (average 21.9:20.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Warrington won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 244:156. (average 24.4:15.6).
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Thewlis J. 
Miller L. 
Sivo M. 
Byrne L. 
Palasia K. 
Smith J. 
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