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Current Win Probability
Castleford Tigers 39.7%
Draw 4.5%
Hull 55.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
44.9%
5.1%
50%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45.6%
5.2%
49.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Castleford Tigers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Castleford Tigers's form might have worsened.
Hull has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hull's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castleford Tigers than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Castleford Tigers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hull than the current prediction. (-6.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hull, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Castleford Tigers - Hull Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 22:22
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
4. McIntosh D.
. Litten D.
5. Ravalawa M.
. Newman H.
6. Asi D.
4. Hardaker Z.
7. Weaver T.
5. Martin L.
8. Atoni R.
6. Arthur J.
10. Lawler G.
7. Sezer A.
11. Lane J.
9. Bourouh A.
12. Mellor A.
10. Hill H.
13. Stimson J.
15. Bell J.
22. Qareqare J.
18. Sao L.
23. Mapapalangi K.
19. Briscoe T.
24. Windley J.
22. Bailey C.
32. Hirst G.
24. Moy L.
Substitutes
3. Cini Z.
. Fash B.
14. Greacen B.
8. Aydin Y.
15. Ashworth J.
14. Cust C.
20. Doolan A.
16. Jerry
25. Hall S.
27. Kemp C.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (6 - 20)
6', Arthur J. (Try),
8', Hardaker Z. (Conversion Goal),
13', Briscoe T. (Try),
21', Litten D. (Try),
22', Hardaker Z. (Conversion Goal),
31', Bailey C. (Try),
39', Mapapalangi K. (Try),
40', Weaver T. (Conversion Goal),
2nd Half (4 - 30)
44', Martin L. (Try),
52', Litten D. (Try),
54', Hardaker Z. (Conversion Goal),
57', Hardaker Z. (Try),
58', Hardaker Z. (Conversion Goal),
68', Mapapalangi K. (Try),
72', Cust C. (Try),
73', Hardaker Z. (Conversion Goal),
75', Aydin Y. (Try),
77', Hardaker Z. (Conversion Goal),
79', Hardaker Z. (Penalty Goal),
Preview
The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 12 and 10)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Castleford won 4.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Castleford may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Castleford won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 482:484. (average 24.1:24.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Castleford won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 232:250. (average 23.2:25).
United-kingdom
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McIntosh D. 
Ravalawa M. 
Asi D. 
Bell J. 
Sao L. 
Mapapalangi K. 
100% bonus on 1st bet up to €200 in free bet
