Match Info

AUSTRALIA: NRL - Round 12

Date: 25 May 2024, Saturday

Location: PointsBet Stadium (Sydney)

Referee: Sutton G. (Aus)


	Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks		Penrith Panthers

	1	X	2
	1.72	21	2.2
	1.67	19	2.3
	1.75	20	2.25
	1.64	18	2.4
	1.65	20	2.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↑ (1.68)	19.6 ↑ (19.5)	2.29 ↓ (2.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 41.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks
54.9%

Draw
4.7%

Penrith Panthers
40.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

55.7%

4.8%

39.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54%

40.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Penrith Panthers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Penrith Panthers than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Cronulla Sutherland Sharks - Penrith Panthers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 22:20

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kennedy W.	1. Edwards D.
2. Katoa S.	2. Turuva S.
3. Ramien J.	3. Tago I.
4. Iro K.	4. Alamoti P.
5. Mulitalo R.	5. To'o B.
6. Atkinson D.	6. Cole J.
7. Hynes N.	7. Luai J.
8. Hazelton T.	8. Leota M.
9. Brailey B.	9. Kenny M.
10. Kaufusi O.	10. Fisher-Harris J.
11. Nikora B.	11. Sorensen S.
12. Wilton T.	12. Martin L.
13. McInnes C. (C)	13. Yeo I. (C)
Substitutes
14. Williams J.	14. Laurie D.
15. Talakai S.	15. Smith L.
16. Hunt R.	16. Henry L.
17. Tapuha T. H.	17. Eisenhuth M.
18. Hiroti M.	21. McLean J.
Coaches
. Fitzgibbon C.	. Cleary I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 28)
5', Fisher-Harris J. (Try),
6', Edwards D. (Conversion Goal),
9', Luai J. (Try),
10', Edwards D. (Conversion Goal),
26', Alamoti P. (Try),
28', Edwards D. (Conversion Goal),
32', Edwards D. (Try),
34', Edwards D. (Missed Conversion),
39', Cole J. (Try),
40', Edwards D. (Conversion Goal),
2nd Half (0 - 14)
46', Henry L. (Try),
47', Edwards D. (Conversion Goal),
65', Sorensen S. (Try),
67', Edwards D. (Conversion Goal),
71', Edwards D. (Penalty Goal),

Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cronulla-Sutherland won 1.

Cronulla-Sutherland in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Penrith is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Penrith could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Cronulla-Sutherland won 11 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 386-447.

Including matches at home between the teams Cronulla-Sutherland won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 230-221.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks
Australian NRL
18.05.24	Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks - Sydney Roosters	38:30 ✺
11.05.24	Melbourne Storm - Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks	18:25 ✺
05.05.24	Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks - St. George Illawarra Dragons	20:10 ✺
28.04.24	Canberra Raiders - Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks	0:40 ✺
21.04.24	Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks - North Queensland Cowboys	42:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WWWWW
- Penrith Panthers
Australian NRL
18.05.24	New Zealand Warriors - Penrith Panthers	22:20 ✺
10.05.24	Penrith Panthers - Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs	16:10 ✺
02.05.24	South Sydney Rabbitohs - Penrith Panthers	12:42 ✺
27.04.24	North Queensland Cowboys - Penrith Panthers	20:26 ✺
20.04.24	Penrith Panthers - Wests Tigers	22:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Australian NRL
29.07.23	Penrith Panthers - Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks	28:0
23.07.22	Penrith Panthers - Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks	20:10
11.06.21	Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks - Penrith Panthers	19:18
07.05.21	Penrith Panthers - Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks	48:0
21.08.20	Penrith Panthers - Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks	38:12
11.07.20	Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks - Penrith Panthers	24:56
09.08.19	Penrith Panthers - Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks	26:20

Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks - Penrith Panthers: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide